Bison137
Professor
Posts: 16147
Reg: 01-23-06
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11-04-22 11:20 PM - Post#345840
How many of these 13 OOC games will the Bison win?
Nov. 7 MON Lebanon Valley
Nov. 12 SAT Niagara
Nov. 15 TUE @ St. Peter's
Nov. 18 FRI @ Georgia
Nov. 21 MON Presbyterian *
Nov. 22 TUE Albany OR A.Peay *
Nov. 26 SAT Marist
Nov. 30 WED St. Francis
Dec. 3 SAT @ NJIT
Dec. 6 TUE @ La Salle
Dec. 18 SUN Merrimack
Dec. 21 WED @ Richmond
Dec. 23 FRI @ Rutgers
* = Sunshine Slam (Daytona Beach)
- - - - -
Note: I will leave this poll open until Saturday November 12th at 4 PM since I assume everyone will pick the Bison to win the opener.
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Paulie777
PhD Student
Posts: 1767
Reg: 11-11-07
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11-05-22 09:49 AM - Post#345841
In response to Bison137
I think they will win 8 OOC games this year due to the cushy schedule. Lebanon Valley and 7 others. When Nate Davis got here they would play really tough OOC schedules, it seems he has changed strategy a little. I wonder why.
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bison75
Masters Student
Posts: 487
Reg: 01-26-06
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11-05-22 10:22 AM - Post#345843
In response to Paulie777
I voted four. I actually think it will be five, but I didn’t count the exhibition win against D3 Lebanon Valley.
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HuskyColonial
PhD Student
Posts: 1976
Age: 50
Reg: 02-17-12
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11-05-22 09:53 PM - Post#345850
In response to bison75
Who? I’m curious which teams you actually think this lineup defeats? I voted 3.
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Bison137
Professor
Posts: 16147
Reg: 01-23-06
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11-05-22 10:26 PM - Post#345852
In response to HuskyColonial
Who? I’m curious which teams you actually think this lineup defeats? I voted 3.
I went with five wins. Pther than LV there is no specific team I think they will beat - but there are a number of them where there is a reasonable probability. Here is what Pomeroy thinks the chances are of a Bucknell win in each game:
Lebanon Valley 100%
Niagara 49%
St. Peter's 25%
Georgia 7%
Presbyterian 43%
Albany 51% OR Austin Peay 38%
Marist 64%
St. Francis 68%
NJIT 51%
La Salle 21%
Merrimack 63%
Richmond 7%
Rutgers 3%
OVERALL = 5.5 wins
I think a few of the probabilities are slightly optimistic (Merrimack, Marist, maybe St. Fr.), and that 25% chance of a win at St. Peter's (who lost all their starters from last year) is a bit pessimistic.
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KenZ
Postdoc
Posts: 2777
Reg: 01-23-06
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11-06-22 10:45 AM - Post#345865
In response to Bison137
six, start the season 3-0 with wins over LVC, Niagara, and St. Pete’s. split the two tourney games, and win half of the games with Marist, SFP, NJIT, and Merrimack.
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Bison89
Professor
Posts: 5370
Loc: Philadelphia
Reg: 11-14-07
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11-07-22 01:34 PM - Post#345932
In response to KenZ
3-4 seems about right since other teams actually have poor shooting nights also. I picked 4 including the D3 game.
| New season, new team, new dream . . . |
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bison63
Postdoc
Posts: 3857
Reg: 01-23-06
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11-07-22 03:41 PM - Post#345945
In response to Bison89
Actually the first decision is at hand! Which game to watch. Men vs D3 LV, or some vs St Joes. Think I’ll go with the gals.
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