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Username Post: New 2021 Recruiting Thread
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-10-20 03:20 AM - Post#308846    

Since the other 2021 recruiting thread went off the rails, let's start anew here.

My only request is that in this thread folks only talk about actual recruits, recruit news, recruit updates, etc. All the other "stuff" can stay over in the old thread.

Recapping current targets (stealing some details from last post):

- Casey Simmons 3*/4* wing from Milton Academy (plays for the same AAU team Jarrod Simmons played for)

- Noah Harris (NR) PG from Rutgers Prep (same school Jonah Charles attended)

- Jack Molloy (NR) wing from NMH - COMMITTED TO YALE

- Franck Kepnnang Very high 4* Center from Westtown (same HS as TJ Berger), offered by Kansas and visited by Calipari.

- Stevie Mitchell 4* PG offered by PSU, Stanford, with Villanova just offering - DIDN'T MAKE HIS TOP 7, ST. JOES, TEMPLE, VILLANOVA, STANFORD NOTABLE REMAINING SCHOOLS

- Ed Holland NR wing from Friends Central with offers from PSU, VCU, and interest/offers from the whole Big Five (except Nova).

- Andy Barba SF from ISA in Ohio

- Isaiah Walker SG/SF from Wyoming, Ohio

- Jarvis Moss SG from Cannon School NC

- Philip Byriel PF/C goes to Perkiomen school in NJ

- Bennett Pitcher PF/C - COMMITTED TO HARVARD

- Nana Owusu-Anane 6'9 PF

- AJ Braun 6'8 PF

- Brandon Lieb 7'0 C

- Gianni Thompson 6'7 PF - DIDN'T MAKE HIS TOP 7

- Gabe Dorsey 6'6 SG

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-10-20 03:24 AM - Post#308847    

So biggest news today is that we didn't make Stevie Mitchell's Top 7, which is a shame because he is a high academic kid, who is also a top 100 national player. Not surprised by this though - he has blown up since we started recruiting him, so wouldn't judge recruiting results for 2021 class based on losing this battle.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
06-10-20 11:49 AM - Post#308864    

Admittedly I don’t follow the Ivy like most of you and the entire AI is out of my pay grade so please understand I just pass along what I hear and the only thing I ask is if somebody knows they aren’t academically qualified that they don’t mention that aspect out of respect for these young men.
Name I’m hearing most is Anane but people love Lieb and expect him to blow up( think he has option of class of 20’) so I’d keep an eye on him. Hearing more names just lemme make sure it’s ok before I float them. Also hearing a lot of stuff about Burger, Georgetown, his dad and other high end big man recruit in class of 21🙄
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
06-10-20 12:13 PM - Post#308868    

Disappointed in the Mitchell news in that he had a mix of local schools (Nova, Temple, St. Joes) and a high academic school (Stanford) along with a few others. But the local, high academic school could not make the final 7? Not good.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-10-20 05:51 PM - Post#308890    

Thanks as always for the info. Can you provide any more detail about Berger? Is there a question about him and Georgetown?
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
06-10-20 09:51 PM - Post#308896    

The only question I can think of is whether his scholarship is part of a package deal.

Charlie Fog
Masters Student
Posts 587
06-11-20 07:08 AM - Post#308897    

well if Franck Kepnang ends up there we will know.
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
06-11-20 10:59 PM - Post#308919    

Here's an example of what nyc is talking about with Lieb:

https://basketballrecruit ing.rivals.com/news/three...
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
06-12-20 11:08 PM - Post#308951    

I believe Lieb's older brother went to Brewster for a prep year before signing with Lehigh, where he had an injured plagued (non)career.

So I wouldn't be surprised to see him at a New England prep in the fall.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-13-20 05:13 PM - Post#308957    

Brandon Lieb just picked up a 2020 offer to Big 12 Oklahoma... if 2020 is an option, I wonder if Penn is looking at him as a 2020 or 2021. I’d guess his 2020 offer to OU would be given under idea that we would redshirt next year.

Nana Owusu-Anane picked up an offer to Duquesne.
seas2k4
Junior
Posts 274
06-15-20 12:28 PM - Post#309030    

On Noah Harris, his coach is former Penn basketball manager Matt Bloom.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
06-15-20 02:01 PM - Post#309042    

Just last week he mentioned Princeton but not Penn amongst the schools recruiting him the hardest.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-16-20 01:23 AM - Post#309057    

Looks like we might have missed another interesting prospect we’ve offered out of CA:

Justin Rochelin 3* 161st ranked player per 247 Sports - https://247sports.com/Player/Justin-Rocheli n-46083...

Offered by Penn, Princeton and Yale from Ivy’s and a bunch of mid major and power schools. Temple also offered over the weekend.

Interview: https://phillysportsnetwo rk.com/2020/05/15/2021-th...

Interestingly he says he really likes Penn, but when asked who keeps closest contact his answer has Yale at top of the list. Don’t know if that means anything or not, but he is one to watch.

Highlights: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgUAstZpozw

91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
06-16-20 07:40 AM - Post#309058    

Where do you get that we have missed out on him? We can be doing more. That seems to be a common theme that other schools (Yale) are outworking us. Not sure how all the schools go about the contact but it seems we are consistently not doing enough.
pennsive
Junior
Posts 200
06-16-20 09:59 AM - Post#309061    

The B.S. NCAA recruiting Jerome-related restrictions prohibited us from normal recruitment for two periods, the second one ending June 10, so we couldn't be in contact the way Princeton and Yale were. I doubt that we get outworked when we have a free hand.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-16-20 10:32 AM - Post#309062    

  • 91Quake Said:
Where do you get that we have missed out on him? We can be doing more. That seems to be a common theme that other schools (Yale) are outworking us. Not sure how all the schools go about the contact but it seems we are consistently not doing enough.



Oops, sorry I didn’t mean we missed out on him like we don’t have a chance that he will choose Penn. He seems interested based on that article for whatever that’s worth.

I just meant we missed him in our list of players with 2021 offers.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-16-20 10:34 AM - Post#309063    

  • pennsive Said:
The B.S. NCAA recruiting Jerome-related restrictions prohibited us from normal recruitment for two periods, the second one ending June 10, so we couldn't be in contact the way Princeton and Yale were. I doubt that we get outworked when we have a free hand.



Ah, I had forgotten about this so good flag. And we are sure that is over with now?
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
06-16-20 08:20 PM - Post#309077    

THE MILLER REPORT
2021 @NGSaintsHoops/@TeamFinal EYBL (PA) G Hysier Miller has earned an offer from University of Pennsylvania.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
06-16-20 09:12 PM - Post#309083    

Watching Hysier Miller highlights, he has a lot of Dev Goodman in his game with more PG skills. May be a better shooter. There are highlight reels of his defense which is amazing for high school players. He would be a good get for us.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
06-16-20 09:54 PM - Post#309086    

Absolute warrior. Tough tough kid. I know a PAC-10 school loves him... he will end up with several legit offers. Saw him and thought of K Lowery lite
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-16-20 10:38 PM - Post#309087    

Awesome, I REALLY like what I have seen in clips and heard about Hysier Miller. Hasn't gotten the same love as some of the other top Philly guards nationally in 2021, but has outplayed a lot of them head to head. Supposed to be VERY competitive, a complete player overall, but very good defender. Would love to see him as a Quaker.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-17-20 12:30 AM - Post#309088    

When I first saw your comments, I told myself "don't watch the videos." I'm tired of having my heart broken with these kids. Well, I watched the video.

I like the look of Hysier a lot. Would love to see him as a Quaker. He looks like a player whose game would travel well to the Ivy League. He is stronger than most Ivy guards and has good balance. He is fast enough and physical enough to attack in the half court. He plays with balance, and is usually in a good position to dish the ball. If he has a decent outside shot %, then he will be really effective.

I hope he wants a great education and wants to be a Philly star!


Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-17-20 01:16 AM - Post#309090    

Last years stats including 51% overall on FGs, 59% on 2s, 39% on 3s (39 out of 101), 72% FTs, 4.8 rebounds per game, 3 assists per game, and 1.8 steals per game. Full stats here:

https://www.maxpreps.com/m/athlete/hysier-mill er/f...

T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
06-17-20 08:50 AM - Post#309099    

Remarkable how many fans appear to be in attendance at those high school games at the Palestra.

Hope he likes playing there.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-18-20 01:00 AM - Post#309173    

Brandon Lieb, a 7' 0" PF that we were detailed above as having interest in, has been officially offered by Penn.
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
06-18-20 04:15 PM - Post#309235    

We'll be fortunate to get him given all of the interest coming his way. Deerfield has won its regional with him the past 2 years.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-18-20 04:41 PM - Post#309241    

Almost on cue, picked up a Big East offer from DePaul today.

I wonder, as he seems to be AAU teammates with Louis Lesmond – Harvard's newest big pickup for the 2021 class – if that will have any influence on whether or not he chooses us over high-major offers.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-18-20 06:42 PM - Post#309245    

His brother was at Lehigh and was injured for his entire 4 years so the family should realize the importance of getting the best education possible. Of course there are always other factors.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-18-20 08:03 PM - Post#309246    

Like recruiting against non-HYP scholarship offers, without the right to match 100% FA from HYP?
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-18-20 08:59 PM - Post#309247    

True but almost every player on the team had non hyp scholarship opportunities
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-19-20 04:48 AM - Post#309250    

Yep, all of the truly recruited players on the team had scholarship offers to play at a bunch of other schools, so can't use that as some kind of crutch.

Looks like today Brandon Lieb got 2020 offers from Oklahoma State and Utah as well. Clearly his stock is taking off. This would be a great chance to show we can punch above our weight for a recruit, so fingers crossed.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-19-20 04:51 AM - Post#309251    

Since I last took a look:

- Casey Simmons has been offered by Miami, Penn State, Xavier, and Pitt.

- Nana Owusu-Anane has been offered by Hofstra and University of New Hampshire
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-19-20 10:16 AM - Post#309268    

I was wondering if anyone knew what our current income guidelines are for no loan fin aid grants for no tuition and room and board and the higher number for no tuition grants. I'm years behind in understanding and the parameters must have gone up in recent years
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
06-19-20 11:18 AM - Post#309271    

I would be surprised if we ended up a serious contender for Brandon Lieb.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-19-20 02:11 PM - Post#309288    

  • Mike Porter Said:
Yep, all of the truly recruited players on the team had scholarship offers to play at a bunch of other schools, so can't use that as some kind of crutch.

Looks like today Brandon Lieb got 2020 offers from Oklahoma State and Utah as well. Clearly his stock is taking off. This would be a great chance to show we can punch above our weight for a recruit, so fingers crossed.



I won't hijack the thread - this is the NEW recruiting thread!

I used to hate it that recruiting was so opaque in the Allen years. We had no information unless a player tweeted an offer. Now we hear Penn a lot more out there - and it is a different form of torture. A coach's job is to get hundreds of prospects whittled down to a ~5 players signing on the dotted line. At each step of the way, coach and recruit doing a dance to signal the level of their interest - are they each others' top choice or backup choice? Seeing the sausage made is full of heartbreak and disappointment, as most players don't sign on. A coach probably isn't pushing hard enough if a lot of the potential players aren't out of our league. Still, it is the coach's job to make it happen. Even if FA and school policy aren't what they need to be, it's the coach's job to gradually make the school see the light.

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-19-20 02:39 PM - Post#309289    

Haha, good I agree let's not take this thread off course!

As PF10 said, maybe we won't really end up being a finalist for Brandon Lieb, I don't have any insight, but hopefully we can surprise here and stay in the game.

We will absolutely offer a ton of kids that will not pick Penn, that's understandable and part of the game. We have offers out still to a lot of high quality kids, with lots of offers, and even some top 150 type ranked players. We surely won't get them all, nor should we, and that is OK.

Just hopefully we land a few of our top priority targets and then we will be in great shape. I really like our targets for this class, just need to convert on a few and we could have a great class.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-20-20 12:59 AM - Post#309294    

Not that it really matters, as Lieb has multiple other HM offers and seems like a four-year player, but Oklahoma State has a postseason ban for the 2020-21 season. They’re already losing their prized recruit as a result - for which the media coverage among people my age is extensive and negative.

Furthermore, I am cautiously optimistic about him receiving 2020 offers. Given the dubious nature of next season, Lieb choosing to classify as 2021 is made much more likely as the window for him to commit now for those programs is closing.

Again, I’m a current student without any ear to the program or what the staff’s thoughts are, so this is pure speculation. However, I think it merits some thought.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-20-20 01:13 AM - Post#309295    

In other news: Penn, Columbia, and Lehigh have reached out to Brooks ‘21 G Tyler Whitney-Sidney.

Holds offers from Brown, Yale, and as of yesterday, Lehigh - as well as others. I believe he attends to the same school as current 21 offer-holder George Smith (per verbal commits).

Most notably, he plays on the same AAU team as Casey Simmons - arguably our highest target in the ‘21 class. Can’t help but wonder if the team-up angle is being pursued by Donahue and Company.

We will have to see if we decide to pull the trigger, but if we do he looks like a solid guard with a good shot, handle, and athleticism.

https://basketballrecruit ing.rivals.com/news/intro...
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-20-20 01:44 AM - Post#309296    

Hello and welcome! Great to have new folks join. Nice find, looks like a good prospect for sure. He just got an offer from Lehigh today.

Saw this update from Twitter yesterday:

Jake Lieberman
@jakeliberman2
Rising senior, Tyler Whitney Sidney (@twhitneysidney) tells me that he has been speaking with Columbia, Penn, Lehigh, and East Carolina recently. No offers from them yet, though.

Another one to watch for sure.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
06-20-20 01:59 PM - Post#309312    

Seems a bit odd to me that we don't do a better job recruiting the Chicago area. Looking at recent rosters, there are 3 shoe company AAU teams and several players from those teams have come to Ivy's. In addition, there are 5-6 high end high schools that put out Ivy caliber students (and athletes) so it wouldn't be hard to get a foothold there.

Some of the Ivy players from Chicago AAU teams include: Tai Bibbs (Columbia/Meanstreets-Nik e), Mike Smith (Columbia-MacIrvin Fire-Nike), Perry Cowan (Brown-Ill Wolves-Under Armour), Cirian Brayboy (Harvard-Ill Wolves-UA), Jameel Alausa (Yale-non shoe AAU), Max Rothschild (Penn-Ill Wolves-UA), Evan Beaudreau (Dartmouth-non shoe AAU).

Louis Lesmond and Brandon Lieb are both from Ill Wolves AAU so it's not at all unfamiliar to Ivy Coaches. In addition the Wolves had Chasson Randle who starred at Stanford and played a year with the Knicks so they are obviously a fertile ground for occasional Ivy recruits.

I know we have a committment to the Philadelphia area and schools within a 2-3 hr drive of campus, but our current roster has plenty of kids from further out. It wouldn't take much of a committment to cover 3 AAU programs and 5 schools so I'd like to see us do better in places like that which consistently have Ivy recruits.
Stuart Suss
PhD Student
Posts 1439
06-20-20 02:51 PM - Post#309316    

PennFan10:

What were the AAU backgrounds of the following Chicago area recruits?

Marin Kukoc: Highland Park
Dan Monckton: Glenbrook South
Rob Belcore: Loyola Academy
Tony Hicks: St. Rita
Dan Dwyer: Fenwick


PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
06-20-20 03:08 PM - Post#309317    

Hicks was a Nike guy for one of the two Nike teams I believe. Belcore played for I’ll Wolves. Dan Dwyer played for a no show team if o recall. No idea about the other two.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
06-20-20 07:45 PM - Post#309320    

Monckton played with Rising Stars with Jeffrey Jordan

weinhauers_ghost
Postdoc
Posts 2139
06-20-20 09:53 PM - Post#309323    

  • PennFan10 Said:


In addition the Wolves had Chasson Randle who starred at Stanford and played a year with the Knicks so they are obviously a fertile ground for occasional Ivy recruits.





I liked Randle's game a lot when he was at Stanford. Saw them win the NIT championship at MSG his junior year. Unfortunately, he wasn't quick enough or a good enough playmaker at the point to stick in the NBA, and he wasn't tall enough to be an effective 2 guard. Last I heard he was playing in China.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
06-22-20 02:15 PM - Post#309396    

Yes Randle played most of the year in China after the previous season with the Wizards. He signed a 10-day contract with the Warriors which was cut short bt COVID 19.

Good player; just not quite regular NBA quality even as a backup.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
06-22-20 05:11 PM - Post#309416    

https://twitter.com/CBHSbasketball/status /12751731...

Penn has extended an offer to Reese McMullen, a 6'3" guard from Christian Brothers High School in Memphis, TN. He currently has offers from Dartmouth, Lipscomb, Holy Cross, and Army, and Princeton and Yale have both expressed interest as well
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-23-20 02:13 AM - Post#309425    

Casey Simmons has cut his list down to 7. Penn did not make the cut, but Princeton and Yale did.

Top 100ish wing who Penn offered a year ago (as far as I can tell, before Princeton and Yale), so that’s a bit disappointing to be out of it.

https://247sports.com/college/basketball/re cruitin...

Ed Holland III is cutting his list down later this week (Princeton, Yale, Columbia, and Princeton have offered as well), so that’s the next one to watch.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-23-20 03:10 AM - Post#309426    

Definitely a disappointment, he could clearly have been a centerpiece around which the 2021 class fell into place - definitely the highest ranked player we’d have ever signed.

Before the pandemic, he was slated to take an official to Penn and I’m wondering how that may have changed things. I think it also introduces the perspective of how the coaching staff’s recruiting approach differs from our peers. Time and time again when it comes to the question of which schools are recruiting guys the hardest, we’re not mentioned. This has been stated in interviews with Simmons, Noah Harris, Stevie Mitchell, Ed Holland, etc. If it’s a trend that’s public information, one has to wonder why the strategy hasn’t adapted to it.

I’ve listened to radio interviews that Donahue has done, and the strategy currently is to call recruits every so often and break down their game, send them clips, chat, etc. Is it difficult to up that number / are there restrictions making that more difficult? I understand from a recruit’s perspective how having many suitors can dilute your impression of a singular program, so increasing contact seems like a no brainer to me.

We’re all clear how after the disappointing results of the 2020 class (not at all to diminish our current recruits, but we missed on some high priority targets [BIGS]) how 2021 is critical. Still, we’ve yet to hear any good news. To match Harvard in recruiting at the moment is a stretch for any Ivy, perhaps Yale we could compete with more, but Princeton definitely. As it stands head to head, we’re sliding into the second tier of the league - maybe even to be eclipsed by Brown.

I apologize if I sound frustrated. I just see the amount of work needing to be done to get back to the NCAA tournament (and perhaps the dream of a 2-bid league) drastically increasing as we miss on priority targets. My god I wish we had Harvard’s problem of too much depth.
20Penn14
Senior
Posts 364
06-23-20 01:43 PM - Post#309442    

I do wonder if some of the perceived lack of communication is due to the penalties from the Jerome Allen saga. I believe Penn lost some recruiting days and the ability to contact recruits so I imagine that can harm players first impression of Penn
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 02:09 PM - Post#309443    

I cannot believe anyone out-works the Penn staff for recruits. But as long as the ground rules favor HY and Pr, and let's be real, while Penn is a great school, most non-athletic recruits go to those schools if they get into them over Penn.

We are talking about (despite what Mike says) a serious structural disadvantage in recruiting, where we have virtually no ability to take a player they cannot take and they can offer better FA plus they have better brands in terms of perceived diploma value. Is it possible that getting a big time coach with serious AAU ties (like Amaker) would help? Yes, but....

We have no road to dominance right now---we have to simply pick players they miss and develop them while hoping we won't succumb to a rash of injuries, since we will never have Harvard's depth under current conditions. But if the fact that Harvard seems to be able to recruit guys we are after who might not ever see the court there given how many they are recruiting doesn't tell you something, nothing will.

Again, that doesn't mean we can't beat those guys--I really like the team we have. But we simply will not get guys they want.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-23-20 02:25 PM - Post#309446    

I don’t think Brown has eclipsed us. It’s actually trending the other way. Since Steve got here, we’ve finished ahead of Brown all 5 years. They’ve never made the Ivy tournament, and we’ve made it every year. Before Steve got here, we had finished behind them three years in a row. They finished ahead of us most years in the Miller/Allen era, but not since.

I know mike James is down on our class, but both teams got 4 recruits this year, and it seems pretty clear we got the best two. Similarly, while the difference in the Ivy W/L was razor thin this year, we were way ahead of Brown in Pomeroy. Statistically, Brown and Dartmouth were indistinguishable. Brown got a couple more bounces and the boost of starting the league season with a bunch of the easiest home games.

We could be in for a fight for the Ivy tournament this year, but Dartmouth is much more likely to be our problem. Brown lost a lot of everything in Hunsaker and a lot of volume in Anderson.

mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
06-23-20 02:33 PM - Post#309447    

If anyone on these boards *is* in a position to solve this problem (never know where boosters/huge donors are lurking), it'd be helpful to identify what the real problem is. And what I'm reading here... ain't it.

Penn could be bringing in classes that are competitive for best in the league tomorrow. Any belief otherwise is misguided.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 02:37 PM - Post#309448    

If you are suggesting that Penn spend as much as Harvard is on basketball, I would ask as the booster coming forward with the money "What is my return?" For with an unequal playing field, simply matching Harvard's expenditure won't do it. Especially where there is no chance any significant share of the investment will be recouped.

Yes, getting an Amaker level coach would help our recruiting efforts. We still would lose all the head to head battles for recruits.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
06-23-20 03:42 PM - Post#309455    

There's just so much wrong with how you view what Harvard did, and it's inhibiting you from seeing how Penn could do the same.

Harvard didn't spend on basketball. It spent on Amaker. It spent on his vision for Harvard.

The right coach that could embrace the Penn community (especially Wharton), its iconic facility in The Palestra and understand that there's a huge advantage at and around the AI floor... a narrow, but clear window where the team has the ability to be relatively unimpeded in the pursuit of recruits... that coach is out there. Penn decided not even to skate to where the puck is, but rather to where the puck was. And now, we're where the puck was going, and Penn has fallen even further behind.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-23-20 03:58 PM - Post#309457    

As a current Penn student, I completely agree.

My friends at Harvard know Amaker and know the team: by virtue of his efforts to bring in the community and the work of the Athletics Department to build excitement around the program. Penn’s outreach to current students regarding the team is laughable, at best.

Emails are sent to student ~after~ they choose to sign up for emails or go to a game - essentially it is beholden on the students to learn of the games and follow the team. Student ticketing is awful, and I know you alums have issues with the ticketing office, but with a Palestra that is routinely NOT sold out for every home game last year - why do they find it acceptable to charge students once 250 tickets are given out? If they want interest, all students should be able to go for free always (maybe Villanova is the exception), not turned away at the door.

Those students driving engagement either come into Penn with knowledge and interest in the program or are close with members of the team. Otherwise, students could really care less. That’s less beholden on Donahue as it is the AD, but mrjames is right that the Amaker-level of outreach simply isn’t there.

Our social media presence is minimal, as well. I can look up videos from a little over a decade ago with at least 1000 students going berserk. A lot of that shift has to do with Jerome Allen’s destroying the programs luster, but a competitive team should be able to draw students. Say what you want about John J Lee or Levities, but at least the crowds there are loud and look sold out on TV. Much easier to sell that than an empty Palestra.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-23-20 03:58 PM - Post#309458    

It was never a budgetary constraint. It was a constraint imposed by our President who nixed a plan to put a high salary coach in place, a transaction that was all but done. She felt no Penn coach should be paid that amount considering the salaries of most full time professors. Maybe she’s right.

The result though Jerome Allen and all that followed.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 04:04 PM - Post#309459    

With everything being equal, had Penn gotten an Amaker level coach, would Penn be winning the battles with Harvard?

No.

And your opinion is just that---your opinion. I give Amaker credit for his AAU ties, but give us a break--any coach at his level could do what he has done at Harvard. He has essentially a product that sells itself and at the end of the day he says, "Wouldn't you like to have a Harvard degree and be one of us?" There's nothing magical about that. Please stop trying to say there is.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
06-23-20 04:13 PM - Post#309460    

  • AsiaSunset Said:
It was never a budgetary constraint. It was a constraint imposed by our President who nixed a plan to put a high salary coach in place, a transaction that was all but done. She felt no Penn coach should be paid that amount considering the salaries of most full time professors. Maybe she’s right.

The result though Jerome Allen and all that followed.



I take it you mean Fran M? I do wonder what his level could have done for our program.

Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-23-20 04:24 PM - Post#309463    

I won’t pretend to have as much knowledge of the history of the program. What I know of it is essentially present information.

However, the debate over whether or not we can compete with Harvard is somewhat dilatory at this point. With the exception of a few recruits, we don’t go after the same players if the last few years are any indication.

Both schools have many different institutional advantages, and many similarities. A good recruiter should be able to market those effectively. Anything that draws upon the line of “oh we can’t compete because of the Harvard name” or “our FA packages aren’t quite as generous (despite my friends and I’s having been matched from other ivys)” is defeatist. It also somewhat demeans recruits to evaluate their decision process if the brand name is the only thing they care about.

Penn has many very attractive and unique qualities that should attract recruits from all levels and of most ceilings. The fact that we have to rely on developing overlooked talent because we struggle to land our top targets says a lot.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 04:36 PM - Post#309465    

We indeed have gone up against Harvard a lot in recent years. I'm not saying that you are incorrect that we have a lot to sell, but you are incorrect that we necessarily can be marketed to a different recruiting base than Harvard--the AI ensures that.

I think you'll see that Steve did a helluva job last year though. And if Jelani Williams comes back with Wang and Bryce, we can compete for a title. But the fundamental lopsided playing field in the Ivies is what it is.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-23-20 04:48 PM - Post#309466    

Correct. We don’t have to beat Harvard in head to heads to beat them on the court.

And - it’s not like Yale and Princeton have beaten us with a team loaded with top 250 recruits.

There is pressure to secure more front court talent this year. That’s an obvious need after last year’s misses. But - Brodeur, Simmons, Wang and Lorca were all the bigs we targeted their years. But with A J gone we clearly need to get lucky and avoid injuries this year.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-23-20 04:50 PM - Post#309467    

This is the NEW thread. Let's talk mostly about players here.

Start a separate institutional advantages thread, Palestra38 so that we can have a thread to just search players. Of course FA will come up in this thread, but let's have the debates somewhere else? It really is nice to have a simple thread when we want to refer to old recruiting news.

Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-23-20 04:51 PM - Post#309468    

There are a lot of great things to be said about the 2019 class, and they will certainly be a great foundation. I think the issue is, though, that because of missed classes we’re going to have depth issues at certain key positions (the five). For a sustained run through OOC and the league, having another year with a depth chart of 7-8 (hopefully more) is going to be hard.
LocalTiger
Masters Student
Posts 434
06-23-20 04:55 PM - Post#309469    

A very odd discussion. The assumption seems to be
Penn is at a resource disadvantage, at least as to
Harvard, and maybe HYP, I. recruiting.
There was a thread on the League board
a while back with actual data showing Penn's
MBB budget was the highest in the Ivies by
about 30 percent.
Hard to argue Harvard has not won the recruiting
wars in the Ammaker years, but Penn cannot claim
it did not have the resources to compete.


palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 05:07 PM - Post#309471    

I think you are containing within the "misses" the injuries. We had some really good players in the 2021 class that got hurt and Jelani in the 2020 class. Contrary to what some people think, I am not a pessimist, nor did I bring up the subject here of why we are missing on recruits. I think we have a chance to be really good this year. Everything has to come together, but with pretty much everyone but Yale somewhat of a question, I feel pretty good about the upcoming season, assuming it gets played.
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
06-23-20 05:07 PM - Post#309472    

  • AsiaSunset Said:
It was a constraint imposed by our President who nixed a plan to put a high salary coach in place, a transaction that was all but done.



What is the name of this high salary coach?
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
06-23-20 05:08 PM - Post#309473    

Fran McCaffrey
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-23-20 05:24 PM - Post#309475    

  • Penndemonium Said:
This is the NEW thread. Let's talk mostly about players here.

Start a separate institutional advantages thread, Palestra38 so that we can have a thread to just search players. Of course FA will come up in this thread, but let's have the debates somewhere else? It really is nice to have a simple thread when we want to refer to old recruiting news.




Seriously, please create another thread to focus on defeatist attitudes there and not jack this thread up any more.

Despite the fact that I completely disagree with those opinions being thrown around as hard facts, I'd rather keep this to the actual recruiting, player details, etc.

Thanks
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-23-20 05:24 PM - Post#309476    

Is this really a difference between Harvard and Penn? Obviously Harvard’s building is a fraction of the size, but they only sold out about half their home games in a 1600 seat stadium. Penn played only one Ivy home game in front of fewer than 3000 people. Student engagement isn’t close to what it used to be at Penn, and maybe our more vocal, traveling alumni base of fans is deceptive, but we outdraw them by more than 2x.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-23-20 05:37 PM - Post#309477    

I am a little mystified as to why you think Donahue doesn’t embrace the community, Wharton, the facility, etc. Maybe my perspective is compromised by where we were coming from, but he is so much better at these things than his predecessors that I am very surprised by your perspective. Donahue is a Philly guy through and through who is very much a part of the community and conveys that far better than our last two coaches.

Maybe he’s not Dunphy, but perceptions of Dunphy probably show how times have changed — when I was a student, I’m pretty sure I came within a whisker of getting punched in the face by him. Despite that outreach, I kept going to games!
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-24-20 12:03 AM - Post#309492    

Brandon Lieb now picked up a 2020 offer from Illinois tonight.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-24-20 02:19 AM - Post#309493    

https://www.chicagotribune.com/suburbs/lake-county...

Clearly what our coaching staff sees in him multiple other programs see in him as well. Few takeaways:

1. Penn is listed among HM offers as distinct from mid-major offers, how nice!
2. His plans were to take a post-grad year, but the slew of 2020 offers have maybe changed that. He gives a 2-4 week timeline. I wonder if we’re in on him for 2020 in addition to 2021. Now THAT would be a steal. I also wonder if this is partly why Penn unlike some other ivy programs has yet to release its 2020 class. On a related note: who is our fourth recruit for the class? Donahue has mentioned four recruits (post Berger) and some of you have. All I know of is Case, Slajchert, and Laczkowski
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-24-20 03:41 AM - Post#309494    

Colin Chambers (som of former early 90’s player Paul Chambers) who I believe is a walk on to the team.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-24-20 06:39 PM - Post#309559    

  • welcometothejungle Said:
https://twitter.com/CBHSbasketball/status /12751731...

Penn has extended an offer to Reese McMullen, a 6'3" guard from Christian Brothers High School in Memphis, TN. He currently has offers from Dartmouth, Lipscomb, Holy Cross, and Army, and Princeton and Yale have both expressed interest as well



Highlights here: http://www.hudl.com/v/2DJGYu

Looks like a nice offensive player, but what I like about his highlight reel is that it actually includes defense.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-24-20 07:33 PM - Post#309562    

In fairness to Brown, they actually have 5 recruits coming in, compared to our 4. I missed Felix Kloman, who I don’t think had any other D1 offers. So they are ahead of us in terms of number of incoming recruits for this year.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-24-20 11:27 PM - Post#309568    

A few plusses and some minuses from his highlights:

Defense:
Great defensive positioning and very quick hands. Reads offenses well to understand where he should rotate on the weak side, anticipate the cutter, and read the screen to high post flare. This clearly would be an asset in guarding ivy teams. From these highlights I don’t get a sense of his willingness to guard more than the 1-2, obviously not really rn job of a PG or combo guard, but something we all loved about Antonio Woods.

Offense:
I can see why Donahue would be very high on this kid. Clearly spaces the floor as a shooter, understands how to drive and collapse defenses, and has great court vision to find the cutter or open man. Also doesn’t crowd the ball handler or lane (unlike some of our guys). I didn’t see that great of ball handling (a few behind the backs at the foul line that definitely wouldn’t fly in college) but of all the skills - this is one that can be refined and drastically improved quickly. You can’t teach good decision making nearly as quickly.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
06-25-20 11:58 AM - Post#309578    

https://twitter.com/brandonlieb12/status/ 127616557...

Looks like Brandon Lieb must have really liked Illinois' offer, as 2 days after receiving their offer he committed to Illinois this morning
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-25-20 12:34 PM - Post#309579    

Yeah, not super surprised by that, basically his hometown Big 10 team came calling.
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
06-25-20 01:04 PM - Post#309587    

Evanston is a nice bike ride away from Deerfield. I've done that one myself.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-25-20 01:53 PM - Post#309596    

I liked his video too. Agree that I would have liked to see a bit tighter ball handling, as he could be a pretty interesting combo guard. I liked that he could get to the hoop well but also execute the pull-up. I saw signs of a step-back three, which would be a real weapon if he can perfect it. He looked very active on steals, although I wondered if he could get burned by some of his anticipation at the next level - susceptible to the backdoor? Hard to say from highlights. He gets an offer from me! Surprised he isn't involved with a higher quality group of schools, although it's fine by me if there are fewer suitors!

  • jmw Said:
A few plusses and some minuses from his highlights:

Defense:
Great defensive positioning and very quick hands. Reads offenses well to understand where he should rotate on the weak side, anticipate the cutter, and read the screen to high post flare. This clearly would be an asset in guarding ivy teams. From these highlights I don’t get a sense of his willingness to guard more than the 1-2, obviously not really rn job of a PG or combo guard, but something we all loved about Antonio Woods.

Offense:
I can see why Donahue would be very high on this kid. Clearly spaces the floor as a shooter, understands how to drive and collapse defenses, and has great court vision to find the cutter or open man. Also doesn’t crowd the ball handler or lane (unlike some of our guys). I didn’t see that great of ball handling (a few behind the backs at the foul line that definitely wouldn’t fly in college) but of all the skills - this is one that can be refined and drastically improved quickly. You can’t teach good decision making nearly as quickly.



Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-25-20 01:54 PM - Post#309597    

Where does this leave us with 2021 bigs?

Lieb committing to Illinois means the only big that we’ve offered and still has us on their list is Franck Kepnang - which is as big a moonshot as any.

Unless someone has other information - I don’t think we’ve extended any other offers, just interest.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-26-20 01:19 AM - Post#309621    

A new forward I just saw us mention with is Ian Schieffelin, 6’9” 225 forward from Georgia.

Jake Lieberman
@jakelieberman2
Rising senior Ian Schieffelin, (@ian_schieffelin) tells me that Clemson, Virginia Tech, Penn, Wofford, Charleston, and Western Carolina have shown interest. He holds offers from Georgia State, App State, Richmond, Charlotte, and others.

http://www.verbalcommits.com/players/ian-schieffel ...

So no offer yet but sounds like we have interest.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-26-20 10:25 AM - Post#309624    

Ed Holland released his top 8:

Finally some good news! Penn is involved along with Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Penn State, VCU, Rhode Island, and Providence.

A good mix of mid majors along with a few HM programs, unfortunately we can’t pursue the AAU-team up route with his teammate Stevie Mitchell. Hoping for some good fortunes here.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-27-20 01:44 PM - Post#309667    

Looks like a guy we could really use, and it would be nice for us to get a Friends Central guy - especially with such academic and character chops. He has a great mix of skills on offense - his team clearly felt comfortable setting him up for three pointers a few steps behind the arc. He can get to the hoop very quickly and elusively. Finally, he has the now scarce mid-range game. I like that his mid-range game is built on some repeatable and more reliable foundations - a turnaround around the rim and the pull-up a little further out. That translates much better to the next level than leaning and athletic shots. I didn't see his defense on video, but I liked reading about his wingspan.

https://www.inquirer.com/high-school-sports/pe nnsy...


  • jmw Said:
Ed Holland released his top 8:

Finally some good news! Penn is involved along with Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Penn State, VCU, Rhode Island, and Providence.

A good mix of mid majors along with a few HM programs, unfortunately we can’t pursue the AAU-team up route with his teammate Stevie Mitchell. Hoping for some good fortunes here.



Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-27-20 08:15 PM - Post#309672    

Great news that we made Top 8 cut for Ed Holland III, and agree he looks like a great prospect. We have a bit of home court advantage, so I'm hoping that goes in our favor. I would think that he is certainly one of our top targets (and would guess he has been for some time). We offered very early in the process as well compared to most of the schools on his final list.

Other programming note - Casey Simmons committed to Northwestern, which I would imagine means that Princeton and Yale could also be prioritizing Ed Holland III (though there isn't a public offer from Princeton as of yet, they did have him on for a Zoom pitch recently).

For me, this recruitment is an important one to watch, considering strong competition in league and with very good mid-high major programs.


Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-27-20 08:29 PM - Post#309673    

  • Mike Porter Said:
A new forward I just saw us mention with is Ian Schieffelin, 6’9” 225 forward from Georgia.

Jake Lieberman
@jakelieberman2
Rising senior Ian Schieffelin, (@ian_schieffelin) tells me that Clemson, Virginia Tech, Penn, Wofford, Charleston, and Western Carolina have shown interest. He holds offers from Georgia State, App State, Richmond, Charlotte, and others.

http://www.verbalcommits.com/players/ian-schieffel ...

So no offer yet but sounds like we have interest.



Know we haven't offered him yet, but his recruiting is picking up. Apparently played very well in AAU tournament this morning, and Clemson offered this evening. Not sure how much in the mix we are, but just FYI for those following along.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
06-27-20 08:39 PM - Post#309674    

Looks like Hysier Miller and Ed Holland III were playing some pickup games today along with 4*, Top 100, 2022 target Jameel Brown (all offered by Penn). Would sure be nice if one of them committed and started personally recruiting the rest!

Tweet from Miller's HS coach (and for those who don't follow Philly recruiting, that is A LOT of good players right there in those pickup games):

John Brennan, Ed.D.
@imjohnbrennan
Got my hoops fix at the
@jaydoefilms runs today. Hysier “Fabb” Miller, Zaakir Williamson, Nisine “Wooga” Poplar, Rahsool Diggins, Ed Holland, Jameel Brown, Jaylen Stinson, Aaron Lemon-Warren, Marcus Randolph, Malik Edwards, etc. #GoodBump
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-27-20 09:47 PM - Post#309675    

Casey Simmons committed to Northwestern, per Twitter.

Wishing him luck in the Big 10, but I would be lying if part of me isn’t thankful it’s not Yale or Princeton.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-27-20 09:52 PM - Post#309676    

Also an update on Andy Barba: 2021 6’ 6” SF

http://endlessmotor.net/2020/06/27/one-on-one -with...

Penn is mentioned here, he doesn’t speak on his recruitment beyond offers though, so no further insight on that. What’s very impressive though is what his coaches are saying about his development over quarantine. Hopefully, we can maneuver a steal here, something Coach Donahue has talked about capitalizing on: the absence of HM recruiting developments alongside an AAU season.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
06-27-20 10:09 PM - Post#309677    

  • Mike Porter Said:
Great news that we made Top 8 cut for Ed Holland III, and agree he looks like a great prospect. We have a bit of home court advantage, so I'm hoping that goes in our favor. I would think that he is certainly one of our top targets (and would guess he has been for some time). We offered very early in the process as well compared to most of the schools on his final list.

Other programming note - Casey Simmons committed to Northwestern, which I would imagine means that Princeton and Yale could also be prioritizing Ed Holland III (though there isn't a public offer from Princeton as of yet, they did have him on for a Zoom pitch recently).

For me, this recruitment is an important one to watch, considering strong competition in league and with very good mid-high major programs.






Princeton's offers are almost never public for some reason. I've basically just started assuming that any time they make a top 8 type list it means there's been an offer
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
06-28-20 07:44 AM - Post#309680    

Correct. Princeton generally stays very quiet on the trail. Tend to only find out they’re involved when a recruit mentions them or when they’re up against another Ivy. And because they go their own way a fair deal, pretty frequently neither of those gets tripped for a particular recruit.
weinhauers_ghost
Postdoc
Posts 2139
06-28-20 08:56 AM - Post#309682    

  • mrjames Said:
Correct. Princeton generally stays very quiet on the trail. Tend to only find out they’re involved when a recruit mentions them or when they’re up against another Ivy. And because they go their own way a fair deal, pretty frequently neither of those gets tripped for a particular recruit.



Princeton has always seemed to me to be the one school that has valued system fits above all else. There are particular skills they've looked for, i.e., bigs who are comfortable operating out of the high post, for example. Henderson seems to have moved away from that model more recently, as his version of their offense has evolved.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
06-29-20 11:59 PM - Post#309739    

Not that we have a shot, but recruit news nonetheless:

Per Stockrisers, Franck Kepnang will not reclassify to 2020, choosing to stay in the 2021 class.

In addition, he states all schools that have offered are still involved, meaning we are technically still in the race (but even last place is still in the race). St. John's, Vanderbilt, and Maryland are probably the most heavily involved.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-30-20 06:52 PM - Post#309774    

George Smith from the Brooks School committed to Penn. Ranked 17 in NERr rankings for class of 2021
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
06-30-20 07:56 PM - Post#309776    

Video: https://www.hudl.com/video/3/13955230/5e73 dd37e985...

Reminds me a little of Matt Langel
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
06-30-20 08:18 PM - Post#309777    

I watched the Hudl video. What I liked was that he clearly can shoot from all over. He seemed to have Damian Lilliard license to shoot from anywhere. 10 feet beyond the arc? No problem. I also liked that he had good tools to create that shot by pulling up and also with a stepback move. That could be lethal. He seemed to have good downhill speed and decent athleticism and twitch.

There was so much I couldn't see on the video. Not many of his highlight shots seemed to come from movement away from the ball, which would be very important in D1. It would seem paramount once he is scouted by opposing coaches. Not much on his videos showed his court vision, ability to create for others, and defense.

We undoubtedly need shooters, so I'll cheer for this. He can clearly play - I just can't tell how he'll stack up in the league. If I were him, I'd study and practice Rip Hamilton and Ray Allen videos and do defensive footwork drills all summer.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
06-30-20 10:31 PM - Post#309784    

Great news! Glad to be on the board for next year’s class. Seems like a good get — #17 in NERR is higher than Pitcher (or, for that matter, Lorca-Lloyd).
SteveChop
PhD Student
Posts 1155
06-30-20 10:56 PM - Post#309785    

Also liked the fact that he is a lefty - always makes it just a little harder to guard.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-01-20 01:04 AM - Post#309788    

Definitely great news to get 2021 class off and running.

A few thoughts on Smith:
- We offered him almost a year ago after his sophomore year, so clearly thought highly of him and had him targeted early. Think the staff is very good at identifying talent, so like that we got a commitment now.
- His mix tape couldn’t be more suited to be a fit for Donahue’s offense - 85% 3’s, 10% layups, 5% midrange jumpers.
- Can’t find high school or AAU stats to know about %s, but his mixtape shows him hitting 3’s just about every conceivable way possible - off the dribble, step back, leading the break, trailing the break, off the curl, from a mile away, etc.
- Good size for a shooting guard, like that he is a lefty, and noticed it didn’t stop him from using his right hand for attacking the basket.

SG - definitely a good NERR ranking based on historical performance, but note that his ranking is not better than MLL’s was at the same stage of their HS careers. MLL was top 10 after his junior year, maybe even Top 5. After his senior year didn’t quite live up to that projection, he ended up at 25. Note that the rankings usually get shaken up heading into fall and sometimes kids drop as more kids decide to prep, so that is a ranking to watch (assuming any games are played). Note this isn’t a knock and still a good ranking for a prospect for us.

Hopefully just the start of a quality class!
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
07-01-20 07:58 AM - Post#309793    

Don’t know much about the kid, but man, did anyone else see his videos and immediately think... Makai Mason???

As for NERR... its rankings for New England kids tend to be better than the national outlets. But Mike is right, you have to wait until the new prep arrivals get added and senior year output is weighed. There is usually a pretty substantial reshuffle in the December. I don’t know where George will end up, but I’d suspect Pitcher will be around, if not in, the Top 10.

Silver Maple
Postdoc
Posts 3778
07-01-20 09:00 AM - Post#309801    

I put very little stock in these videos, because-- let's face it-- highlights videos can make the most ordinary players look like Nate Archibald. However, even factoring that in, I can't help but be impressed. He looks tough, fearless and fundamentally sound, with the kind of ball skills you'd expect in a guard. Very nice form on his jumper. He can shoot off the dribble (we don't see a lot of players at Penn who can do that well). He hoists up 30-footers with zero hesitation (and hits them, at least on video). Overall, he looks like the prototypical Donahue player. and we shouldn't underestimate the value of that. So I'm encouraged.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
07-01-20 12:43 PM - Post#309824    

Just a note, one article said that he had 8 offerings entering the school year, so some are missing from verbal commits.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-01-20 01:59 PM - Post#309838    

While I agree with you generally, you can see like their level of competition, whether they have certain fundamentals, and how they were used at the HS level. You can also get a glimpse at their handles. Some videos help give clues about defense and vision, but not too many.

I have nothing better to do than comment on recruits' videos, though.

  • Silver Maple Said:
I put very little stock in these videos, because-- let's face it-- highlights videos can make the most ordinary players look like Nate Archibald. However, even factoring that in, I can't help but be impressed. He looks tough, fearless and fundamentally sound, with the kind of ball skills you'd expect in a guard. Very nice form on his jumper. He can shoot off the dribble (we don't see a lot of players at Penn who can do that well). He hoists up 30-footers with zero hesitation (and hits them, at least on video). Overall, he looks like the prototypical Donahue player. and we shouldn't underestimate the value of that. So I'm encouraged.



Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-01-20 03:48 PM - Post#309859    

Saw that we had contacted two forwards in the class of 2021, no offers yet

Basheer Jihad, a 6' 8" F from North Farmington HS,
offers from a few mid-majors and garnering some interest. A more traditional post player with a good hook shot, and a solid three point shot.
http://endlessmotor.net/athlete/basheer-jihad /

Adam Dudzinski, a 6' 7" F from West Genesee and the NY Jayhawks (AAU), seems on the small side for a forward. Good looking shot and body control, footwork isn't as great, would definitely play in college as more of a shooting guard. Athletic when in the open, but doesn't seem to really have the presence to dominate a guarded matchup when its not from behind the arc.
https://twitter.com/jakelieberman2/status /12781859...
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
07-11-20 01:17 PM - Post#310255    

Penn offered 6'10 Gus Larson from Northfield Mount Hermon. He's ranked #20 in his class by NERR.
SteveChop
PhD Student
Posts 1155
07-11-20 02:26 PM - Post#310256    

Apparently the successor to MLL and AJ
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-11-20 06:35 PM - Post#310257    

Hysier Miller (6’ 1” PG) was offered by Temple today.

St. Joe’s also showing interest. Holds offers from Penn, Drexel, Penn State, and others.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-11-20 09:54 PM - Post#310259    

  • SteveChop Said:
Apparently the successor to MLL and AJ



Gus Larson looks like a promising prospect with a lot of upside from all I'm seeing, but note from all I'm reading/seeing on social, would be more of a project than AJ (by far) and MLL (still quite a bit more). Last year, his junior campaign, he only averaged 2.2 points and 1.3 rebounds per game.

I like the offer for a few reasons (upside, keeping up relationship with NMH), but this wouldn't be an instant impact kind of pickup of a big that we will really need in this class.

Still a lot of time, so let's see what happens, but I see the other guys nychoops mentioned are all picking up recruiting steam, so hope we can convert there.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-11-20 09:57 PM - Post#310260    

Top 150ish Gabe Dorsey has cut his list down to 8, and Penn didn't make the list, but Harvard did. I don't know if we ever even offered, but were recruiting him at some point. Still a lot of quality wings with Penn offers though, so don't even know if he was a focus of the staff (though he clearly is very good).
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
07-13-20 05:10 PM - Post#310319    

An update to Garrett Johnson's Crystal Ball on 24/7 Sports suggests he is going to commit to Princeton over Penn, Brown, Yale, and Xavier and others.

My impression based on that update is that the commitment will come down in the next few days and is less of a prediction and more of a report.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
07-13-20 05:48 PM - Post#310323    

Awesome...just another battle lost.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-13-20 06:42 PM - Post#310325    

Hmm, okay if that is true, I would definitely be disappointed because 1) Garrett Johnson looked like a really good player who we offered before a lot of other programs, 2) he looks like a perfect fit for Coach Donahue's offense since he is a good 3 point shooter and is a very athletic 6'7", 3) losing one to Princeton is not the best look considering all our other conversations (and please, for the love, let's not revisit that convo in this thread).

I guess if this is the case, perhaps the silver lining is that it could give us a better shot with Ed Holland III (who I would still probably prefer over Garrett Johnson if you made me pick)? Trying to be positive here.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-14-20 01:47 AM - Post#310326    

The Donahue and Brodeur videos that were posted recently have calmed my soul and given me confidence that somehow Donahue will make things work out and bring us back to championships. Hope Johnson makes the better choice!
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-15-20 01:39 PM - Post#310425    

Garrett Johnson committed to Princeton this morning.

Not great, as it will still be a dogfight to get a SF.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-15-20 07:14 PM - Post#310443    

Reading stuff about his commitment, sounds like Princeton recruited him first and that really paid off for them. A bummer we didn't land him, but it actually makes me feel a little better about it since we only offered in last few months and they offered more than a year ago.

BUT, this does mean losing another really good SF target and puts more emphasis on targets still on the board for us, and particularly someone like Ed Holland III who we have been on for a long time (and who Princeton also was/is after). To feel good about it, would want to see us close one of those top targets for us remaining.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
07-15-20 10:39 PM - Post#310447    

Per Jake Lieberman on twitter:

Rising senior Kacper Klaczek (@klaczek6) tells me that Virginia Tech, Western Kentucky, Penn, UCSB, Boston U, and others are showing interest. Klaczek holds offers from Bradley, Washington State, Bucknell, Santa Clara, and Holy Cross.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
07-16-20 08:57 AM - Post#310450    

Hugely underrated kid. Played on a top 10
team with Illinois and Ohio St Signees so often deferred but saw him at loaded Iolani last year and still managed all tournament honors. Very complete game would be a massive addition and in my opinion an impact day one starter.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
07-16-20 01:22 PM - Post#310466    

2nd coming of Marin Kukoc, hopefully without the bad back
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
07-16-20 01:34 PM - Post#310467    

  • AsiaSunset Said:
2nd coming of Marin Kukoc, hopefully without the bad back


Judging by his name, this kid speaks a different Slavic language.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-16-20 04:11 PM - Post#310475    

Brief article on Gus Larson

https://scoopmantv.com/2020/07/14/3rd-ivy-le ague-o...

Seems to be much more of a trailing big than a traditional inside 5. Talks about how he's mainly played more of a guard role (which fits within Penn's offense well) but has to work on his inside game.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-17-20 11:57 AM - Post#310501    

Interview with Hysier Miller

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N0XmT3Bjj7M

Talks mainly about Philly basketball and his game: nice to hear how he's learning a lot on how to move without the ball. Seems really well reasoned, takes in a lot of advice from his coaches throughout the year on how to improve and to focus on things beyond basketball. He talks briefly about recruitment: has an expectation for a fall commitment and isn't necessarily concerned with staying in Philly so long as he's comfortable with the coaching staff wherever he lands.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-20-20 09:17 PM - Post#310575    

2021 6'5" PG Nick Marshall (River Hill / Team Thrill UAA) received an offer from Penn

https://twitter.com/jakelieberman2/status /12853681...
https://www.hudl.com/video/3/12134292/5e75 8d9732dc...

Offers from Rice, UNCW, Dartmouth.

From his highlights, reads defense really well, very athletic, creates space, shoots well off the pass and dribble, and isn't afraid to attack the basket. Would be a nice pickup.

Looks like a great sleeper PG, something Donahue and co are great at finding and developing, but I'm not sure why we have yet to offer more forwards/bigs.

* Also from his highlights it seems he only has a right hand dribble / layup
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
07-20-20 09:18 PM - Post#310576    

jake lieberman
Nick Marshall tells me that Penn just offered him. They just completed a Zoom call.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-22-20 07:40 PM - Post#310663    

Hysier Miller will be announcing his Top 6 on Saturday, so let's see but hopefully we make the cut.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
07-26-20 01:29 PM - Post#310749    

hysier didn't seem to announce
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-26-20 02:54 PM - Post#310750    

Noticed this too: I think it’s because St Joes got on a call with him a few days ago, and while they didn’t offer, they might and he doesn’t want to close them out.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-26-20 03:48 PM - Post#310751    

Yeah he delayed cutting down apparently as some others getting involved, but seems like we are recruiting him heavily. Some good info on St. Joes boars here in this thread:

https://247sports.com/college/saint-josephs /board/...
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-26-20 07:53 PM - Post#310759    

Just wondering what makes you say we’re recruiting him hard: beyond the initial offer zoom call I haven’t seen public mention of anything else
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
07-26-20 09:47 PM - Post#310763    

From the SJU message board:

"Once Penn learned he had a strong academic profile, they have been recruiting him HARD!!"

"East Carolina and Penn are truly PRESSING!"
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-26-20 10:29 PM - Post#310764    

Yep 91Quake nailed exactly what info I was going on ^^^

For reference, I do follow the other Big 5 school message boards fairly regularly, and the poster who said that is a big Philly basketball guy. His website is here: https://delgrecowilson.com/ (has good content around local basketball and prospects and had a weekly show on local ESPN radio, at least prior to pandemic times).
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-26-20 11:39 PM - Post#310765    

Huh thanks for insight! While this answers one question it raises another: how do they know this?
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-27-20 04:52 AM - Post#310766    

One of the things he does is advise high school players and help get them recruited. Elsewhere on St. Joes/Temple boards (don’t remember specific post) he has said he knows Hysier personally since he was little, so I’m guessing that feedback is pretty direct from the source from players perspective at least.

I personally love what I’ve seen and read about Hysier Miller online so I hope he’s right that our staff is pushing hard.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
07-27-20 08:08 AM - Post#310772    

The guy who writes that is VERY connected to Miller... if he’s writing it I would take it as true
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
07-27-20 08:38 AM - Post#310773    

Thanks NYC. Have you heard anything more on big man recruiting?
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-27-20 08:54 AM - Post#310774    

You really think that there will be any kind of basketball season this year?
SteveChop
PhD Student
Posts 1155
07-27-20 09:33 AM - Post#310775    

Quite frankly, I don't. Can't see that there will be a safe path in November or December when a decision needs to be made with having even an IL season. Feel like I am being cheated out of one of my greatest pleasures.
Just one more reason to vote the incumbent out in November though I acknowledge there are hundreds of more important reasons - incompetence being the primary one.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-27-20 09:37 AM - Post#310780    

And if you see what just happened here with the Marlins, once an infected player is in contact with the others, they all get it.

https://www.inquirer.com/health/coronavirus/li ve/c...
SteveChop
PhD Student
Posts 1155
07-27-20 09:41 AM - Post#310782    

I have also noticed that, despite what I have read, many players in the dugout do NOT wear masks, they are still spitting and balls don't seem to be taken out of play as quickly as I thought they would, e.g. after two players have touched it on a particular play.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
07-27-20 04:26 PM - Post#310815    

I'm hopeful for next year. Either way, recruiting will go on and we need bigs and a PG.

And I think if anything it is IL only (maybe big 5) w lots of testing, all buses, and no fans.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-27-20 05:55 PM - Post#310816    

Players go through a pretty rigorous testing protocol (every week), so that may make the players feel more secure. That may be a false sense, as of course testing isn't perfectly accurate and Covid-19 could be incubating at the time. It's certainly better than nothing.

  • SteveChop Said:
I have also noticed that, despite what I have read, many players in the dugout do NOT wear masks, they are still spitting and balls don't seem to be taken out of play as quickly as I thought they would, e.g. after two players have touched it on a particular play.



Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-27-20 06:21 PM - Post#310817    

I watched the Hysier Miller video, read the blog, and listened to his interview. He would be a great get. I can only dream about him running down the court with Dingle, Williams, and Charles. That would be a pretty terrifying Ivy backcourt. He seems like a young man that is thinking beyond for his life after basketball. I hope he finds Penn's national /global platform to be right for him!

nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
07-27-20 07:41 PM - Post#310822    

I LOVE this kid.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-29-20 04:36 PM - Post#310929    

Looks like Stevie Mitchell is going to announce his commitment in next 48 hours or so. This is a KEY decision for us to watch I think. Not because he is coming to Penn because we know he isn’t, but because he is Temple’s top PG target. They’ve focused on him for a long time and only just offered Hysier Miller.

As Penn fans we really want to root for him choosing Temple because that would likely eliminate Temple for Miller and giving us a better shot.

Unfortunately all the recruiting experts are predicting Mitchell will choose Marquette, which would not be good for our chances of Miller coming to Penn... guess we will see soon enough.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-29-20 04:45 PM - Post#310930    

Also Isaiah Walker committed time Belmont yesterday so can scratch him off of the current list of prospects.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-29-20 04:51 PM - Post#310933    

How seriously can we be in for someone if we lose him to Belmont?
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-29-20 08:28 PM - Post#310938    

How do you mean? I’m not sure where he was on our staff’s priority list, but he had 20 public scholarship offers (a lot of which came after our offer a few months back) across mid majors, so a lot of coaches like him.

Belmont’s a very, very good mid major team in a fun city Nashville so I could see the allure even though I prefer Penn! For reference, in last 14 years, Belmont’s lowest # of wins in a season was 20 and highest was 30. Best KP rating, 23, worst 165 (worst was all the way back in 2006).
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-29-20 08:34 PM - Post#310939    

If all you care about is basketball, I agree. But it's like the kid who transferred from Columbia to Joe's. It makes little sense as a life decision unless playing college basketball is more important than the value of your education. I avoid statements like this when someone chooses a major or a solid academic college with good basketball. But Belmont is not a competitive college---it's a religious school that 99% of applicants would not consider if they are considering Penn. So I wonder if the kid ever were interested in an Ivy.
final479
Freshman
Posts 49
07-29-20 09:28 PM - Post#310941    

There are lots of reasons why he would choose Belmont:
1. Scholarship - A free education compared to taking on debt and burdening his parents financially.
2. Size - He may have wanted a smaller school, for lots of reasons. Some kids do better in that environment. We may see more of this particularly in the Covid era.
3. Religion - He may have wanted a christian college.
4. City - As mentioned, Nashville is booming and a much sought after city for young people.
5. Misc. - I make this last point gingerly. There are lots of paths to life success that don't include an ivy league undergraduate education. I respectfully suggest that we consider this before bashing the academics of school that seems to have a long, proud and successful history. You may want to refer to the US News Rankings which ranks their undergraduate teaching pretty highly.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-29-20 09:48 PM - Post#310942    

They are ranked 166 compared with 6.

But I understand what you are saying. I don't think you understand what I am saying. A kid who prefers a school like Belmont never would consider Penn seriously. They simply are not competitive at any level. If you want the things you mention, you are not interested in a school like Penn. Not that there is anything wrong with that, but I suspect he never seriously considered Penn if he would prefer a college experience such as Belmont.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-29-20 10:16 PM - Post#310943    

Okay got it and see where you are coming from on academic angle. Clearly Penn is a whole different level there, and have no idea how interested he was in Penn really (Penn certainly was most academically rigorous school on his list). Good luck to him regardless and to each their own.

There are still quality wing targets on Penn’s public list so fingers crossed we can land target we want there. I’m still rooting for Ed Holland III, but others like Jarvis Moss who we offered in last few months also look very promising.
final479
Freshman
Posts 49
07-30-20 12:01 AM - Post#310944    

Agreed, they are very different places.
For what it's worth, this was the particular US News list I was referring to:
https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/ranking s/nati...
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
07-30-20 05:41 AM - Post#310946    

And this is the ranking itself:

https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/belmont -unive...

But I readily recognize that you can get a great education at Belmont University. It was not my intention to say "Penn is Better," but that they are so different that it's hard to imagine he really had interest in Penn and what it offered.


Charlie Fog
Masters Student
Posts 587
07-30-20 06:37 AM - Post#310947    

you kind of did though.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
07-30-20 11:10 PM - Post#311001    

Unfortunately Stevie Mitchell chose Marquette, so I imagine Temple will be making a big push for Hysier Miller.

That same poster from St. Joes and Temple boards who is connected to Hysier just posted a piece on his site pretty much encouraging him to pick Temple as well (Penn didn’t even get a mention which is interesting in not a good way I guess):

https://delgrecowilson.com/2020/07/30/recruitmen t-...

Let’s see what happens and hopefully the allure of an Ivy degree and the staff can sway him. I guess we will see soon enough:
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-31-20 02:36 AM - Post#311004    

Hysier has said fall is his expected commitment time but northing is set in stone, so it will be a while.

Generally, that article doesn’t make me feel as confident as I was from the St. Joe’s board: if people in his camp are high on other schools and don’t find Penn to be an important factor in recruitment, I don’t see our coaching staff bridging that gap.

Let’s be real: they’ve missed on some high level targets several times in the 2020 and 2021 class, and if someone who’s literally responsible for Hysier getting some good looks and offers essentially says “play at temple,” that’s a compelling argument.

Personally, I think Hysier is a great kid and would be a phenomenal player and student at Penn. I think our coaching staff agrees. It’s time we get a recruiting battle won
Silver Maple
Postdoc
Posts 3778
07-31-20 09:57 AM - Post#311015    

Broad recruiting question I've been wondering about: how much have the Jerome Allen/Mo Esformes scandal and resultant sanctions hurt Penn's recruiting efforts? I find it pretty easy to believe that it's cost us some high profile recruits.
20Penn14
Senior
Posts 364
07-31-20 11:43 AM - Post#311023    

Penn had:
A three-week ban on all men’s basketball recruiting communications May 10-20, 2020, and May 31-June 10, 2020.
A reduction of men’s basketball recruiting-person days for the 2019-20 academic year by seven.

That definitely did not help Penn with recruiting this year
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-31-20 12:21 PM - Post#311025    

I actually don’t think either of those could have impacted us in their full intended effect for the following:

First, in person recruiting became impossible for everyone, so if we waited for the end of the year to uphold that sanction it became dilatory by March.

Second, the NCAA has enforced recruitment dead periods throughout the spring and at points overlapping with our sanctions. So I don’t actually think, because of COVID, that the sanctions hindered us as much as they would have.
mbaprof
Senior
Posts 345
07-31-20 03:00 PM - Post#311027    

This is interesting
https://delgrecowilson.com/2020/07/30/recruitmen t-...
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-31-20 03:02 PM - Post#311028    

I don't know about that. I bet Amaker was showing up in recruits' neighborhoods. "Just out for a stroll."

  • jmw Said:
I actually don’t think either of those could have impacted us in their full intended effect for the following:

First, in person recruiting became impossible for everyone, so if we waited for the end of the year to uphold that sanction it became dilatory by March.

Second, the NCAA has enforced recruitment dead periods throughout the spring and at points overlapping with our sanctions. So I don’t actually think, because of COVID, that the sanctions hindered us as much as they would have.



Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
07-31-20 03:12 PM - Post#311029    

Very interesting read and heartbreaking to think how many fall into the same trap as his brother. Also pretty tough to not see a single Penn mention. Plenty about University City though...I am starting to get very concerned about our ability to land top notch recruits. Getting the most out of what you have is awesome. So is finding hidden gems. But at some point if you want to be big time you have to recruit big time. I have brought it up on numerous occasions, but is our lead recruiter (past Steve) able to sit down at the table and change minds? We haven't exactly been treated to stories about any kind of recruiting prowess or battles won.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-31-20 03:27 PM - Post#311032    

Per Andrew Slater (@Andrew_Slater) on Twitter:

6’10” Peter Carey’22 of @NY_Lightning just picked up an offer from #Penn
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
07-31-20 03:27 PM - Post#311033    

Sorry I’m realizing that’s 2022
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
07-31-20 03:35 PM - Post#311034    

what a cool article/blog post jmw found
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
07-31-20 04:22 PM - Post#311040    

There is almost no question the Jerome Allen penalties affected recruiting. Not so much in practice, probably more in reputation. It’s the type of think competing schools will use to their advantage
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
07-31-20 09:46 PM - Post#311042    

Yeah, more than the basketball, it's also heartbreaking for me to see that a lot of city kids don't consider Penn their school - one that can help them achieve their dreams. I fully believe it can do that and more, but it requires the right kids and the right relationships with the community. I can't recall who the last great city player was who came to Penn. It's time to open that channel, whether with Miller or someone else.

Since Allen tainted his story arc, maybe Michael Jordan is a good example? I'm counting them even though they were private school kids.

Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-02-20 12:49 AM - Post#311053    

If anyone has a Rivals premium account, would love to know what this article says about Hysier Miller and his recruitment

https://eastcarolina.rivals.com/news/hysier-miller...
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-02-20 12:54 AM - Post#311054    

Also to add to our recruiting woes, per the Harvard board they’ve made the final cut for two standout 2021 players: Gabe Dorsey and top-10 Harrison Ingram (of the same St. Marks as Andrew Laczkowski).

This is, of course, on top of their already stellar 2021 class.

I don’t know how the league (but particularly us) keeps up with them moving forward as we lose more recruiting battles... Brodeur was such a blessing in that regard
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-03-20 05:29 PM - Post#311110    

Hysier Miller is announcing his commitment on Friday per Twitter:

d1fabb
@hysier
I’ll be announcing my commitment on Friday!!

I know he mentioned previously that we would wait until the fall, but with COVID changing how recruiting works... the combination of his decision moving up, happening so quickly after Stevie Mitchell passed on Temple, and people close to him publicly giving advice to choose Temple, sure feels like Temple will be the answer. I hope for Penn, but we'll see Friday and either way wish him well because he seems like a great kid (and I like to see Temple do well when not playing us).
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-03-20 07:35 PM - Post#311114    

The timing of this does make it feel like Temple. I do love the idea of a Philly kid staying in Philly. Unfortunately conference re-alignment has really hurt the standing of the Philly schools. Villanova has made it work by standing out within conference and nationally. Would love to see good things ahead for Temple. That said, I'd prefer to see him at Penn. I could imagine something pretty special for him at the Palestra and on Locust Walk.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-03-20 09:49 PM - Post#311117    

Guess all we can do now is have faith in our coaching staff to get it done
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-03-20 10:38 PM - Post#311118    

Multiple posters on the Temple board saying they’ve heard Miller is ready to commit to Temple:

https://247sports.com/college/temple/board/ 104514/...

So not 100% yet but starting to feel like “another one bites the dust”...
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-04-20 12:20 AM - Post#311122    

Wondering if his mentor (who wrote the website) sees any merit to Penn. While Miller seemed interested, his mentor was not. I'm wondering if it is purely because of the level of basketball, trust/familiarity with the coaching staff, expense, or relative value of education.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-04-20 12:36 AM - Post#311123    

If this is true, and I fear it is, it’s just hard to fathom why we struggle to get Philly-area recruits
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-04-20 01:16 AM - Post#311124    

This quote struck me:

All things considered, North Broad Street seems like it makes a lot of sense. Hysier’s rather large and boisterous extended family can attend every game. Temple pays a cost of attendance stipend. They have state of the art facilities, including luxury apartments for student-athletes. The academic support is first rate. And, most importantly, I trust Aaron McKie and Chris Clark with the social, emotional and basketball development of a young man I love.

Penn's scorecard
Close to family: Check
Cost of attendance stipend: I don't know
State of the art facilities: Check
Luxury Apartment: Whaaat?
Academic Support: I think so, but don't know.
Trust in coaches: They deserve it, but I don't know.

I would offer different criteria:

Close to family
Able to provide right education for what you care about
Able to align with your post-college-basketball goals
Quality of basketball experience
Trust in coaches
Financial profile

This is a long winded way to say that he should choose the program that will help him develop into the man he wants to be AFTER college. This list of criteria may or may not lead him to Penn, but I think is better aligned with Miller's long term future. I realize that the shorter term economic tradeoffs still matter a lot.



Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-04-20 02:42 AM - Post#311125    

I agree, but coming from a current students perspective I can see why Temple, and not Penn, is seen as the ‘Philly school’.

Everyone in the city knows Penn is a premier school, but it’s also seen as a magnet for non-area kids - largely northeast and international students - who then depart after four years to go live in New York and Silicon Valley to work in finance or tech (or both). Penn (and Philly, by extension) are waypoints for many students, the school is characterized as not invested and even exploitative of the city (PILOTs), and that perception of the school has been magnified recently - even if it isn’t true for thousands of students who do stay.

For someone like Hysier, who it seems to be is looking for a school that can provide opportunities while being a part of the city, I can understand why Temple fills that role. Isn’t the statistic that most Philly residents with a degree have one from Temple? It’s a school that is fiercely local, and can provide an education in-demand for the area and especially for someone looking to stay here.

I wholeheartedly believe Penn offers a better experience, degree, level of basketball, and opportunity than Temple. But that reality doesn’t align with a lot of people’s perceptions, and I understand that.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
08-04-20 08:28 AM - Post#311127    

I think you have nailed it with this. Penn may offer better career opportunities on a national scale, but the Temple network offers at east as many locally. That’s not even considering the potential of graduate schools. I also think there is a bit of an elitist aspect to this at the HS level. What success we have had with local kids since the 90s has been largely limited to the preps like EA (Allen) GA (Goodman) and almost Westtown (Berger) and the suburban HS (Betley) that feed Penn generally.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
08-04-20 01:57 PM - Post#311134    

I guess I disagree with just about everything you've said except that I agree Temple is this player's likely destination.

The Penn/Philly network is very powerful. Penn has a large admissions commitment to Philadelphia students that dates back to the deal made with the city to allow Penn to close it's campus and get rid of the trolleys that used to run through the heart of the campus.

Leaving Nova out of the conversation, we actually don't lose many Penn eligible bb recruits to other Philly schools. Unfortunately this one looks very Penn eligible and the signs pointed out by others seem to point to his heading to Temple and not Penn.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
08-04-20 02:59 PM - Post#311138    

Asia - I'm not one to question you often, and nobody is questioning Penn's commitment to city and state students overall. Please tell me, however, who was the last highly recruited player out of the city of Philadelphia that we have landed since Jerome Allen? I don't think we ever recovered from losing Gene Banks to Duke. Admittedly, we don't lose many to other local schools, but we have better luck in north Jersey than we do locally.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
08-04-20 04:15 PM - Post#311144    

Not speaking for Asia, but I think he was referring to losing recruits to other Philly schools vs simply losing highly recruited Philly recruits generally.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-04-20 04:21 PM - Post#311145    


I'm sure there are a deep pool of Philly players and coaches who associate with Temple and can speak to how Temple creates a pathway for local players and careers. How many of the coaches and advisors have worked closely with Penn, are immersed with people whose basketball and professional lives were changed by Penn, and have great relationships there? How many have closely experienced the advantages (or lack thereof)? As pointed out here, there just aren't enough role models in the local basketball scene for Penn's advantages to be well understood. If nothing else, Temple has produced locally successful athletes like Aaron McKie whose pathway is aspirational. Our Penn bred coaching tree has mostly gone to coach outside of Philadelphia, so they aren't part of any local lore. I feel that the continued rise of Penn academically (and resulting difficulty for admissions), the decline of the Sonny Hill league, the loss of Big 5 double-headers, and the lack of scholarships have further separated Penn from the local basketball scene. I doubt are coaches are even spending much time around the public league.
Glenflesk
Freshman
Posts 67
08-04-20 04:25 PM - Post#311146    

A talented prospective college basketball player has only to attend a Temple game and see the packed, enthusiastic student section and then at Penn's see empty student seats to get an accurate picture of what it's going to be like playing there and in the hearts and regards of their teachers and fellow students. A lot of prospects would find more comfort at Temple.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-04-20 04:26 PM - Post#311147    

BTW, I do wish more of the local players, coaches, and advisers could understand the trade-offs more fully. It may not mean all players would go to Penn, but I think at least some would seek it out. Most of these players won't be in the NBA, and Penn is certainly an unbelieveable launching pad for semi-pro, Europe, coaching, sports journalism, and sports business careers. To me, the advantages are worth the pain of financial aid vs. scholarships and the academic load. Clearly I'm biased on that, and I understand not everyone will feel that way.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
08-04-20 04:31 PM - Post#311148    

Let's not act like the Liacouras Center is some phenomenal atmosphere. The lack of student support is most likely not why kids are turning down Penn.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
08-04-20 05:20 PM - Post#311149    

  • Quakers03 Said:
Let's not act like the Liacouras Center is some phenomenal atmosphere. The lack of student support is most likely not why kids are turning down Penn.


In the case of local Philly kids, I don't think it is a matter of turning us down. We don't seem to be in play for them at all. Please correct me if I am wrong about that.

I also think the Palestra apathy-fest among the students isn't a deal breaker, but it does not help and, let's face it, the Big5 mystique isn't what is used to be.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
08-04-20 05:25 PM - Post#311150    

Temple averaged 6211 compared with Penn's 3709 last year. In the Liacouras Center, that doesn't make nearly as much noise as the 3709. You're right about the student section---Penn has changed dramatically from my (and most of the posters here)era and students are not much of an attendance factor. But if you think that the student section is a draw, I think you are dreaming. Temple has an advantage solely if you're seriously thinking of an NBA career. Otherwise, the choice is made (as most are) on the relationships and belief in the coaching staff and recruiters.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-04-20 07:54 PM - Post#311151    

Just on point of Temple’s crowds, I tend to doubt that was a factor as well, and for the record I follow the Temple board from time to time and see lots of complaints about their crowds and students lacking... so I doubt Temple people would this as a deciding factor either.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
08-04-20 08:15 PM - Post#311153    

Temple has more corporate seats that generally are not filled. I would doubt that the average in the house attendance is much higher, if at all, than at Penn. It doesn't help them how few natural rivals they have---the AAC is a killer for basketball.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
08-04-20 08:41 PM - Post#311154    

  • palestra38 Said:
the AAC is a killer for basketball.



palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
08-04-20 09:05 PM - Post#311155    

They had no choice for football. It was a better league than the MAC or any other non-power conference. When the Big East fell apart, there was nothing else.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-05-20 02:20 AM - Post#311157    

In the late 80's during the Schneider years, Penn basketball attendance at the Palestra was pretty terrible. I was one of very few who would go to the games. As they started winning in the '92 and beyond years, the Palestra became packed. Winning makes a big difference and our previous two coaching regimes have not helped. Donahue hasn't cured this but I think he's more part of the solution than the problem. The question is whether students are now so disinterested that even a successful and winning team can't attract their attention. It's hard to know, but I don't believe it. I really believe the Palestra can be packed again.

palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
08-05-20 07:49 AM - Post#311158    

While it was starting to change in the late '80s, the student body still was nothing then like it is now. The vast majority of today's student body did not grow up watching spectator sports, nor did it likely have a high school experience watching or playing basketball. Having a daughter in the Class of '15 who, although a DP Sports editor, could not get any of her friends to attend games, really brought this home to me. They are high achieving kids from a far more diverse set of backgrounds than back in our day. While winning might help get them to a game or two as an experience, you will never again see at Penn the kind of student madness that existed in the two great eras of Penn Basketball.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
08-05-20 10:06 AM - Post#311159    

I quite literally had to spend 3 nights sleeping at the Palestra to get season tickets only 20 years ago. It's crazy how things can change so quickly.
QHoops
Senior
Posts 369
08-05-20 12:43 PM - Post#311162    


And 20 years before that we also spent several nights 'sleeping out', but it was mostly drinking at Smokes and/or hanging out at anyplace open and hustling back to the Palestra for the on-the-hour check-ins.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-06-20 06:44 PM - Post#311179    

Not sure if it's been noted before, but 6' 10" offeree Philip Byriel also has an offer from Princeton per his high school basketball team's twitter page.

We've lost some recruits not knowing they'd even been offered by Princeton so I thought this would be good to know
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
08-07-20 07:27 PM - Post#311245    

Hysier Miller committed to Temple, big congrats to him but obviously disappointed it wasn’t us.

Another strikeout
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
08-07-20 07:27 PM - Post#311246    

Miller to Temple
DCAJedi
Masters Student
Posts 582
08-07-20 09:55 PM - Post#311261    

https://twitter.com/hysier/status/1291872 740258066...
"Here will be an old abusing of God's patience, and the king's English."

Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
08-08-20 09:09 AM - Post#311264    

So glad you shared that with us, Jon...
pennhoops
Postdoc
Posts 2470
08-12-20 01:20 PM - Post#311485    

Philip Byriel just committed to Princeton. At this point I wonder if Donahue is even trying anymore.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
08-12-20 01:58 PM - Post#311489    

The good news just keeps on coming...Let the excuses continue to fly.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
08-12-20 06:24 PM - Post#311511    

My views on all of this are pretty clear, so I’m not going to restate them here, but I will say that missing this year could be doubly painful.

When Harvard gets its targets early and somewhat from outside the Ivy pool, that tends to be a big year for other Ivy teams to load up (think 2016). Aside from edging out Penn to make Gabe Dorsey’s list (no chance he was going to either school anyway), Harvard hasn’t been involved with any of these recent commits. That’s troubling.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
08-12-20 07:28 PM - Post#311518    

Thanks but that's just noise to say he wasn't in Dorsey's list as you admit there was zero chance of a commit. There are still more than a few big men out there who Penn would be very excited to get so the script is hardly written. Would I prefer to have a highly rated big already? Sure but we have a ways and many strong prospects to go.

We would have been happy to get a commitment but Byriel is annoyingly for four years a really good fit for Princeton.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
08-12-20 08:53 PM - Post#311520    

Hope springs eternal, I guess...
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
08-12-20 11:02 PM - Post#311526    

I am curious to see if this turns out to be a good year for the league late in the recruiting season. I could see the uncertainty resulting in kids going Ivy for basketball who might not ordinarily do so. If there is a possibility of losing a year of basketball, or at least being delayed a year, the non-basketball benefits may play even better than they usually do. And the cost issue that may be leading to kids deferring away from online learning may play differently for a basketball player with significant financial aid. We’ll see.

As for Penn, I am on the record as well, with a sunnier outlook. I like our one recruit better than the guys Princeton has gotten. I think we’ll get more, including at least one big. Again, we’ll see.

Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-13-20 07:27 AM - Post#311528    

Sorry, it’s been a long summer and a lot on my mind. Who is our one recruit again? This is not a snide question in any way.

Mrjames, you have indeed been on record about Donahue’s recruiting and you certainly seem to have a point. Penn has enough merits that they should pull out just a few more head to head recruiting wins. How would you allocate the issues between institutional issues, admissions and FA support, coach’s ability to sell and close, coach’s willingness to do al out for a player, assistant coaches, or other?

I still think Donahue manages to cobble together good teams, but we are on a thin margin between being quite good to bottom half. His ability to execute with the team he has seems great and he seems to do a pretty good job developing players. He seems to be an inverse to Allen, who was a promising recruiter, had an ability to connect with players, but couldn’t manage the business and on-court end of things. Donahue seems as strong as anyone in those parts. That always gives him a chance, together with injuries in the league and the Ivy tourney.

Man, at this point I just want a season for Jelani Williams. He seems deserving on so many levels - exactly what a Penn basketball player should be.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
08-13-20 07:34 AM - Post#311529    

https://www.eagletribune.com/sports/local_sports/p ...

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-13-20 09:03 PM - Post#311625    

I'm not sure how I feel about missing out on Philip Byriel - if I'm being honest I wasn't that excited we were recruiting him and I definitely like some of the other big targets we've heard about here (at least some of those nychoops mentioned we were involved with but who we haven't publicly offered).

What I will say is that I really did like Garrett Johnson, and losing two targets who we offered to Princeton isn't a great look. I also was excited about chance at Hysier Miller and we know how that turned out.

I'd say I'm definitely concerned (anyone who isn't is probably fooling themselves) - our targets keep falling off the board by choosing to go elsewhere, meanwhile I haven't seen many new targets pop up publicly. BUT, there is still time, so I'm going to wait and see. Some positive news would surely help overall outlook though... a lot of players are making their decisions now.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
08-14-20 10:51 AM - Post#311657    

Sometimes landing one can help to land others. I feel like the Jelani-Eddie-Jarrod chips all fell around the same time. It doesn't always work out, but getting a big one helps.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
08-14-20 01:08 PM - Post#311672    

The problem with this year relative to others is that a lot of recruits are declaring early and going with places that they were familiar with before everything shut down. While "dream schools" can still come in late with the offer and have success, as in any year, it's seemingly hard this year to win real "even" battles when they've had the kid on campus or a long relationship and you haven't.

While there's some truth to the "been recruiting me the longest" aspect of landing a prospect in all years, the extent to which progress up until March has been "locked in" this season is pretty shocking and doesn't bode well for nabbing guys late if dead periods keep getting extended into the fall and winter.

As you mentioned, though, not every pursuit is public and it's entirely possible to build a deep relationship with recruits outside of the public/Twitter's eye.
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
08-14-20 05:34 PM - Post#311695    

Rahdir Hicks to Towson, no clue if Penn ever offered, but he visited at least twice, including the Red & Blue scrimmage with Stevie Mitchell and Ed Holland.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-14-20 10:54 PM - Post#311702    

That’s too bad as he looked like an interesting local prospect too.

Just saw this nice chat/interview with PG target Nick Marshall on Twitter: https://phillysportsnetwo rk.com/2020/08/14/penn-ma...

I like him as a prospect so one to watch.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
08-16-20 11:56 AM - Post#311721    

https://twitter.com/McmullenReese/status/ 129502601...

Penn just got a commitment from 2021 G Reese McMullen from Memphis, TN. 6-3 guard had offers from Dartmouth, Lipscomb, Holy Cross, and Army, also had reported interest from Princeton, Yale, Bucknell, and Stanford
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
08-16-20 12:25 PM - Post#311722    

205
247
264
344
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
08-16-20 02:56 PM - Post#311729    

Are we playing Jeopardy?

My answer: What are the 2020 kenpom ratings for McMullen’s listed offers?
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-16-20 04:42 PM - Post#311730    

As a KP paid subscriber I can confirm you win Jeopardy SG. Nice to see a commitment and I like Reese’s size, shot, and basketball IQ from what I’ve read and seen online, so welcome aboard!

He didn’t have the most impressive of other offers obviously, but these are weird times, so I’m going to opt for positive angle and let’s hope this is another example of good talent evaluation by the staff.

Wonder how this will effect our recruitment of Jarvis Moss (been playing very well based on reports from Twitter re: events this summer) and Nick Marshall (whose recruitment also seems to have picked up steam and had other Ivy’s interested). Hopefully we still have a shot with one of them and can close on Ed Holland III or Andy Barba as a bigger wing.

Then for the love of all that is holy we have to get a big man commitment (from a player who isn’t a total project).
westphillywarrior
Sophomore
Posts 196
08-16-20 04:47 PM - Post#311731    

McMullen sounds like a good kid. I like the the first name "Reese" and I like that he plays the piano. Happy he has the opportunity to come to Penn.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
08-16-20 05:11 PM - Post#311732    

https://www.hudl.com/profile/10292108/Rees e-McMull...

This is a nice looking video from the fall of 2019 exhibiting very sound mechanics, a quick release and very good court vision.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
08-16-20 10:22 PM - Post#311733    

i award someguy no points


and may God have mercy on our souls.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-17-20 04:21 AM - Post#311735    

Alex, I’ll take Adam Sandler Movie Quotes for $500

What is a Billy Madison quote
10Q
Professor
Posts 23400
08-17-20 05:11 PM - Post#311750    

Did you see that video? The guy never misses.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
08-17-20 10:16 PM - Post#311754    

Also, the folks on the Voy boards are onto something about recruiting for the 2021 class that applies not just to football, but to other sports as well...
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
08-18-20 12:17 AM - Post#311755    

Ah... thanks for pointing that out Mike. Found this post:

“This is link to a tweet from coach Bagnoli today.

https://twitter.com/ColumbiaLionsFB/statu s/1295381...

The tweet instructs recruits not to include any standardized test scores on their application without first contacting their recruiter.

So how will the AI bands be determined?”

Basically seems to indicate standardized tests will not be part of AI calculation for this recruiting class. If that’s so, I’d think it should be an advantage, but we haven’t seen that play out yet it seems.
Quaker75
Freshman
Posts 37
08-18-20 07:13 AM - Post#311756    

No SAT scores sounds like a great idea. How about we truly interview students, rely on their achievement in a classroom, and talk to their teachers rather than on focus on an exam that one can practice for in advance?

This technique would cost more money. It is much easier to take in a bunch of applications, charge a fee, and separate by SAT score.

Furthermore, we have to make sure the college testing service receives the fee to "electronically" send the score as well. Everybody needs to make a buck.

Sorry to vent,
Go Quakers
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
08-18-20 12:20 PM - Post#311767    

McMullen's video is interesting. As Asia pointed out, there is a lot to like. It's really hard to tell whether his skills would be distinguished at the next level - whether he can assert his skill set against D1 talent. I like that he seems to have good athleticism and skills, but I think he will need to work hard and develop. Someone like Hysier would have been ready to play as a Freshman. That is very rare. I think McMullen will need to work for it, and that's not a bad thing.
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
08-18-20 12:46 PM - Post#311769    

Yeah I had brought this issue up a while back on the Ivy board with the larger issue of test optional colleges becoming more and more prominent for the coming year and how this might eventually impact Ivy athletics admissions.

But all I got was crickets.

Incidentally my rising senior boychiks are scheduled to finally take their SATs at the end of the month after having been postponed since March. I hope they get to take them as one son is a very good test taker and his portfolio would rise even higher with it.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
08-19-20 04:58 PM - Post#311830    

I do not believe there is an AI for this class. Probably not going to be terribly helpful, given that this is a recent change and in basketball, schools develop these relationships and winnow their focus at this point expecting there to be an AI. But could provide a marginal boost to schools in good with prospects that were near the line (and remember it’s still not open season... still gotta get the applicant past admissions, AI or no AI.

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-10-20 02:54 AM - Post#313105    

AJ Braun a 6'9" 2021 big who nychoops had mentioned we were involved with committed to Wright State today. Played very well this summer per reports on social, so another 2021 target off the board.

Looks like Ed Holland III is planning to commit some time this month. Let's hope for some good news on that and perhaps any news on 2021 bigs.
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
09-12-20 03:11 PM - Post#313210    

Nana Owusu-Anae to Brown.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-12-20 04:37 PM - Post#313212    

................

This is player nychoops said our staff really liked, though we never officially offered. By all accounts on social, he had a good summer, and in all the videos I've seen he looks very good. He was a realistic big target I was genuinely hoping we could get.

Serious question - can anyone decipher what our recruiting strategy is for bigs? I genuinely can't, but hopefully that is just because the staff is keeping it close to the vest?

2021 post player offers include:

- Franck Kepnang, Top 50 ranked player (in the country), which sure seems like a long shot (no public mention of Penn involvement in a long time).
- Gus Larson, NHM kid, but much more a project and closer to a big wing than a center.

I mean if the staff can pull off a Franck Kepnang miracle, I'll happily, happily eat crow, but that doesn't seem like the best of strategies?
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-12-20 05:51 PM - Post#313214    

To be fair... Steve has essentially adopted an offensive philosophy that started with the Rockets, so why not adopt that team’s personnel philosophy as well?
Old Bear
Postdoc
Posts 3998
09-12-20 06:34 PM - Post#313215    

You should all know by now that Mike Martin is a pretty good recruiter and talent evaluator.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
09-12-20 07:35 PM - Post#313217    

I really like this kid. I’m not familiar enough with the playing style or philosophy of Penn to comment on the fit but he’s a high energy guy with lots of room for improvement. Very nice job by Brown.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-12-20 09:15 PM - Post#313219    

Hey nychoops - always appreciate your insights and he looks like a very good prospect for Brown (congrats Old Bear).

With another target off the table for Penn, are you hearing anything about Penn big targets at this point?
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-12-20 09:16 PM - Post#313220    

P.S. meanwhile in Cambridge, Harvard lands a 2021 top 150 PG...
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-12-20 09:58 PM - Post#313221    

Look on the bright side--there may never be college basketball again
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-13-20 01:29 AM - Post#313223    

Hah, thanks for bringing some levity to the conversation. I’m sure there will be college basketball some day (maybe even with Ivy participation!).

In the meantime, hopefully there is more positive news to talk about in this thread soon.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-16-20 02:55 PM - Post#313451    

Nick Marshall 6' 5" G is set to announce his commitment at 4 PM today.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-16-20 04:08 PM - Post#313461    

Committed to Loyola (MD) of the Patriot League.

Not really sure where he would have fit in given that we already have two guards in the 2021 class, but definitely would have brought some size and athleticism to the position.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
09-16-20 04:47 PM - Post#313466    

if we're not going to fire steve...

and i'm not going to call to fire some assistant coach making little money for the effort they're putting in, could we please throw some more money at additional position and get A GODD_MN STUD RECRUITER?!!
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
09-16-20 08:48 PM - Post#313487    

Was just texted Nick Marshall has or will shortly commit to Loyola Md... know Penn was interested... good player
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
09-17-20 03:39 PM - Post#313555    

I liked the look of Marshall. He seemed to have size, athleticism, and a smoothness to his game. Wasn't definite that he would be an impact player, but he seemed to hold the potential.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-18-20 08:34 AM - Post#313579    

It’s only September, and we are already well ahead of where we ended up the year we only got Dan Solomito.
LyleGold
PhD Student
Posts 1712
09-18-20 12:19 PM - Post#313590    

Underrated class - he was awesome on Senior Night.
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
09-18-20 01:48 PM - Post#313603    

I don't think Brodeur ever got us free cheesesteaks.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-18-20 02:59 PM - Post#313607    

His team did. Although the jerks at Abners didn't honor it.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
09-18-20 06:08 PM - Post#313628    

We got free cheesesteaks at Wahoo's a couple of years ago - think it was the year after the Abner's fiasco.

gopenngo
Masters Student
Posts 487
09-18-20 08:54 PM - Post#313633    

Yeah, I think they were cheesesteak mini-taco appetizers.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
09-19-20 09:24 AM - Post#313643    

We were there right after the game before it was crowded. Got a real cheesesteak. Well, as real a cheesesteak as you can get at a taco chain.

Silver Maple
Postdoc
Posts 3778
09-19-20 09:32 AM - Post#313644    

Probably about the same quality cheesesteak you could get at Abner's.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-20-20 09:01 PM - Post#313654    

For those looking for further evidence that SomeGuy is wrong to stay positive about our recruiting, Yale got another good commitment. That moves them firmly ahead of us thus far (Harvard, Princeton, and Brown already appeared ahead, though Brown’s lead is mostly about quantity).
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-20-20 09:42 PM - Post#313659    

And Penn fell in both US News and WSJ rankings.

The sky is falling.


And RBG died
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-20-20 11:05 PM - Post#313661    

From an article about Yale’s commit:

“[Assistant] coach [Matt] Kingsley was always sending me screenshots and pictures of everything where they feel I would fit in their program,” Poulakidas said. “Coach Kingsley and I, we did a lot of Zoom calls where he would take me through plays within their offense that he felt I would fit best in. Or taking me through their practices, which they were recording, to show me what they looked like. He would even break up film from college and NBA guys that he felt … that I play similar to.

“Something that they did different was they almost specialized it to where they were really focusing on me and the parts of my game where they felt I would be able to prosper in their program. … I felt like A) I learned a lot, and B) it showed me how much I meant to them as a player.”

As far as I’m aware, Penn recruits similarly (not with nearly as many touches as other schools though), but I wonder exactly how involved our assistants are in recruiting. Clearly, Kingsley has been the prime recruiter for Yale and Brian Eskildsen has served that role for Harvard. Both are tenacious recruiters, who is ours? Do we even have one?
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-21-20 11:38 AM - Post#313675    

I have been asking this question for a long time. Not sure what track record Nat has, but we don't exactly hear success stories...
mbaprof
Senior
Posts 345
09-21-20 01:21 PM - Post#313690    

He sure did, i was at abners with the team and a bunch of fans two years ago. I have a great picture of Gov Rendell scarfing one down which Id post if we were not using antiquated technology here.

btw im on the record as willing to treat at Abner’s if we score 100 against a D1 team.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-21-20 03:02 PM - Post#313703    

Rendell made it there in record time, too. One of the first in line. He had that driver ready to go.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-21-20 07:31 PM - Post#313724    

Ian Schieffelin, a big target who Penn had been contacting in the summer (not sure if we ever offered), committed to Clemson today, so can take him off the board.


Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-22-20 05:12 PM - Post#313837    

Interview with Coach Donahue and Fran Dunphy

https://wwdbam.com/shows/voice-of-reason /

I'm only up to a part that I was not expecting to hear: asking about Jerome Allen and 'how great is it that he's trying to win a ring with the Celtics?' Perhaps not the smartest question to ask given the havoc he's wreaked among the program.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
09-23-20 11:48 AM - Post#313890    

https://twitter.com/jakelieberman2/status /13087945...

Ed Holland will be announcing his commitment tomorrow. His decision is down to Columbia, Rhode Island, Yale, Penn, Penn State, VCU, Providence, and Princeton so lots of eyes on this one around the league I imagine
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
09-23-20 12:12 PM - Post#313894    

This one would be a good get for many reasons.

- He can play. He would be a meaningful get for all of those teams.
- It might start a pipeline to Friends Central, which is a perfect feeder (local, small, private, good players, academic). Friends has had several top collegiate and NBA level players.
- Jason Polykoff, the head coach, is a former Penn assistant coach.
- It would be a good trail for academic HS basketball talent to follow.

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-23-20 01:28 PM - Post#313899    

In my view this is a critical recruiting decision. High quality player, hometown kid, already spends some time at Penn academically, an early target/offer.

Really hope he picks Penn, which would make me feel a bit better about prospects of this 2021 class.

If not, it will raise a lot of questions around ability (or lack of) of our recruiters to close... they wouldn’t be particularly positive questions.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
09-23-20 04:30 PM - Post#313955    

I guess it is somewhat of a statement that such a lens is now on a single player. Fingers crossed. I'm hopeful for SD, the Quakers, and Holland to all be very successful.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-23-20 05:50 PM - Post#313968    

I really do personally feel this way. To be clear it is less about me saying that Holland is something like a transcendent player... I don’t know if he will be, and he certainly still is not as highly recruited as the guys a Harvard or maybe even Yale have closed, but he is very well regarded (locally, especially), is local, and was an early target. For me, it’s more about what it would mean if we missed on him if that makes sense... because we should literally have an inside track.

Even if he says yes, I would still he concerned about the current 2021 class. Holland would give me hope that with some other commits that it still has a chance to be good. Without Holland, I wouldn’t have much hope left for the class (in terms of proven talent).
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-23-20 07:11 PM - Post#313973    

Found an interview done with Ed Holland by Delgreco Wilson only a few weeks ago:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i-7lbKnmOzA

Not much to get out of it other than 1) Holland says he's basketball first when complemented on his ivy offers, which in my opinion isn't great on our end but doesn't count us out and 2) Mr. Wilson gives us quakers a nice shoutout at the end of the video. Left with mixed feelings about the likelihood of his commitment, so I guess we will see.

Also I think this would be a pretty important get for us to remain a popular option within Philly Pride / area teams, especially as we didn't make the final cut for Mitchell and lost out big time on Miller
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
09-23-20 08:04 PM - Post#313982    

Saw him play once(was actually looking at another kid) and his game pops... I was very impressed. Don’t know where he will chose but do know he rebuffed late inquiries from power 5 schools
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-23-20 08:13 PM - Post#313983    

I like Penn here...
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-23-20 08:31 PM - Post#313986    

That would be very, very encouraging news.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-24-20 01:12 AM - Post#313991    

This would be great news and definitely would give me hope for 2021 class yet (though we still would need to land more pieces). Here’s to hoping we get some positive news tomorrow!
Silver Maple
Postdoc
Posts 3778
09-24-20 09:29 AM - Post#313995    

Everybody-- manage your expectations. Just looking at the length of the list of institutions under consideration, the odds are against us. Don't want to be a downer, but trying to be realistic.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-24-20 11:31 AM - Post#314001    

I keep hearing the negatives about Donahue's recruiting, but aside from 1 class, he's always come up with good players. These are his best players from each recruiting class:

Year 1: AJ, Betley, Goodman (An A+ year)

Year 2: Jelani Williams, Simmons, Scott (C, but likely would have been much better if Williams had not gotten hurt)

Year 3: Wang, Washington (B wiped out by injury)

Year 4: Dingle, Martz, Lorca-Lloyd, Charles, Monroe---the jury is out, but all these guys could be very good. And having 5 freshmen from last year ready to play might have an effect on recruiting for this year. But I don't think that the negative opinions regarding his recruiting are fair---He's had only 1 subpar year and his losses are primarily due to injury.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
09-24-20 11:52 AM - Post#314002    

I can concede some of the point you're trying to make, except wasn't Year 1 primarily players recruited by Allen? He was certainly involved in none of these players de-committing, but he probably doesn't get full credit for the recruitment.

  • palestra38 Said:
I keep hearing the negatives about Donahue's recruiting, but aside from 1 class, he's always come up with good players. These are his best players from each recruiting class:

Year 1: AJ, Betley, Goodman (An A+ year)

Year 2: Jelani Williams, Simmons, Scott (C, but likely would have been much better if Williams had not gotten hurt)

Year 3: Wang, Washington (B wiped out by injury)

Year 4: Dingle, Martz, Lorca-Lloyd, Charles, Monroe---the jury is out, but all these guys could be very good. And having 5 freshmen from last year ready to play might have an effect on recruiting for this year. But I don't think that the negative opinions regarding his recruiting are fair---He's had only 1 subpar year and his losses are primarily due to injury.



palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-24-20 11:57 AM - Post#314004    

No, Year 1 was his first full year. The prior year had Silpe, Rothschild and Jackson Donahue--those were the recruits he inherited. He deserves some credit for getting them to stay, but I only wanted to look at his own recruits.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
09-24-20 12:09 PM - Post#314006    

The recruiting hasn’t been bad. We just lack depth at the 4/5 which needs to be addressed in this class. The transfer may help but we need to see how that works out. Certainly many of you have raised legitimate concerns.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 01:16 PM - Post#314011    

Context is important in evaluating recruiting.

2016's class was strong, but the classes across the league were really strong that year. It's much easier to recruit a strong class when the overall pool is strong.

Similarly, I don't think you can be as harsh on the 2017 class (at least on its face...). That was rough league-wide. Atkinson, Knight, Haskett, Djuricic, Schwieger and Much were about it for players that seemed to get national attention, whereas Harvard brought in more than that in one class the year before. Maybe that's a little off, but you get the point.

2018 was, for me, the signal that there was trouble here. Yale had no business swiping Cotton and Kelly from Penn. Harvard and Princeton traded shots with Llewellyn and Forbes, but meanwhile, Yale just swept Penn. Started to clarify there being a top 3 and a fourth.

2019 was a good recovery, but again, look outside the walls. The best league prospect was deciding between Harvard and Yale. That's not a good sign. But that was a strong class in a stinky year league-wide.

2020 was a disaster, though. Had to have a big and completely whiffed. What's more is that the rest of the class wasn't very good either. Probably the worst year on a relative scale to the rest of the league.

2021 isn't starting well. Again, seemingly whiffing on bigs. Getting lapped in what has turned into a decently strong class. Holland would help turn that tide, but without a credible big this class will be a disappointment.

By my count, that's one good class against the grain (2019), one good class with the grain (2016), one bad class with the grain (2017), two bad classes against the grain (2018 and 2020) and whatever happens in 2021, which doesn't look amazing right now.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-24-20 01:24 PM - Post#314014    

If Lorca-Lloyd is what I think he is and Wang comes back, we're fine up front. And if those 5 from last year (well, one was hurt but is supposed to be very good) are what they appear to be, I like our chances against anyone. I just wish we had a non-conference preseason to work them in.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-24-20 02:08 PM - Post#314021    

For 2018, is losing out to Yale on Cotton and Kelly the end of the world? Two years in, Wang and Washington have 3.5 win shares, and cotton and Kelly have 1.0. And that is with Wang and Washington basically both missing a season.

As for the incoming freshmen, we will find out soon enough, but I don’t think any of the Brown, Columbia, Cornell, or Dartmouth recruits had offers or ratings particularly close to Slajchert or Laczkowski. I understand that Penn didn’t get any recruits in the area where these schools (and Harvard) tend to fish, but that is a limited pool, and success in that pool doesn’t necessarily mean overall success.

We will see soon enough whether Penn has the best freshman class Win Shares for the third year in a row (which is increasingly difficult to repeat the more times you do it). Unlikely, because with the Latch injury Slajchert is probably the only freshman who will play, but you never know.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 02:36 PM - Post#314025    

  • Quote:
For 2018, is losing out to Yale on Cotton and Kelly the end of the world? Two years in, Wang and Washington have 3.5 win shares, and cotton and Kelly have 1.0. And that is with Wang and Washington basically both missing a season.



This is fundamentally my point. It's not at all the end of the world from the perspective of "can I be competitive?" It is the end of the world from the perspective of "I am a traditionally dominant team in this league, and I want to get back there somehow without being able to win recruiting battles with the two currently dominant teams in the league." That's an awfully thin needle to thread no matter how good you are at scouting under-the-radar talent.

Penn has recruited like a fourth place team under Donahue - closer to fifth than first or second - and Penn has finished fourth three out of four years and much, much closer to fifth than second each of those years. If Penn is okay with that, then its recruiting is fine. If it wants to be what I think it should be, which is neck-and-neck with Harvard and Yale at the top, it is woefully underachieving in recruiting because you have to compete with those schools in recruiting to compete with them on the court...
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-24-20 02:40 PM - Post#314026    

Can't argue with your statement re the results--it's all depth related. I think Penn would have been right with Harvard and Yale if Betley, Washington and Wang hadn't gone down for the season (and Betley was not the same player when he returned last year). Harvard also had critical injuries which is why it fell behind Yale. But I think if we all had our full teams, Penn would have been right there. Harvard had too many guys for one ball. Gotta give James Jones credit though. He built teams that were just tough, despite the fact that head to head, Penn played very well against them..
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
09-24-20 03:00 PM - Post#314031    

I'm still scratching my head over Cotton. What in God's name did Jones say or promise the kid to change his mind?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-24-20 03:01 PM - Post#314032    

I don’t think there is any way to evaluate recruiting other than the results on the court. Penn has been a top four team every one of the last four years. I really don’t care if the teams that aren’t making the tournament are allegedly out recruiting us. Is that a way to have somebody sneak up behind you and pass you? I guess, but the trajectory is actually going the other way. Penn has gotten significantly better under Donahue, not worse.

If we were coming directly off the Dunphy years and moving backwards, sure, I would be very concerned about finishing fourth in three of the last four years. That isn’t where we are coming from.

Instead, prior to this four year run, we had gone 4 straight years and 6 out of 8 without finishing in the top 4. In only one of those years did we even finish fifth. The program’s trajectory is positive, not negative. Note that Amaker took over a similar situation and only had three top four finishes and one title in his first five years (while Donahue has four top four finishes and a title). You can’t just snap your fingers and immediately become the top team in the league. It takes time. So let me be clear — It’s not that I support Donahue because I am ok with fourth place finishes. It is because I think the guy who has righted the program and made us respectable for the first time in a while is also the guy to take us to the next level.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 03:12 PM - Post#314033    

  • Quote:
Note that Amaker took over a similar situation and only had three top four finishes and one title in his first five years (while Donahue has four top four finishes and a title).



That's impressive that you could take a coach that won 43 games, including 12 games twice (each with a title, though I get some people prefer not to refer to one of those as a "title") and 10 games another time, and make that accomplishment seem inferior to winning 38 games in a five year span and only once finishing better than fourth.

Twisting up in knots to ignore the patently obvious...
20Penn14
Senior
Posts 364
09-24-20 03:25 PM - Post#314034    

Ed Holland commits to Penn

https://twitter.com/edholland15/status/13 092112901...
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 03:26 PM - Post#314035    

Yeah, felt pretty good about that one.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-24-20 03:29 PM - Post#314036    

Great to see, let's hope that "Administrative Process" is no obstacle.
20Penn14
Senior
Posts 364
09-24-20 03:31 PM - Post#314037    

Mrjames would you say this is a recruiting battle that Penn won over Yale and Princeton or is it like some of the recruits in the past where the other schools backed off?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-24-20 03:35 PM - Post#314038    

What is patently obvious is that Amaker hasn’t managed to get a team that is winning all the recruiting battles to the tournament in five years now. If you’re okay with that, you seem to be ignoring the patently obvious. All of the other top teams, even Penn allegedly recruiting at a fourth or fifth place level, have somehow managed to advance to the NCAAs during that time. During the last four years, Harvard has 4 more wins than Penn. Four. Harvard’s epic recruiting class never made the tournament and never finished in the top 100 in Pomeroy. They won 20 games once, just like Penn in the last four years. You try to make it sound like Penn isn’t already competing effectively with Harvard, but Penn is already doing it.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-24-20 03:36 PM - Post#314039    

Great news. Let's enjoy it for at least a day.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 03:36 PM - Post#314040    

I believe the other Ivy they beat out was Columbia. Seems like the hottest competition might have been a team NOT in his announced top eight.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-24-20 03:44 PM - Post#314041    

  • Quote:
During the last four years, Harvard has 4 more wins than Penn. Four.



Nine more in Ivy play, which are the games that count and where everyone plays the same schedule, but by all means, keep spinning.

Tbh, of any Ivy, Penn is most effectively competing with Brown - the team with which it keeps ending up in year-end ties.

If you're going to compare a team that had double-digit Ivy wins each of the last four years to a team that won 6, 7, 8 and 12, be my guest, but, I mean, it's a little disingenuous, no?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-24-20 04:04 PM - Post#314045    

I don’t think so. I think the larger sample size is always the better sample size. So I think the full records — in and out of conference— are more indicative than either one individually. To me, every game gives you more information about the relative performance of the teams. When you start cutting the sample size, the information gets worse (and is more susceptible to noise).

Penn has underperformed in league compared to its overall performance, but the results have really been within the range of possible outcomes for a 100-150 Pomeroy type of team. Yes, the more Penn has to scramble to make the Ivy tournament after clearly being top four OOC, the more I start to think it might mean something. For now, I still think it is just one of the range of possible outcomes at their level.

As for Brown, they have come within 80 spots of Penn in Pomeroy one time in the last four years. Last year, Brown was 224. They were a couple of bounces from Dartmouth. Penn was much, much closer to Harvard on the court last year than they were to Brown, despite the Ivy records. Martin is doing a great job there, but they still haven’t actually finished top four, while Penn has every year.

penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
09-24-20 04:14 PM - Post#314050    

  • 20Penn14 Said:



"The University of Penn"?

At least he didn't call it UPenn, but cmon--the guy's a local and should at least know how to properly rep the place.

OK, OK, committing to Penn was the major rep.
Quaker75
Freshman
Posts 37
09-24-20 04:23 PM - Post#314052    

Good to have the "kid."

DCAJedi
Masters Student
Posts 582
09-24-20 04:25 PM - Post#314053    

On Ed Holland, from my colleaugue Aaron Carter:

"His other top suitors were Yale, Princeton, Columbia, Penn State, Virginia Commonwealth, Providence, and Rhode Island."

https://www.inquirer.com/college-sports/penn/p enn-...
"Here will be an old abusing of God's patience, and the king's English."

Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
09-24-20 04:46 PM - Post#314055    

i really wonder why SG is being so obtuse here. Steve is doing steve things. being perfectly acceptable but obviously not great. he peaked in year 3 or whatever, hasn't built on it, classes are meh in quality (And the only reason the last two years have been good in win shares is there are a lot of win shares to be had given how poor the soph and jr classes were this year and the soph and senior year classes were in brice's frosh year).

Players aren't progressing, he recruits injured players, he's predictable as all get out vis a vis the collapses in the Ivies, he messes with confidence by changing his rotations on a whim. He's fine.

Maybe we don't have that different of takes, I think the big difference is I've already baked in that he's going to be somewhere between 150-200 this year and next (or would have been this year, it's going to be too hard to get a read) and you seem to think that every year is random and we should just play it as if he might get up to top 100 because shrug.

This looks like a team on the rise, excited to see where it's going! Especially with a stud sophomore class leading the way.
2016 - 253
2017 - 171
2018 - 125

A team that does this looks like a team spinning its wheels and wasting a generational player.

2016 - 253
2017 - 171
2018 - 125
2019 - 131
2020 - 140

A team that does this looks like a team going backwards and mired in adequacy.

2016 - 253
2017 - 171
2018 - 125
2019 - 131
2020 - 140
2021 - 170
2022 - 150

Given the graduation losses, 170 seems a bit generous but hope springs eternal. 150 also seems a bit generous. What has the realists among us worried is what if the numbers look like this

2016 - 253
2017 - 171
2018 - 125
2019 - 131
2020 - 140
2021 - 200
2022 - 180

Then, even if we finally pull the plug, we're probably baked in for a couple more years of mediocrity because great players don't just magically materialize.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-24-20 05:01 PM - Post#314059    

Yes, I don’t actually disagree with your expectations for next year — and I recognize my argument may well get a lot harder over the next year or two. It may turn out that the positive run was all about AJ.

But I’m not willing to throw out the staff based on my expectation. We can only evaluate what they have done thus far. I like how far we have come. Not ready to assume we are going the other way and make decisions on it just because AJ graduated. It will be Dingle’s team now, and hopefully Michael’s as well. We should give them their chance.

I am curious as to what is going to happen to the league this year, and how that will impact the analysis. Hopefully the Dartmouth, Harvard, and Yale kids are just protecting themselves against a lost season and will play if the league plays. But from what we know publicly, three teams could be missing a bunch of key players this year. If that is the case, we may be looking at some weird results.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
09-24-20 05:46 PM - Post#314064    

This year could be very good if we stay healthy. A backcourt of Williams and Dingle will be really good. I don't expect Jelani will have rust issues, but the risk of reinjury can't be discounted. But - we have quality depth at guard and we have a bunch of 2-3's in the program who are fine. I really don't know much about Jonah Charles, only that he is a very good shooter and was penciled in as a probable starter last year and that the injury he had seems to be resolved.

Martz and Scott ( maybe the transfer as well) give us more than acceptable options at the 3/4.

Which leaves certain questions that can't be resolved right now:

1} Will Jelani's ACLs hold up?
2) Is Max Lorca Lloyd ready?
3) Michael Wang ?????
4) Can Simmons provide valuable minutes?

If we get positive answers to those, Penn will be improved even without AJ. If we get dinged in the frontcourt and are thin, we will really miss AJ more than we already do.

PS The addition of Holland to next year's class is very good news. Still need a BIG in the class.
Kwaequer
Postdoc
Posts 3084
09-24-20 06:30 PM - Post#314068    

Lot of ifs. Not to mention if there is a season.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
09-24-20 06:49 PM - Post#314071    

That’s always the case. And Penn is not the only Ivy with some ifs
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 01:35 AM - Post#314080    

Excellent news that Ed Holland picked Penn and excited the staff made it happen. Looks like he is a great kid who is skilled but with a lot of further upside. It appears he got stronger in quarantine, he shot 40% from 3 last year, and he already competes on defense.

A lot to like and important commitment for 2021. This class has hope yet, but really need a legit big and not clear where that would come from at this point. Here’s to hoping the staff has a BIG rabbit up their sleeves.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 08:06 AM - Post#314081    

I continue not to see what people mean by a "legit big." In today's game, Lorca-Lloyd is a perfect big---you have to run the court, block shots and are able to shoot around the basket. The traditional back to the basket big is almost extinct (Joel Embiid being a rare example and who shows why you need to be able to run). I think he will be a beast at our level....and we have a few guys (Wang, Martz and all those 6'4-6" guards we have like Williams, Monroe and Charles) who will play the game that Donahue wants to play.

I think the gnashing of teeth is unwarranted---we will be fine and might be very very good. This is the most athletic team we have had at least since the Ugonna era.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
09-25-20 08:57 AM - Post#314085    

I think Mike is referring to a need in this recruiting class. I agree with him, especially as we did not recruit a “ legit” big in the prior class.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 09:23 AM - Post#314086    

As long as Wang is healthy, I am fine with Lorca-Lloyd and Wang and a bunch of athletic guys in the mid-6 foot range. We have had small guards since Steve got here and now we're almost a half foot taller at that position. We'll be fine off the boards
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-25-20 09:32 AM - Post#314089    

  • Quote:
The traditional back to the basket big is almost extinct (Joel Embiid being a rare example and who shows why you need to be able to run).



Hey, I'm not a fan of the traditional back-to-the-basket big either and think it's anathema to the current evolution of the game, but I mean, four of the players on the All-Ivy 1st/2nd team were pretty much prototypical back-to-the-basket guys: Atkinson, Aririguzoh, Lewis and Knight. Hard to say it's extinct, at least in our league...
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 09:43 AM - Post#314091    

That's true, but they weren't up against a long 6'9" guy who can run the court much faster and (presumably) kick it out to a bunch of guys who can shoot the 3. No doubt that there are issues about how Penn's 5 freshmen from last year will gel, but there is no doubt they can play. In most of basketball these days, that brand of the game beats the traditional game. Whether it will for Penn is a question. But Lorca-Lloyd is only a soph, (and Wang, an inch taller, a junior with an extra year of eligibility if he wants it) so it's not as though Penn will have to go through the next couple of seasons with that Jed Ryan-Paul Romancyck team of no one above 6'6". The 6'6" guys are Penn's guards
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
09-25-20 10:32 AM - Post#314097    

Seems clear that SD has greatest interest in a big who can step out and shoot the 3 judging from the kids we’ve offered.

We often call these guys point centers. You can run a 3 pt oriented offense with a different type but Steve definitely demonstrates a preference for this type of front putt player.

I’d like us to get Gus Larson in the class. He is an SD prototype but I don’t have a clear picture of where Penn will end up.
Quakers03
Professor
Posts 12533
09-25-20 10:58 AM - Post#314099    

I think it's all based on the theory that guys that produce like him as a frosh don't often make the leap. But how many of them were stuck playing behind an all-Penn big man.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 11:04 AM - Post#314102    

I am comfortable with MLL and Wang, and the fact we didn’t get a big last year suggests the staff is too. Simmons has been reliably healthy (knock on wood), so hopefully we can get away with 3 bigs this year, with the possibility that injuries require an occasional Jackson sighting or Moshkovitz in a small lineup. But that still seems thin up front in terms of numbers for an Ivy team, particularly without AJ who could paper over a lot on the defensive end (in other words, without AJ we may need more size at times at the 4 despite the fact that our 5 likely will be bigger than AJ). And that will be more than thin if Simmons and Jackson graduate without a replacement or two.

We have the “advantage” of no scholarships and being able to offer more than 12 spots. We definitely need a big body in this class, even if it isn’t a highly recruited one.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 11:06 AM - Post#314103    

And for whom the system would have to be changed--they were not going to do that for a 5-10 minute blow when they had a guy who had been there for 3 years in that system.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
09-25-20 11:27 AM - Post#314104    

A few things here:
- I too am holding out hope we can get Gus Larson. Based on what little I know, it appears we have a shot there which would make 2021 a good class.
- I am not as optimistic about Wang's health as folks here appear to be. Really hope to be wrong about that.
- Historically, Penn has had guards and smaller forwards who were good defensive rebounders. Even Goodman was effective that way. If MLL (who shows great promise there) gets some help from Jarrod and the all those 6-6 dudes who can jump (see: Monroe) then maybe we can keep the likes of Yale from getting those 3+ shot possessions.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 12:06 PM - Post#314109    

I agree with you on Wang--until I hear he is healthy, I will continue to believe he is not. A late start to the season will help.

BTW, it's not as though Penn has not been getting killed on opponent's offensive boards even when they had AJ---it's those 6'5" guys who are quick jumpers who will change that, not a big man.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
09-25-20 12:48 PM - Post#314113    

Thoughts on Larson? I've heard him termed a project, more-so than the bigs we already have who are projects. Who is Penn's competition for him, assuming SD does want him?

Glad Holland is in the fold. Saw some short highlight reels with some good stuff but not enough of a look to have a feel as to what can reasonably be expected from him. Is he considered a solid cog or with the potential of turning into more than that?


TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
09-25-20 12:54 PM - Post#314116    

Sounds like Larson is interested in Penn at least.

  • Quote:
“It’s a school that fits all of my needs,” Larson explained. “It’s a great basketball program with great academics. It’s a place that I can go to get me where I want to be basketball wise, while also setting me up for life.”



Also see why he's considered a project. Hasn't played that much for NMH.

mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-25-20 01:02 PM - Post#314117    

I think a good starting point for comparison is Matthue Cotton.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
09-25-20 01:13 PM - Post#314119    

Got it. Thanks Mike, Always appreciate your insight.

PS - are you talking about Holland or Larson?

Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
09-25-20 01:18 PM - Post#314120    

  • TheLine Said:
Thoughts on Larson? I've heard him termed a project, more-so than the bigs we already have who are projects. Who is Penn's competition for him, assuming SD does want him?




What bigs that we already have are you talking about other than MLL? Jackson? Jarrod is no longer a project. He is a finished product at this point. Larson is almost certainly a project playing behind a stacked frontcourt at NMH, but if the staff believes he has real upside and if Verbal Commits is to be believed, we have been in on him from the start, he is part of the NMH pipeline, and we are competing against Columbia, Yale, Brown, and Richmond.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 01:25 PM - Post#314124    

At least statistically, Goodman was one of the worst defensive rebounders in the league at any position. The difference when we play Yale is that everyone on the floor for them at all times gets over 10% of available defensive rebounds. We were playing with three starters who did not (Goodman, Dingle, and Martz) and another reserve (Jerome). This was a difference between us and every other team in the league except Harvard. We had AJ, Betley, Monroe, and Scott rebounding 2-3 against 5.

I suspect that is schematic for both Penn and Harvard (Noah Kirkwood always looks like a decent rebounder for a guard to me, but the stats say otherwise). But I also don’t think you can say Goodman was a good rebounder given the numbers.

I’d like to see us get back to the days of everybody rebounding on defense. David Klatsky was a better statistical defensive rebounder than any of our current guards, with the exception of Monroe and Scott.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 01:31 PM - Post#314127    

  • AsiaSunset Said:
I think Mike is referring to a need in this recruiting class. I agree with him, especially as we did not recruit a “ legit” big in the prior class.



Hi AS, hope you are well!

Yes, I was definitely referring to the 2021 recruiting class needing a big. I think it will be problematic in the future if we don't add one.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 01:38 PM - Post#314128    

  • palestra38 Said:
I continue not to see what people mean by a "legit big." In today's game, Lorca-Lloyd is a perfect big---you have to run the court, block shots and are able to shoot around the basket. The traditional back to the basket big is almost extinct (Joel Embiid being a rare example and who shows why you need to be able to run). I think he will be a beast at our level....and we have a few guys (Wang, Martz and all those 6'4-6" guards we have like Williams, Monroe and Charles) who will play the game that Donahue wants to play.

I think the gnashing of teeth is unwarranted---we will be fine and might be very very good. This is the most athletic team we have had at least since the Ugonna era.



And to be clear, when I say "legit" big, I mean big in size with hopefully a little game with back to the basket, but even better if they can shoot the 3 also. Mike Wang to me is a legit big - he is 6'10", actually does have moves with back to the basket, and is able to hit from long range (just not sure about health).

I like big 6'5" and 6'6" inch wings as much as the next guy, but they are not PF's and there is more to basketball than offense. Our rebounding WITH AJ was mediocre to bad. That's what happens when you are always undersized at the 4.

Think about it this way as well, when 2021 kids get to campus MLL would be a Junior, Wang will be a Senior, and Simmons will be gone. Even if MLL ends panning out (not guaranteed) and Wang is healthy (definitely not guaranteed), you need other BIG bodies inside AND you need future BIGs in the system to take over shortly after.




Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 01:49 PM - Post#314129    

  • palestra38 Said:
And for whom the system would have to be changed--they were not going to do that for a 5-10 minute blow when they had a guy who had been there for 3 years in that system.



Guys, are we remembering the same season? Last year we desperately needed another legitimate big, if even to better back up AJ. We were razor thin inside without Mike Wang.

How many games did AJ look like he was going to keel over or clank FTs by the end of the game because we couldn't give him even a few mins rest? How many times, were we forced to have AJ go to the bench due to a foul, have Simmons go in, not perform well, and we had to rush AJ right back into the game?

I haven't given up on MLL and I hope he comes out and kicks butt this year, but to say there weren't minutes to be had in the post last season is rewriting history.

palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 01:53 PM - Post#314130    

" Our rebounding WITH AJ was mediocre to bad. That's what happens when you are always undersized at the 4."

NO! That's what happens when you are undersized in the backcourt, and by a lot. You show me any significant number of college 4s who rack up rebounds like Malone and Oakley and I'll reconsider, but it's just not the case. Essentially, basketball now consists of 5 guys who do much the same thing--run, shoot and rebound, and a big guy who can't run or a guard who can't rebound is a liability. We've been victimized by athletic players who simply get up faster than us--it's rarely an issue of size. We have enough size on this team now. While I would love to get another AJ, it really isn't necessary to do so. It's far more important to get guys who are strong, in great shape and have a shot.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 01:55 PM - Post#314131    

  • SomeGuy Said:
I am comfortable with MLL and Wang, and the fact we didn’t get a big last year suggests the staff is too. Simmons has been reliably healthy (knock on wood), so hopefully we can get away with 3 bigs this year, with the possibility that injuries require an occasional Jackson sighting or Moshkovitz in a small lineup. But that still seems thin up front in terms of numbers for an Ivy team, particularly without AJ who could paper over a lot on the defensive end (in other words, without AJ we may need more size at times at the 4 despite the fact that our 5 likely will be bigger than AJ). And that will be more than thin if Simmons and Jackson graduate without a replacement or two.

We have the “advantage” of no scholarships and being able to offer more than 12 spots. We definitely need a big body in this class, even if it isn’t a highly recruited one.



If healthy I think Mike Wang is awesome, and I'm still excited about MLL's upside (even if a little concerned he didn't get more time last season). And in general, if our guys stay healthy, I think we could have a very good/fun team to watch this year.

That said, when you bring in a junior college transfer big after the semester starts (and after you missed on recruiting true freshman) that actually suggests the opposite of the staff being comfortable with MLL and Wang.

I do think this team could be a ton of fun because we have a set of guards/wings that could be fantastic and overall think the team could be very good if Wang is healthy. But we can also be honest with ourselves about the downside risks of not enough depth.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 02:05 PM - Post#314134    

The depth question is all about Wang. If healthy, no problem. Clearly, though, that's why we brought in a juco transfer, and I think that transfer will be an interesting mix--gotta see something more than what we saw on tape but he's not raw.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 02:11 PM - Post#314136    

  • palestra38 Said:
" Our rebounding WITH AJ was mediocre to bad. That's what happens when you are always undersized at the 4."

NO! That's what happens when you are undersized in the backcourt, and by a lot. You show me any significant number of college 4s who rack up rebounds like Malone and Oakley and I'll reconsider, but it's just not the case. Essentially, basketball now consists of 5 guys who do much the same thing--run, shoot and rebound, and a big guy who can't run or a guard who can't rebound is a liability. We've been victimized by athletic players who simply get up faster than us--it's rarely an issue of size. We have enough size on this team now. While I would love to get another AJ, it really isn't necessary to do so. It's far more important to get guys who are strong, in great shape and have a shot.



::Checks Notes::

Penn last season was ranked 203rd in country on KP in defensive rebounding and 320th in offensive rebounding.

Penn last season was ranked 7th in the Ivy League on KP in defensive rebounding and 4th in offensive rebounding.

I wonder who lead rebounding in Ivy League.

::Checks Notes Again::

Yale was 1st in defensive rebounding in the Ivy League and 2nd in offensive rebounding and played with 2 bigs.

Absolutely the game has changed... which is why there are a ton of bigs can play face up and shoot like a Mike Wang (even though he can play back to basket a bit also). These things are not mutually exclusive. I'm not saying we need to recruit another Geoff Owens. I am saying we do need to recruit another big.

Bruner for Yale also could hit from outside from the PF shot, but was a big kid and could rebound. I also think if Mike Wang was healthy last year he would have been starting right next to AJ and I guarantee our rebounding would have been better.

It's not just about who is starting either, it's about depth and we need more big bodies for class of 2021. Full stop.

mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-25-20 02:17 PM - Post#314138    

Comparison for Holland.

Apropos of nothing though (just because it made me chuckle), Larson reminds me of a much skinnier Andrew Van Nest.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 02:23 PM - Post#314139    

  • palestra38 Said:
The depth question is all about Wang. If healthy, no problem. Clearly, though, that's why we brought in a juco transfer, and I think that transfer will be an interesting mix--gotta see something more than what we saw on tape but he's not raw.



Agree, really like Mike Wang and think he is great. His health is a question in general though, and that's exactly what depth is supposed to cover, no? That's why you would want more skilled bodies, right?

Hope the Juco transfer is good (fingers crossed), but while other in league schools landed 2020 recruited big kids ranging from top 200 ranked to others with mid major offers, we had to take a Juco transfer. That doesn't come off as less than ideal?

That's why there were many of us concerned about missing on bigs in 2020 and that's why some of us would be apoplectic if we missed again on bigs in 2021.

palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
09-25-20 02:27 PM - Post#314140    

We played Yale very tough--split with them over the last 3 years (and got jobbed in that key game at Yale). And we were missing Wang for all but 2 of them. Our rebounding has not been good, but even when Max and AJ, it wasn't that good. But there is a big difference in the strength and speed of last year's freshman class and the guys like Goodman and Betley (as much as I liked both of them)---these guys will contest rebounds we used to lose.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-25-20 02:28 PM - Post#314141    

Assuming the link works right, this should help with the discussion on rebounding by position:

Bart Torvik's Site
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
09-25-20 03:48 PM - Post#314148    

  • SomeGuy Said:
At least statistically, Goodman was one of the worst defensive rebounders in the league at any position. The difference when we play Yale is that everyone on the floor for them at all times gets over 10% of available defensive rebounds. We were playing with three starters who did not (Goodman, Dingle, and Martz) and another reserve (Jerome).


With respect SG, this is a case where the data does not match up with what my eyes saw in the last 2 years of Goodman's time at Penn where I repeatedly saw him come down with key defensive rebounds over much bigger guys and wondering how he did it.

Rebounding, as we know, is a combination of size, strength, jumping ability, and technique/positioning. Wang did not look like a plus rebounder even when he was healthy; guys like Monroe and Scott, OTOH have shown they can rebound more than their height would predict in part because they both have good length for their size.

I am convinced that Dingle is a bit like Woods in the sense that he is athletic enough to do just about anything on the court he puts his mind to.

I am way more concerned with defensive rebounding than offensive mainly because it cost Penn several games last year and Penn shoots so many 3's, the rebounds on that end tend to be long ones where quickness matters way more than size.

MLL, for his part has already shown he can be an aggressive and effective rebounder at both ends who also has a knack for outlet passing. He will help there for sure. Martz also showed improvement last year off the boards and will be better.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 03:49 PM - Post#314149    

While I more or less agree with you as to why we couldn’t rebound, I’m not necessarily uncomfortable with the trade offs we made with the group we had. AJ was best offensively as the only big, and he was our best help defender. And he didn’t wear down physically (much), and he was smart enough to play extended minutes with fouls and not foul out. You play that guy while you’ve got him, basically as much as you possibly can.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 03:56 PM - Post#314150    

I believe you can track Martz’s Rebounds and see that he got more when Betley wasn’t on the floor. He didn’t rebound at Betley’s rate (so an already bad rebounding team was worse when Betley was out), but his own rate had a significant uptick.

Agreed that Goodman got some big rebounds here and there. But the rate is the rate. If we’re not a good rebounding team, and the numbers are clear that we’re not, I’m just not comfortable with saying that the guy who was getting the least rebounds on a bad rebounding team is a good rebounder. Rebounding is one of those things where it doesn’t matter how you look when you get them — you’ve got to get them.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
09-25-20 04:03 PM - Post#314151    

We need bigs that have at least two go-to strengths, one of which has to be rebounding. Simmons and MLL are both capable rebounders, though not as sound as they could be. They don't clear out the space under the boards as completely as they could. MLL may develop defense and/or running the floor and finishing as his second skill. Simmons is quite capable, but I don't know what his second clear-cut reason to be on the floor will be... yet. Wang has shooting and passing. If he can become a very good rebounder, he will need to be in the lineup. His health makes him a question.

It is rare for Penn bigs to be immediate impact stars. The ivies tend to get more projects. Since you only get 2 or so years of peak playing performance, we need to have a good development pipeline. of talent. That is why missing two years in a row of bigs hurts.

Only once in a while (Ugonna and AJ) do we get front court players ready to lead the the team as Freshmen. AJ had post offense and rebounding superpowers as a Freshman, but he developed his overall defense and passing to really become a premier Ivy player for the history books.


Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 04:42 PM - Post#314152    

  • Streamers Said:

Rebounding, as we know, is a combination of size, strength, jumping ability, and technique/positioning. Wang did not look like a plus rebounder even when he was healthy; guys like Monroe and Scott, OTOH have shown they can rebound more than their height would predict in part because they both have good length for their size.




Mike Wang was 2nd in defensive rebounding rate as a Freshman at 16.7%. Not gangbusters, but very solid and higher than every other Penn player not named AJ on that team, including Max.

That 16.7% defensive rebounding rate is higher than both defensive rebounding rates of Eddie Scott (as a junior and in fact better than Eddie's rebounding rate any year) and Lucas Monroe last year.

I think Lucas and Eddie are very good rebounders from the wing position, but even still what they provide is not at the rebounding level a PF like Mike Wang.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
09-25-20 04:50 PM - Post#314153    

A healthy Wang should be better off the defensive boards than any wing. If he comes back at 100%, we all should expect that... I'm just a little skeptical and, as I said, really hope to be wrong about that.

That said, our collection of athletic 3's can take up some of the slack created by AJ's absence. The Martz/Betley correlation was not something I was aware of, but again, simple on premise observation indicated that Martz got coached up on his rebounding over the course of last season.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
09-25-20 04:51 PM - Post#314154    

From what I remember watching though, Wang's rebounds mainly came from good positioning – not a size or athleticism contest. I'm not as worried about bigs on the offensive end, as the way we play most often has a guard cutting to the basket to make a layup or the ball being passed out for a three.

I am worried about bigs on the defensive end. Wang got rebounds because AJ battled the other bigs on the floor. We know that Jarrod gets out positioned when he should not, and MLL definitely has a rim protector's mindset. But one big thats defensively astute does not make for a solid strategy. Especially with back-to-the-basket players like Atkinson returning, we need defensive matchups. At least to me, that's a critical missing component.
Mike Porter
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Mike Porter
09-25-20 04:57 PM - Post#314155    

  • SomeGuy Said:
While I more or less agree with you as to why we couldn’t rebound, I’m not necessarily uncomfortable with the trade offs we made with the group we had. AJ was best offensively as the only big, and he was our best help defender. And he didn’t wear down physically (much), and he was smart enough to play extended minutes with fouls and not foul out. You play that guy while you’ve got him, basically as much as you possibly can.



Sure... but to be clear I'm not advocating that we should have had Simmons starting next to AJ for 2 bigs last year. At this point, unfortunately Simmons hasn't shown he was good enough for that, which is precisely why depth is so important. Mike Wang got injured and in turn we didn't have enough inside. I don't see how anyone can argue that we weren't thin inside last year, which of course means you need to recruit more bigs.

We didn't play AJ every minute ever last year only because he was awesome (even though he was). We played him so much because we had no other choice.

If Mike Wang was available, I feel pretty confident he would have likely started alongside AJ, if not played A LOT. And you know what, he would have been fine playing with AJ. Mike Wang of course could have hung around the perimeter like the bigger wings we had to play at the 4, he is an A+ passer, would have shot well from 3 AND been able to grab a larger % of rebounds on defense.

Given more depth and other bigs who could play, they would have played last year and given the coaching staff more options.

Heading into this year, can anyone genuinely think the staff thought to themselves "should we recruit some really good bigs for this class? Nah, F it, we're going with what we got!".

If healthy, I really like the potential of the team for this year (if there is a season), but that involves a healthy Mike Wang and I'm just not super confident we will get that and that's where depth comes in... more bites at the apple gives you a better chance of succeeding, no?

mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-25-20 05:08 PM - Post#314157    

This genuinely puzzles me... is the lack of bigs a miss or a strategic choice?

Feels crazy for it to be a strategic choice. At the same time, Penn probably could have landed Prince Moses, Evan Williams, etc. if it had wanted to, and either didn't want to (strategy) or couldn't (a miss).

No matter what you think of those guys, they're at least credible D1 bigs (I think Moses could be a sneaky Knight-like get for Brown). It's just weird to me to look at what Penn has and think that more credible D1 bodies wouldn't be important to have?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 06:01 PM - Post#314159    

My guess is that they wanted an impact big, and when they didn’t get one, they decided to stick with what they had rather than Moses or Williams, etc. i’ve not heard anyone with knowledge say that, but it fits the facts. I assume it is possible that the AI mix could have somehow been at play, as well.

For one year, it seems reasonable enough to me, assuming they are confident in what they have in MLL and Simmons, and are relatively confident about Wang’s health. If they go another year without even a basic Ivy level big in the class, well, that would be pretty unheard of.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 06:12 PM - Post#314160    

Simmons was not a good rebounder last year. 12% on the defensive end. That is considerably worse than Wang. For a center, it is about as bad a number as you will see. Now, you rebound as a team, so maybe Simmons was clearing out the space that allowed Betley, Monroe, or Scott to get rebounds. And he had decent to good rebounding numbers his first two years.

Despite last year, I won’t be at all surprised if Simmons is a 10ppg, 6 rebound player this year. I think he may be a different guy when he can play through mistakes. He likely isn’t our best defender in the middle (that’s MLL), and he isn’t the best guy to play point center (that’s Wang), but he might be the best combination of the two.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
09-25-20 06:19 PM - Post#314161    

I am not trying to defend or advocate for anyone here. But the Penn team rebounding philosophy for several years has been about some players (Max R being a good example) frequently only focused on boxing out while others are supposed to go get the ball. Max R was very good at establishing position down low and bodying his man. Yet he had a poor rebounding rate. My contention is that the team rebounding strategy lead to those numbers, not any failure on Max's part. And yes, we have not been a good rebounding team last year which I think is a failure to play two bigs, not an issue with the size of the backcourt. I don't have numbers right now but if you looked at the strong rebounding teams, it likely shows the strength of those groups is driven by the big men rebounding.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
09-25-20 08:02 PM - Post#314165    

Rebounding rates are increasingly affected by the type of shots taken. With more 3’s in the game than ever before longer rebounds are the result and guard rebound rates will go up proportionally. That said, no team commits 5 to the glass on offense because at least 1 guard is assigned to get back on defense when a shot goes up.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
09-25-20 10:02 PM - Post#314167    

In fairness to Max - the rebounding % rate I shared earlier from 2019 when Mike Wang edged him out was the lowest of Max's career and I would guess his health could have played a part. That wasn't me knocking Max, who for his career was a good rebounder, but instead was me providing stats to why I thought Mike Wang was a better rebounder than some other folks were giving credit (think he is solid on the boards).
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
09-25-20 11:33 PM - Post#314169    

I don’t think that is true, at least in the Ivy. The difference between us and Yale was mainly the guards, not the forwards. Betley actually had a higher defensive rebounding rate last year than Paul Atkinson. AJ and Betley came closer to matching the front court defensive rebounding of our opponents than the guards did. AJ and Betley combined got about 39% of available rebounds on the defensive side, while Atkinson and Bruner got about 42%. Where we really lost out compared to them is the guards. Everybody they run out there gets 11% or more, and everyone we run out there gets 10% or less.

One question, of course, is whether Betley continues to rebound at a high rate in a bigger lineup. If he did, problem solved. But my guess is that his rate would drop precipitously if he was guarding smaller players on the perimeter.

Also, I am not sure where you are getting that Max R had a low rebounding rate. He wasn’t off the charts, and senior year was his weakest season in that regard, but he was still a pretty good rebounder.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
09-26-20 09:33 AM - Post#314170    

  • palestra38 Said:
" Our rebounding WITH AJ was mediocre to bad. That's what happens when you are always undersized at the 4."

NO! That's what happens when you are undersized in the backcourt, and by a lot. You show me any significant number of college 4s who rack up rebounds like Malone and Oakley and I'll reconsider, but it's just not the case. Essentially, basketball now consists of 5 guys who do much the same thing--run, shoot and rebound, and a big guy who can't run or a guard who can't rebound is a liability. We've been victimized by athletic players who simply get up faster than us--it's rarely an issue of size. We have enough size on this team now. While I would love to get another AJ, it really isn't necessary to do so. It's far more important to get guys who are strong, in great shape and have a shot.


Have to agree with that. The game has really changed.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
09-30-20 10:07 PM - Post#314313    

Nothing about Gus Larson, folks?
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
09-30-20 11:28 PM - Post#314316    

He’s not going to Yale. I for one was really hoping we would get him.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
10-01-20 12:27 AM - Post#314319    

Ah, good call out. I guess my Twitter feed was too full with commentary about last night’s shitshow for me to see this announcement.

Very happy (and a touch relieved) to see a legit big commitment! Like what I see on video as for a 6’10” kid he seems very fluid, has good hops and can hit the 3. Also important to keep pipeline to NMH going!

My only concerns are 1) that he averaged 2.2 points and 1.3 rebounds per game last season at NMH (a small fraction of what MLL showed at same stage) and 2) that he was only recruited by Ivy’s or Richmond (who is led by coach who played in Ivy and often recruits like an Ivy).

Still I like what I’ve seen. NERR website isn’t working for me at moment, does anyone know where he is ranked there?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
10-01-20 10:53 AM - Post#314350    

#20.

Couple of spots behind Smith (17), a few ahead of Pitcher (24).
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
10-01-20 01:15 PM - Post#314370    

Thanks SG. I guess NERR was down last night, but another encouraging data point that he is ranked #20 there.

Watching his most recent videos on social where he shows very good athleticism + 3 point range in addition to the feedback from nychoops and AsiaSunset, has me looking forward to seeing him develop in a Penn uniform.

With recent additions of Holland & Larson, I'm feeling A LOT better about the 2021 class and if true that we still have another target in the mix, even better.

I just think this is a very important class to bolster the overall team depth and take advantage of the very good 2019 class that we expect to be the anchor of the team moving forward.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
10-01-20 02:13 PM - Post#314376    

Is SD's MO for 2021 recruiting to corner the market in Scandinavian talent?

Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
10-05-20 03:46 AM - Post#314544    

From an NMH open run today:

Gus Larson ‘21 (14, 3-7 from 3, 6 rebounds)
Not bad for a big guy, especially one who's still growing into himself.

Also,
Avery Brown ‘22 (we offered) (16, 3-3 from 3, 7 rebounds)
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
10-10-20 03:57 PM - Post#314767    


https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketba ll/story...

I don't think any of us were expecting this one to break in our favor - hopefully Kepnang isn't the "one more recruit" we have been teased about!
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
10-17-20 03:02 AM - Post#315000    

Justin Rochelin is announcing his commitment today
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
10-17-20 09:06 AM - Post#315003    

Back in May it sounded like most interested schools were San Diego St, Yale and Penn, but he's received a number of offers all over the map since then, including Temple. Last big offer he picked up looks to be Oregon St. It's difficult to tell which of the offers are most serious, or whether Rochelin is leaning academic vs. big time program.

Seems to have a similar skill set to Holland. That doesn't mean we couldn't use both.


SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
10-17-20 10:32 AM - Post#315004    

I’m hoping he heard that the players on scholarship at his high major offers are going to be able to stay another year, so he decided to go Ivy (and pick Penn).

Always could use more shooters in our system. Seems like a great system fit.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
10-17-20 04:07 PM - Post#315006    

Quake Show, did you mean he is announcing a commitment to a school generally or to Penn? It looked like he was recruited pretty widely. He would be an impact get for the Ivies.
welcometothejungle
Masters Student
Posts 788
10-17-20 04:39 PM - Post#315009    

Rochelin committed to Arizona State this afternoon

https://247sports.com/Article/Justin-Rochel in-Ariz...
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
10-17-20 05:06 PM - Post#315011    

Sorry, didn’t mean to leave ambiguity in my post. I meant announce a general commitment to one school today. To be frank, didn’t see him being highly sought after by Penn given how much depth we have and will have at the G/F position and the recent commitment of Ed Holland (who I like more as a recruit).

Guess we only have two recorded offers on the board left: Jarvis Moss and Andy Barba.

We shall see!
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
10-17-20 10:59 PM - Post#315013    

Are any of Rochelin, Moss, or Barba the recruit that was teased by others? Or is there a mystery recruit still lurking?
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
10-26-20 09:32 PM - Post#315463    

Penn just offered 6’9 Nick Spinoza. Nick is from Long Island and is taking a pg year at the Canterbury School in Ct.
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
10-26-20 09:55 PM - Post#315465    

He and 6'10" Bob Maimonides could make one ferocious front court.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
10-26-20 10:00 PM - Post#315466    

Actually I spelled his name wrong which is par for the course. It’s Spinosa.

Or perhaps it was an autocorrect
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
10-26-20 10:06 PM - Post#315467    

I regret to inform you it’s actually “Spinoso.”

Offers from Niagara, Drexel, UNH, and Albany.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
10-26-20 10:08 PM - Post#315468    

Spinoso was still 17 in August and also still growing at 6-9 235 so a big kid. Good stats as a senior and all state in NY for some level of private school. Good footwork and decent looking shot.

NYC Hoops may be able to tell us more?
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
10-26-20 10:16 PM - Post#315469    

  • T.P.F.K.A.D.W. Said:
He and 6'10" Bob Maimonides could make one ferocious front court.



Yeah, I was gonna say he's from Long Island but got excommunicated to Connecticut.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
10-27-20 02:12 AM - Post#315471    

Per Twitter, Andy Barba is announcing his college decision tomorrow night at 8pm (CT I guess?).
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
10-27-20 02:30 PM - Post#315532    

I think you can safely rearrange your sock drawer.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
10-27-20 02:33 PM - Post#315534    

I'd have that done before 8.


Oh....
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
10-27-20 02:59 PM - Post#315547    

Is Barba one we thought we were in the running for? Or pretty much a foregone conclusion a long while ago?
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
10-27-20 05:29 PM - Post#315563    

Hah fair enough! More likely will be trying to convince my daughter to eat dinner rather than deal with socks, but point well taken.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
10-27-20 08:38 PM - Post#315568    

Barba committed to Duquesne. Not really surprised after we picked up Holland who is the same W/F.

Not really sure who our last target so many of you alluded to is. Not really sold on Spinoso based on posted highlights, but I really like Jarvis Moss. Unless, of course, there’s another person in the mix.
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
10-27-20 11:35 PM - Post#315569    

My guess is that the mystery recruit being mentioned is Kacper Klaczek. nychoops had great things to say about him, and looks like a very good fit for Donahue offense.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
12-02-20 07:04 PM - Post#317544    

Reese McMullen made the Daily Memphian High School Athlete Honor Roll this week, per the article:

McMullen scored a season-high 27 as the Brothers cruised to a 60-35 victory over Jackson Prep in the Jerry Peters Classic. The senior, who is headed to Penn, had a game-high 27 to lead his team to a 70-66 win over Houston on Tuesday; 21 of those points came in the first half, on 7 of 7 3-point shooting.

Houston is the #1 ranked team in Tennessee and features a top-50 LSU commit and Creighton commit. Reese was lights out from three, lightning fast release, had a couple of steals that led to transition buckets, and 7 assists.

Really liking this commitment
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
12-02-20 07:05 PM - Post#317545    

https://dailymemphian.com/article/18434/daily-m emp...
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
12-04-20 07:28 PM - Post#317592    

This is very encouraging. I think his team plays tonight.

Steve said Penn ranked 5th in all D1 in terms of quality 3 point shots. If we can run this offense and convert 36% of our 3 pt attempts instead of 33% like last year, we can play at the top of the league.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
12-16-20 12:11 PM - Post#318075    

Kacper Klaczek put on an absolute show at the Diamonds in the Rough yesterday. I’m not a rankings person( maybe bc I’m so old I don’t know how they actually work🤣) but this kid is every bit as good as any I’ve seen this year. Versatile, smart, tough he’s the absolute package and as certain as I was about Jordan Kacpers game is more college ready. Those closer to Penn can elaborate/speculate about his recruitment. I’m not trying to add to any mystery I’m just putting out what I know. I’m completely new to the specifics involved in Ivy basketball recruiting details...but I’ve heard the interest is mutual
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
12-16-20 05:48 PM - Post#318082    

  • nychoops Said:
Kacper Klaczek put on an absolute show at the Diamonds in the Rough yesterday. I’m not a rankings person( maybe bc I’m so old I don’t know how they actually work🤣) but this kid is every bit as good as any I’ve seen this year. Versatile, smart, tough he’s the absolute package and as certain as I was about Jordan Kacpers game is more college ready. Those closer to Penn can elaborate/speculate about his recruitment. I’m not trying to add to any mystery I’m just putting out what I know. I’m completely new to the specifics involved in Ivy basketball recruiting details...but I’ve heard the interest is mutual


Great news. Thanks for that update.
Silver Maple
Postdoc
Posts 3778
12-16-20 07:52 PM - Post#318087    

I'd say that it's interesting information. It only becomes great news if he decides to come to Penn.
Buckeye Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1601
12-16-20 08:53 PM - Post#318091    


Maybe I missed it but does anyone even know if we're recruiting the kid and if so to what degree? From my limited amount of digging he seems to have received a lot of mid-major attention but I haven't seen one mention of Penn.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
12-16-20 09:53 PM - Post#318092    

https://twitter.com/L__Jay/status/1274506 732425957...

besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
12-17-20 12:23 AM - Post#318095    

Verbal Commits says Stanford offered Jarvis Moss today.
Quake Show
Junior
Posts 218
12-18-20 08:45 PM - Post#318121    

https://stockrisers.com/s/255/jarvis-moss-sti ll-av...

I really like him as a recruit, but I think with Stanford offering officially we don’t have much of an edge over them - given that they’re a Power 5 program that’s doing pretty well right now and, you know, comparable academics with athletic scholarships.

It’s nice to see that we’re still in it though, and I like how we get a little peek at our recruiting pitch
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
02-01-21 01:51 PM - Post#320096    

Jarvis Moss making a decision on Friday:

https://247sports.com/college/basketball/re cruitin...
Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
02-01-21 05:06 PM - Post#320107    

Interested to see where he ends up. I haven't been following closely with the lack of season, have we still been mentioned as involved in general? I noticed that we aren't mentioned in the article at all, so I guess maybe not?
20Penn14
Senior
Posts 364
02-06-21 11:17 AM - Post#320321    

Jarvis Moss committed to Stanford
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
02-15-21 01:55 PM - Post#320766    

Unfortunately Penn is no longer on Kascper’s radar
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
02-15-21 02:05 PM - Post#320767    

  • nychoops Said:
Unfortunately Penn is no longer on Kascper’s radar



So Kascper’s now a ghost?
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-15-21 02:06 PM - Post#320768    

pEnN dOeSn'T hAvE a rEcRuItInG pRoBlEm
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-15-21 02:09 PM - Post#320769    

When I first looked at that, I thought you were trying to highlight the letters spelling

ESFORMES
penn nation
Professor
Posts 21208
02-15-21 04:09 PM - Post#320772    

Pardon me?
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-15-21 05:29 PM - Post#320776    

Oh man
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-15-21 06:12 PM - Post#320777    

This just serves as a reminder for me to stop by the Harvard board every time you guys dump a game that a supposedly much more talented team ought to win. But thanks for stopping by to celebrate somebody else’s loss.

And before you say it, it makes me sad for the league when Harvard loses more than they ought to given their recruiting success. When Harvard fails, it is bad for the whole league.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-15-21 07:16 PM - Post#320781    

Eh, that's okay. I like mixing it up with Mike. He's far more of a homer than any of the Penn fans, so it's like discussing things on the Columbia board when he comes in.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-15-21 07:55 PM - Post#320782    

Agreed — I thought I was mixing it up. Though maybe in an overly aggressive way.

To continue in my fighting words vein, Mike’s homerism does often come with a (forgive the political reference and implied viewpoint) somewhat Trumpy blurring of fact and opinion. But it is an informative and usually fun part of our echo system. I enjoy the debate, but I do worry that it threatens to have a micro impact on the very thing he is claiming to care about (Ivy recruiting as a whole, and Penn’s part in it). In the same way that constantly saying Harvard recruiting is an unstoppable machine (I think those were Mike’s words) helps to spread a public perception that that is the case, constantly saying that Penn has a recruiting problem actually impacts perceptions and potentially becomes self-fulfilling prophesy. And there are too many Penn fans on here who are perfectly happy to spread that perception. Not necessarily saying that Mike intentionally spreads a narrative that Harvard is awesome and Penn is failing, but there is some evidence that is the case. He certainly has become more negative toward Penn and its recruiting as Penn has gotten better on the court (he really ramped up after we made the tournament a couple years ago).
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-15-21 08:18 PM - Post#320785    

I’m still very confused as to how I get labeled a homer for pointing out that Penn could be a monster if it had a strong recruiter as a coach instead of a great game coach that struggles with recruiting? I really want Penn to have a recruiter that can bring in Top 50 classes with consistency, because that’s the level the program has earned. Which team am I the homer for?

Also, I’m not exactly BRF touting Cornell’s recruits. The stuff I say about Harvard’s recruiting is deluged by the myriad love notes the college basketball media writes about what Amaker has done. If anything, where my praise might be most outsized relative to national press is for Yale and Brown’s recruiting.

I post here not to troll but rather because there are some on these boards that somehow believe Penn’s recruiting is all fine and dandy, and those people continue to be wrong. Penn allowed itself to get lapped by Harvard, Yale and Princeton (though Princeton is frequently off doing its own thing). That’s not helpful to the overall quality of the league and needs to be rectified.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-15-21 09:05 PM - Post#320786    

mike's right. this is obvious. Stop accepting top 150. let's hire some assistants who want to recruit like they mean it and let's GOOOOOOOOO.


(also put steve on notice, mediocrity in the form of a sixteen seed won't be tolerated.)
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-15-21 10:57 PM - Post#320789    

I know that we haven't been recruiting like Harvard. I don't agree that it's Steve's fault. It's a combination of 8 years of horrible, losing basketball and a terrible coach who sold out the University and a Harvard coach who was given carte blanche to offer Harvard admission to those who never would have been admitted in the past and the willingness to offer de facto athletic scholarships. Perhaps if we hired a Gary Williams when we hired Jerome, we could have stayed with them, but the idea that hiring more active assistants will even the playing field is a joke.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-16-21 12:40 AM - Post#320791    

But yet again, the oncourt evidence doesn’t fit that narrative. The oncourt evidence doesn’t say Penn has been lapped by Harvard. Penn went to the tournament more recently. The overall records and Pomeroy ratings, while they favor Harvard a bit, do not do so by an amount that suggests lapping. It suggests that it is close. Penn has a better record than Princeton over the last four years, and that includes a year where Princeton went 14-0. Over the last three years, we have won an average of 5 more games per season than Princeton. If that’s getting lapped, great, keep lapping us.

In addition, you act as if the guys on the board are responsible for (your perception of) Penn’s poor recruiting. Who cares if some people on the board are wrong about this? I’m a fan rooting for a team. I like our recruiting in large part because I like our coaches and I like our kids. I have no impact on what the team does in regard to hiring, and I wouldn’t want to.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
02-16-21 08:36 AM - Post#320793    

  • SomeGuy Said:
But yet again, the oncourt evidence doesn’t fit that narrative. The oncourt evidence doesn’t say Penn has been lapped by Harvard. Penn went to the tournament more recently. The overall records and Pomeroy ratings, while they favor Harvard a bit, do not do so by an amount that suggests lapping. It suggests that it is close. Penn has a better record than Princeton over the last four years, and that includes a year where Princeton went 14-0. Over the last three years, we have won an average of 5 more games per season than Princeton. If that’s getting lapped, great, keep lapping us.

In addition, you act as if the guys on the board are responsible for (your perception of) Penn’s poor recruiting. Who cares if some people on the board are wrong about this? I’m a fan rooting for a team. I like our recruiting in large part because I like our coaches and I like our kids. I have no impact on what the team does in regard to hiring, and I wouldn’t want to.



You are correct. The way Harvard has recruited they should have kept dominating the league (you know the way Penn and Princeton did for forty years). Looked like it might be that way after a run of 4 straight NCAA appearances in the early part of the last decade. But hasn't panned out. Sounds like Mr. James might still be bitter towards Coach Donohue for his Cornell teams back in 2008-10 for keeping the Harvard run from being longer. Of course injuries factor in for all the teams including Penn and Harvard.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 09:19 AM - Post#320796    

Well, Mike is right as to the objective fact that Harvard has consistently pulled in much higher rated recruits than Penn under Amaker. I suggested reasons for it that he rejects--we disagree on that. But you two are correct that the results don't indicate any major Harvard advantage on the court.

As I have said before, I was really looking forward to this year because irrespective of the recruiting rankings, what we saw from the freshmen and sophs in the last campaign was very strong and Penn was going to have a team that would be together for 3 years or more with superior athleticism.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-16-21 09:21 AM - Post#320797    

Harvard has won ~75% of Ivy games since 2010 and seven Ivy titles. It won more Ivy games over the past four years than any other team. All this while losing about half of the court time for two Ivy POY caliber players.

Penn, meanwhile, spent three of the past four years in a fight for the fourth seed. And that’s with every single moment of AJ’s career on the court.

Penn is not where Penn should be. And it is the missing piece for a Top 10 league. That’s what I care about.

Yes, I’m hard on Penn. I recognize that. But it’s the team with the most remaining, untapped potential to boost the profile of this league, and there are a handful of folks on this board who seem to be content leaving that potential untapped.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
02-16-21 09:27 AM - Post#320798    

I know we are looking for things to argue about since our teams are not playing, but we are making too much of this. Mrjames is entitles to his opinion, although he might be overplaying his hand a bit. Our coaches are paid to put a winning and respected program on the court, not to maximize recruiting star points. Apparent HS talent matters, but many other things do as well. Even in Penn’s glory periods, we missed on many coveted recruiting targets. All we need to do is land one AJ-class kid, and this talk goes away. Given the anomalies of the current situation, it may be years before we can adequately assess our recruiting capability vs our own league or peer leagues. Until then, I’m paying more attention to the transfer list.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 09:28 AM - Post#320799    

Other than bringing in a coach of Amaker's pedigree and salary demands, which I just don't think Penn will do, what do you think will allow Penn to compete for Harvard's recruits and win some battles.

I don't see it.

And Penn certainly has held its own against Harvard head to head in this entire period--the difference primarily is in depth and Harvard has been better able to deal with injuries.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
02-16-21 09:39 AM - Post#320800    

You're expecting Penn to recruit like it did 30/40 years ago when as we all agree only Penn and Princeton seemed interested in fielding a top level basketball team at that time.. There are now four top teams recruiting the same guys. I don't think hiring someone who is considered a top recruiter will automatically help Penn given Harvard's (and Yale's) built in advantages. They are the top two most recognized Ivy schools. No recruits today care that Penn dominated the league for 40 years.

I think most Penn fans are ok with the team being competitive after some miserable years. The team lacks the talent depth of Harvard so injuries to guys like Wang and Betley and Monroe hurt the team quite a bit the past couple of years.

I don't think there is really a way for the Ivy League to be a consistent top ten league anymore.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-16-21 10:56 AM - Post#320807    

While I don't always agree with Mike, I love his posts and it is a big reason I come on here to participate. So keep it up, contrarian or no.

I think a basketball program is a sum of it's parts. I don't think there is some magical coach who is the missing piece. It has to all line up as P38 suggests. Coach, administration, staff, players. It's tough to get the chemistry right. How long did it take James Jones to get where Yale is now? I don't think anyone thought he was a genius his first 10 or so years.

Steve may not be the guy....but he might be the guy. Right now I am fine with the trajectory we are on. So much of the instant gratification culture wants to make changes and I think the reality is the teams with long term stability and incremental advantages will prevail.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 11:07 AM - Post#320808    

Correct---and Penn will never fire a winning coach without scandal to try and do better. It's just not in the school's makeup. Especially when we have a guy who rescued the program from the deepest depths.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-16-21 11:29 AM - Post#320810    

  • Quote:
There are now four top teams recruiting the same guys.



I want to clarify something. This is actually less true than it has ever been. With the success the league has had in expanding the pool, we are seeing far more recruiting wins on lists that contain mostly schools outside the league. There are still some classic Ivy vs. Ivy showdowns for top talent (Jaelin, Ledlum, Bennett Pitcher) but much of the wins of top talent come without Ivy competition (Lesmond, Poulakidas, Basa-Ama, Ajogbor, etc.).

What separates Penn from Harvard and Yale (and to some extent Princeton) is its inability to win those solo battles against teams outside our league. The "Ivy prospect" notion still exists, and you're correct to say that is a zero sum game. But the extent to which top talent in our league has generally been won in battles with non-Ivies has grown dramatically in recent years, and if you can't win those battles, you can't win consistently in this league anymore. That was my initial fear with Steve. He was built to win a league that doesn't exist anymore.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
02-16-21 11:55 AM - Post#320813    

I have no skin in the game here and my knowledge of how the recruits in the Ivies get vetted by admissions is literally ZERO....that being said the perception that I hear around is that Mike is correct....Penn in the past few years is recruiting in an antiquated fashion and a few of his better recruits are there for reasons other than quality of their recruitment.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
02-16-21 11:56 AM - Post#320814    

Point made. Still it's increased competition.

Has the league really changed that much from when Donahue won three straight titles at Cornell? Seems his emphasis on the three point shot on both ends is even more important now.
OldBig5
Masters Student
Posts 639
02-16-21 11:58 AM - Post#320815    

  • PennFan10 Said:
While I don't always agree with Mike, I love his posts and it is a big reason I come on here to participate. So keep it up, contrarian or no.

I think a basketball program is a sum of it's parts. I don't think there is some magical coach who is the missing piece. It has to all line up as P38 suggests. Coach, administration, staff, players. It's tough to get the chemistry right. How long did it take James Jones to get where Yale is now? I don't think anyone thought he was a genius his first 10 or so years.

Steve may not be the guy....but he might be the guy. Right now I am fine with the trajectory we are on. So much of the instant gratification culture wants to make changes and I think the reality is the teams with long term stability and incremental advantages will prevail.


He's a friendly troll.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-16-21 12:28 PM - Post#320816    

This was always a criticism of Dunphy too. The narrative was that he couldn’t recruit, and Maloney and Ugonna just fell into his lap. Heck, sometimes people find ways to criticize Amaker on this too. None of these guys are very good recruiters if you find ways to explain away their top recruits.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-16-21 12:40 PM - Post#320817    

This is correct, IMO. And just to try to combat Jeff and Mike’s narrative about fan complacency, i’m not satisfied with a top 150 program that only wins the league when everyone else has a down year. In my opinion, the best way to start to match Harvard in recruiting is to first start beating them on the court.

So I agree with P38 about where we are and why. Once, we were the Ivy school for anyone who wanted to go to an Ivy to play basketball and have the best chance of winning. If you were more interested in academic rank, you could go to Yale or Harvard. During the Miller years, we gave that basketball advantage away. The Allen years solidified what we had lost. It became a situation where Harvard was the Ivy school to go to for your academic rank and to play winning basketball.

Since Steve came in, we’ve chipped away at that. But it generally doesn’t start with bringing on top 100 recruits. It starts with more incremental improvements that increase the level of play. When kids see us winning on the court, that is when the tide starts to really turn on recruiting.

To finish up with PF10’s point again, Steve may or may not be the guy who takes us to the next level. But given what went on before, to me he has easily earned the right to find out.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-16-21 01:01 PM - Post#320821    

Yes, nychoops, that's what I hear as well.

  • Quote:
Has the league really changed that much from when Donahue won three straight titles at Cornell? Seems his emphasis on the three point shot on both ends is even more important now.



We've documented this a lot here, but yes, the league is much, much different now. It was a 20s league for most of the AI era and was in the high 20s for the early part of the Cornell run. At Bart's site, the league hasn't ranked in the 20s since being 23rd in 2009-10. It's been solidly in the teens for the entire past decade, rising as high as 11th in 2018-19 (between the A10 and Mountain West).

The growth in the quality of the league emphasizes the growth in the size of the recruiting pool and the ability of Ivies to win recruiting battles with other multi-bid leagues. While Harvard and Yale have proven very successful in winning battles with Penn for recruits, their best recruits have mostly come from outcompeting teams from higher profile conferences. That is the biggest distinction between Harvard/Yale and Penn right now - the former have been successful when the final list is them against other conf teams and Penn simply hasn't.
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
02-16-21 01:22 PM - Post#320822    

  • nychoops Said:
Penn in the past few years is recruiting in an antiquated fashion...


I know precisely zero about recruiting.

What does it mean to recruit in an "antiquated" fashion, and how does this differ from contemporary recruiting?

Thanks!
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-16-21 03:23 PM - Post#320828    

I am not a buyer of the "antiquated" argument. Steve has been in front of the innovation train most of the way starting at Cornell when he changed their recruitment to fit the types of recruits they could actually get. He rode that to the Sweet 16. He was a 3pt guy before most and at BC they played no defense. He became a defensive guy at Penn and it has served him well. I think Steve has the ability to adjust as well or better than most coaches.

Again, the instant gratification train is barking here. I preach patience grasshopper. I have faith in the guy. James Jones was a nobody and a middling program at Yale winning just 1 Ivy title in his first 15 years. He has won 4 of the last 6.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
02-16-21 04:56 PM - Post#320835    

Personally, I think this is fun to debate, but as has been pointed out, Steve, and likely most of his staff, is here as long as they are in the league championship conversation. Had they played this year, it would have been very interesting to see how their roster depth would make up for the fact that they would be without a true star player or two for the first time since Steve came on.

On a related note, BC just fired another coach. Is there another program in D-1 that crushes coaches careers like they do? That's a school with a recruiting problem.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 05:14 PM - Post#320838    

The departure from the Big East has been an utter disaster for just about all of the former Big East basketball schools. Syracuse, Pitt, Notre Dame, UConn, BC---all have fallen to unthinkable lows. Louisville and West Virginia are doing OK. But the teams that were at the heart of those amazing tournaments at MSG have watched the Catholic Schools remaining (and now UConn as well) do much much better.
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
02-16-21 05:48 PM - Post#320841    

I would also like to better understand what "antiquated" means in this regard.

My (outsider) perspective is that Penn has lost a ton of head-to-head recruiting battles to non-Ivy teams for players who would have had very obvious and immediate roles at Penn. Penn has regularly recovered well because the staff seems to be good at scouting/development the next tier of prospects.

To PennFan10's point, nearly every prospect publicly linked to a Penn offer has multiple, significant HM offers to schools at or above the tier to which Penn lost prospects the last two years. Hopefully things work out better with that class.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 06:02 PM - Post#320843    

And I think we have had very good classes for each of the last 2 years (can't say anything about the lost class of this year yet).
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-16-21 06:10 PM - Post#320844    

the results are the results. Steve got very lucky this year that we didn't play. We were going to be trash. I have no idea what will happen next year but were we to not make the tourney, I think we should let him go.

While James Jones is an exception that proves the rule, generally there is the concept of momentum. New hires have it (come in, change the program, etc.) and winning teams have it. Mediocre coaches that have to back in to the 4 seed and then one year make the 16th seed are not the hot programs.

The thing is assistants don't even cost that much, let's cycle through them and find some guys who want to hustle.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-16-21 06:20 PM - Post#320846    

Is it the exception that proves the rule? Seems like the coaches with longevity do better than the ones who shuffle em in and out. Coach K, Coach Cal, Coach Bennett, Billy Donovan at Florida. All been there forever and programs that are better than those who shuffle coaches every 4-5 yrs. It takes a lot longer to sustain winning than it does to keep losing.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-16-21 06:22 PM - Post#320847    

no way man, there's some real survivorship bias there. i mean if the sixers kept eddie jordan around for 10 years maybe he finally would have found luck with that princeton offense but they only needed a year to realize they made a huge mistake.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
02-16-21 06:39 PM - Post#320848    

Antiquated was perhaps not the best choice of words(lesson learned ...have my coffee first)...but to answer the question some of the criticism I have heard is they are not as active in staying in touch once initial contact is made as well as not being as involved in the AAU/summer world as perhaps one might expect
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-16-21 06:44 PM - Post#320849    

gotta hustle. the rule of every scrappy backup point guard and the assistant coaches they one day hope to become.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-16-21 07:02 PM - Post#320851    

Of course, but you don't the answer any more than I do. You want to change and think we can do "better" and I believe better is longer. You can easily separate the Eddie Jordan's and Joe Scott's of the world. But how do you know if someone good can become great? Coach K had 5 winning seasons in his first 10 as a head coach. Going into his 4th year at Duke there was serious talk about getting rid of him.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-16-21 08:40 PM - Post#320855    

Isn't it obvious that it's real important to keep in frequent contact with recruits? Especially for a program in Penn's situation?

Not good if that's where we're falling down in recruiting.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-16-21 09:46 PM - Post#320856    

But let’s talk momentum and the impact of new coaches for a moment. Only two coaches in the league have immediately and demonstrably impacted the win/loss record of their programs in a positive direction: Amaker and Donahue.

If you want to look at current momentum, if you compare the last five years to the previous five, going by wins per season Penn has more than twice the improvement of any other program in the league.

I know that Princeton and Harvard are supposed to be lapping us, but they’ve gone backwards comparing the last five to the previous five, while we have gone significantly forward.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-16-21 10:20 PM - Post#320857    

princeton is in a lot of trouble. they should be firing henderson. won't argue with you there.

steve lost his momentum. would have been cool if he could have capitalized on the championship but he's lost it. thanks for proving my point.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-16-21 11:01 PM - Post#320858    

He won a title with Jerome's recruits that Jerome couldn't win 10 games with. Injuries prevented Penn from winning 9-10 Ivy games as they would have if healthy the following 2 years. Having a lost recruiting year certainly hurt, but 2 straight good recruiting years would have made this year much stronger than you think....albeit we will never know.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-16-21 11:34 PM - Post#320860    

and jerome came within a game of a title with glen's recruits... big whatever there.

not to mention i'm not sure how much i even agree with "jerome's recruits" given aj led that team and he joined a year after jerome was fired even if that staff did the initial groundwork... and also none of this has anything to do with anything.

no, much like penn's in season records (which get worse as we get in conference, its players (dingle, bryce, wang), its record (24 wins followed by 19, followed by 16), the momentum has backslid in its recruiting.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 08:48 AM - Post#320862    

AJ was there for the following 2 years and didn't win. I was referring to Foreman and Woods, not AJ. It was in the backcourt where we fell off in the following years.

That being said, Jelani Williams was a major recruit--injured. Wang, who got off to a great start--injured. Betley, who might have been an Ivy MVP candidate--injured and clearly was not the same when he returned for his last season with Penn. Bryce Washington, another guy who got off to a good start, got injured and never has been the same. Jonah Charles, probably our top recruit last year--injured and didn't play.

Are you going to place the blame for these injuries, which clearly affected our results over the past two seasons, on Steve?
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
02-17-21 09:08 AM - Post#320863    

Totally agree. Besides it’s not like Yale and Princeton have been better the last couple years because they have won head to head recruiting battles with Penn.

For Steve’s teams to play at the top of the league they must improve from shooting 33.% from 3 to perhaps 36%. He is clearly targeting players that he thinks can get Penn to that level. Penn is getting quality looks. You need to convert at a higher % to have more success.

Even then the variation from game to game will always be there with this offensive approach. I watched Villanova get crushed by Creighton the other day. Why ? They couldn’t make a shot. And - they clearly have guys who can shoot. Still - they are capable of beating any team in the nation, yet there are days when there is no magic and the ball doesn’t go in. Penn had too many of those games the past couple years. But - as I said before - the offense is producing the quality looks intended.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-17-21 10:01 AM - Post#320865    

This is a fallacy. The idea our coaches are not in constant contact with recruits we have heard from someone who heard. I HIGHLY doubt (hint: know) that is factual. So much goes into recruiting and it's nuanced. I am pretty sure our coaches are in regular contact with their recruits. Now we may disagree with the approach (recruiting in 2-3 hour drive from Philly) which leads them to ignore some of the AAU talent that otherwise might be inclined, but the idea they aren't in contact is simply not true.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-17-21 10:03 AM - Post#320866    

  • Jeff2sf Said:

steve lost his momentum. would have been cool if he could have capitalized on the championship but he's lost it. thanks for proving my point.



Momentum? What are we doing...trading Gamestop? Momentum is another fallacy. It's cool for the short termers who like to churn coaches but it's not a thing in recruiting or coaching.
Condor
PhD Student
Posts 1888
02-17-21 10:15 AM - Post#320867    

When we compare conference records, I think playing Princeton after the break the last couple of years has not helped the Penn cause. Also, hasn’t Penn had superior, even if mixed with some inexplicable losses, OOC records? Also, didn’t the JA restrictions play some part in the opportunity to contact recruits? I would defer to most of you on this subject, but it seems to me that the jury is still out.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-17-21 10:31 AM - Post#320868    

  • PennFan10 Said:
  • Jeff2sf Said:

steve lost his momentum. would have been cool if he could have capitalized on the championship but he's lost it. thanks for proving my point.



Momentum? What are we doing...trading Gamestop? Momentum is another fallacy. It's cool for the short termers who like to churn coaches but it's not a thing in recruiting or coaching.



ok +1 for the gamestop reference. but unlike stocks, this is a thing. You don't just get yourself off the treadmill of mediocrity. people who have down years (and it's been 3 down years) more often than not do not recover. Is that because they aren't good in the first place? Probably. But it's also because they aren't the hot program and can't generate the looks from the kids they need to dig themselves out.

palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 10:41 AM - Post#320869    

They are "hotter" than they had been for 10 years. Both Jonah Charles and Lorca-Lloyd were highly rated recruits last year. And they got great play out of lower rated recruits who did play. I really don't think the falloff after the title 3 years ago was a recruiting issue--we lost a senior backcourt and, due to injury, were unable to replace them and had guys like Ray Jerome playing real minutes. That's not the coach's fault.

We'll be fine. It's just ridiculous to think that absent outspending Harvard and bringing in a Power Conference coach with payola AAU connections that we can out-recruit Harvard head to head in most such battles. If they do that, it's fine with me, but I acknowledge it is not going to happen, so the general trend of the program from the JA era is what to look at. Like most of the others here, I see it as trending upwards, notwithstanding 2 4th place finishes (mostly due to injury).
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 10:48 AM - Post#320871    

But again, how often does this actually happen? You’ve got two coaches in our league who have moved the needle at all right off the bat. You want to fire one in Donahue, who has allegedly lost momentum. The other one (Amaker) has really lost momentum — he averaged 6 fewer wins per season over the last 5 than he did the previous 5.

Who exactly are these hot momentum programs? It doesn’t seem to happen much in our league.

Your approach is like my kids playing Pokémon card games online — you seem to just want to open hundreds of packs of cards hoping to get a legendary (not sure if I got the terminology quite right).
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 11:03 AM - Post#320873    

I’m also not at all convinced we were really any worse the last two years than we were when we won the league. Pomeroy ratings for us each year were more or less the same. We won the league when the league was down. The last two years, Yale was a top 100 team. We won when we were (arguably) the best team. When we were the third or fourth best team, we came in 4th. But I think our level was actually about the same. Everybody moved around us.

Admittedly that doesn’t completely disprove Jeff’s point. I don’t see negative momentum, but I certainly don’t have any argument of positive momentum over the last 3 years — I think we plateaued. And of course we will now never know about this year. Like Jeff, I think we would have taken a step (or more) back this year. But Dingle and Martz provided hope (as did healthy OOC Wang and Washington the year before) that the pieces were there, particularly on offense, so it is possible P38 would have been proven right.
nychoops
Junior
Posts 243
02-17-21 11:23 AM - Post#320876    

Since I set off this firestorm perhaps its best I clarify...I have heard, FIRSTHAND, from more than one prominent person that THEY believe from talking to both coaches and kids that Penn has dropped the ball on a few occasions for reasons previously stated. In NO way was i implying the Penn staff is lazy or indifferent or not capable. I only know them through the recruitment of a kid or two im close with and on both occasions the player and family were impressed. How they stack up with other staffs in the league, expectations, prior Penn staffs is in NO way what my original post intent was.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 11:54 AM - Post#320877    

I think Lorca-Lloyd is going to be really good, as is Charles. You get those guys out running, I start thinking that '95 team in terms of style.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-17-21 12:33 PM - Post#320878    

Jeff's "point" about momentum is a myth, it doesn't exist. He conjures up selective data and then generalizes that "more often than not" blah blah blah.

It's his opinion only. Believe it at your own peril. Texas has churned football coaches because they believe in the Mike James theory they are just a good coach away. It's a myth. But it's also a style difference. Tortoise and the Hare. I believe Donahue has the chops on all fronts to figure it out and I believe it also has to be in conjunction with the institution. Amaker brought his name to Harvard at the perfect time as the stars aligned. James Jones was a nobody and had to work with the school for 15 years to become relevant. Mike Martin is widely considered a talented coach and recruiter despite never making the ILT and getting beat by Penn every year in his attempts to do it.

Momentum and "1 coach away" theories are nice stories but not rooted in facts.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-17-21 12:35 PM - Post#320879    

  • Quote:
Besides it’s not like Yale and Princeton have been better the last couple years because they have won head to head recruiting battles with Penn.



  • Quote:
Now we may disagree with the approach (recruiting in 2-3 hour drive from Philly) which leads them to ignore some of the AAU talent that otherwise might be inclined, but the idea they aren't in contact is simply not true.



I think these comments are much closer to the point. I do think Penn has a real problem outcompeting certain other Ivies head-to-head, but that isn't as much of a problem anymore because the pool has expanded so greatly.

Think of the most recent star recruits. The 2016 Harvard class was one Northeastern kid (Aiken) and 1 from OH, 1 from CO, 2 from GA and 2 from CA. The 2020 and 2021 classes were 3 from the Northeast (Pitcher, Silverstein and Hemmings), 2 from AZ, 2 from the midwest and 1 from NC. Princeton's best recent recruit was from Canada (as were many other good Ivy recruits recently), and it has picked up a bunch of other good ones from the West Coast. Yale has really run up the score in FL, GA and SC, just grabbed a really good one from the Midwest (where the Ivies recruit well) while still holding serve when it wants to in the NEPSAC.

While Harvard, Yale and Princeton all generally win over Penn when going heads up for recruit, the important point is that their recruiting doesn't really bring them up against Penn all that much. That's how the second quote explains the first. The Ivy League pecking order just doesn't matter as much as it used to because of the expanded pool of winnable prospects, but if your team isn't able to expand its own pool with wins and isn't doing all that well in the shared pool, recruiting will suffer. If Penn could just win the kids that it's going up against mainly non-Ivies for (like Harvard, Yale and Princeton have gotten good at), whether it can or can't beat those other schools for kids wouldn't matter as much.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 12:42 PM - Post#320880    

Perhaps, but I think Penn has had only one stinker recruiting year under Donahue....what would have been this year's seniors. It's tough to lose your top recruit to injury in 3 recruiting years.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 01:27 PM - Post#320882    

My only concern here is that Charles may not be what you are expecting. It sounded like he had the best chance of being a starter among the freshmen last year before he got hurt. But I believe he is mainly a 3 point shooter. By senior year of high school 2/3 of his made shots were 3s. And that was high school. My guess is that doesn’t change as a college player, particularly playing for us.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 01:32 PM - Post#320883    

But Penn’s geographic spread of recruits isn’t any different from Harvard, Yale, and Princeton. We’re drawing kids from lots of different places, just like they are.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 01:43 PM - Post#320884    

Well, of course we don't know. I would hope he improves his overall game. But losing Jelani, Wang and Charles, with only one of them playing a partial season, makes it really hard to conclude that Steve isn't recruiting well. I mean, Penn was 10-2 the year AFTER they won the title, having just beaten New Mexico in the Pit, when Wang went down in the Toledo game and that team, then lost to Monmouth and 2 against Princeton before recovering and beating Villanova! That team lost 4 OT games that year and if we had Wang for any of them playing the way he was playing, we might have won all of them and the narrative would be completely different.

But it isn't recruiting.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-17-21 01:53 PM - Post#320885    

My concern, if I were honest, is that Steve is prioritizing the Big 5 and the Philly connection, staying close to home and trying to win recruiting battles there. Having said that we lost recruits to Temple and other Big 5 schools. We have to be able to win the Philly kids over other Big 5's. If there is a red flag for me, over time that would be it.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 02:26 PM - Post#320886    

Yes, I was just reacting to the “running” thing. I don’t think Charles is really in that mold. He could be our best recruit in last year’s class. I just don’t think he’ll be an Ira Or Ibby stealing balls and going coast to coast.

But I agree with you about our recruiting overall. We’ve had the best freshmen in the league by win shares the last two seasons. Again, if this is getting lapped, keep lapping us.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-17-21 03:41 PM - Post#320887    

  • Quote:
We’ve had the best freshmen in the league by win shares the last two seasons. Again, if this is getting lapped, keep lapping us.



Win shares are a function of playing time. Penn hasn't recruited deep, talented classes, so it keeps needing to press its freshmen into service, and thus they can rack up win shares. I'd imagine they'll continue to have strong showings in freshmen win shares, because they don't have enough returning talent to keep the best freshmen on the bench. Yale keeps winning the league, and it has only had 3 freshmen get more than 0.5 win shares over the past three seasons (Atkinson, Swain, Mahoney).

The biggest indictment of Penn's talent over the past four years is the following:

AJ finished with the fifth highest win shares (it's okay to use win shares when you're talking about retrospective productivity rather than using them to project moving forward!) in the past 20 years.
Usually when a team has one of those players, they do great things:

1) Ryan Wittman (19.6) - Three Ivy titles, Sweet 16
2) Ibby Jaaber (18.3) - Three Ivy titles, four 10+ Ivy win seasons
3) Wes Saunders (17.3) - Four Ivy titles, two NCAA wins, two Top 25 teams
4) Ian Hummer (17.3) - One Ivy title (lost out to two different teams that won NCAA games and came within a bucket of an NCAA win as a 13-seed in 2011), 43 Ivy wins
5) AJ Brodeur (16.7) - One Ivy title (16-seed), didn't come closer than 3 games back any other year
6) Justin Sears (16.7) - Two Ivy titles, one NCAA win, 42 total Ivy wins

The remainder of the Top 20 in win shares mostly includes players who were part of those types of teams with only a few more that weren't (Lo, Morgan, Rosen and Rosenberg).

The past four years of AJ's tenure should be seen as a significant underachievement by the team relative to the teams of the other players who have posted similar lofty output. Meanwhile, Harvard won two Ivy titles and 42 Ivy games with it's highest win share player being Chris Lewis (26th, 12.6) and Yale won two Ivy titles and 39 Ivy games with its highest win share player being Paul Atkinson (30th, 12.0).

The reason has everything to do with recruiting and, consequently, depth. Harvard would have hoped that its top win share players would have been its POYs (Towns and Aiken) and Yale would have hoped it would have been Oni or Bruner. And yet both still won titles even though none of those players got to 10 win shares. Where would Penn have been without AJ for vast stretches? If they lost two win shares a year from his productivity?

These are the questions that an analysis of their recruiting ability would examine. Without AJ performing at a god-like level for four years, we'd be having an entirely different discussion, and you can't say the same thing about the teams that are recruiting better than Penn.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 04:10 PM - Post#320888    

While I know you were responding to SomeGuy and not me (I said nothing about win shares), I think it's just wrong not to look at those injuries and recognize that is far more of a factor than recruiting. In '18-'19, Jelani Williams, a top recruit the year before, goes down before the first game with a second ACL. Ryan Betley, one of the favorites for POY, goes down 5 minutes into the first game, Penn loses Wang, who was tremendous, when they were 10-2, Washington suffers an injury which affects him for the rest of the year and they still win the Big 5 and beat Villanova, but simply don't have enough in the tank to win in the 14 game round robin or in the playoff. The next year they lose Charles as well as Williams again and Wang can't play. They still made the playoffs both years. But had Penn had it's top recruits available, they would have been right in the mix with Harvard and Yale.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-17-21 04:29 PM - Post#320890    

First of all, none of those players are comparable to losing a year of Towns, Aiken, Oni, Bruner or Mason. Second of all, you're making my point. If Penn was entirely healthy, it would be right there with a Harvard team that was on its fifth point guard at one point and a Yale team that lost Mason, Mason and Bruner and then Oni three out of the past four season.

That's fundamentally my point. Penn is recruiting well enough that if everything goes perfect, it could be right there with Harvard and Yale so long as they're both hobbled with injuries. If Harvard hadn't had any injuries, many folks had it tabbed as a Top 25, second-weekend team. But it got decimated. And then you got to see what quality recruiting looks like.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 04:42 PM - Post#320891    

Harvard indeed with Towns and Aiken should have won a title. But they had one of them and still didn't each of the last 2 years. Meanwhile, Penn lost more than one guy. I agree that Harvard lost stars each of the last 2 years. Penn lost it's best scorer the year after it won the title and he was a shell of himself his final year, plus its 3 best recruits over those 3 years. I don't think anyone lost nearly as much as Penn. And they still made the playoffs every year. Let me say it this way--if Betley and Wang don't go down in '19, Penn wins back to back. And they have recruited very well the last 2 years.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 05:31 PM - Post#320892    

Hang on — you’re either misrepsenting or misunderstanding my point here. I have never said that Penn is recruiting as well as Harvard. I don’t believe Penn is. My point is that Penn can beat Harvard while getting outrecruited. Recruiting is a part of that, but it isn’t everything— if it was, Harvard would win every year. Or at least one of the last six years.

I disagree with the “recruiting problem” part of your narrative. If your narrative is just that Harvard outrecruits us, then we are all agreed.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-17-21 05:40 PM - Post#320893    

Double agreed. But there's no way to out-recruit Harvard because Harvard is offering the max that Harvard can offer--a free Harvard degree with a big money coach with connections. Since we can no longer offer 50 years of great basketball as we once did, there is no advantage we can declare in a head to head.

That being said, we've held our own against Harvard head to head.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-17-21 06:19 PM - Post#320895    

  • Quote:
I don't think anyone lost nearly as much as Penn.



That's insane.

  • Quote:
And they still made the playoffs every year.



Barely.

  • Quote:
if it was, Harvard would win every year. Or at least one of the last six years.



Harvard has won three of the past six Ivy titles. It lost two road tourney games as the 1-seed.

  • Quote:
My point is that Penn can beat Harvard while getting outrecruited.



Penn is 4-6 against Harvard under Donahue (5-7 with tourneys) and hasn't beaten Harvard away from The Palestra.

  • Quote:
If your narrative is just that Harvard outrecruits us, then we are all agreed.



My narrative is that Penn is recruiting like the fourth or fifth best team in the league (Brown is right there with Penn) and over the past four years it has the fourth most Ivy wins. Further, I believe those two things are linked. I also believe that Harvard and Yale are recruiting much better than Penn and are 1-2 in Ivy wins over the past four years.

This notion that Penn can get outrecruited by Harvard, Yale (and Princeton) and still "compete" isn't being proven true in the Ivy standings, where it is -3 to Princeton, -6 to Yale and -9 to Harvard over the past four years.

What's more is that Penn had BY FAR the most productive player in terms of total output over those four years, masking how much further the Quakers are behind in average talent.

You can spin things all you want, but I'd recommend listening to nychoops and me and the info we're trying to convey, rather than pretending we're just shooting from the hip on a barstool. We're just trying to share what we know.
91Quake
PhD Student
Posts 1126
02-17-21 06:47 PM - Post#320896    

I don't think you are right on Charles. Take a look and listen to what's available out there on the interwebs. He was a shooter when they needed one in his high schoool, but I expect him to be a good defender and better all around player than you are expecting. I think he was being looked at for a real role as a freshman because he was not just a shooter but a more complete player.
besnoah
Masters Student
Posts 803
02-17-21 07:00 PM - Post#320897    

I have made it clear that I agree with mrjames on the recruiting issue, but the contrast between the way he has--for years--venerated James Jones for "managing to always finish top 4" (I'm sure there were never any close calls) with the way he discusses Penn's current situation is frankly very funny.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 07:01 PM - Post#320898    

i don’t think you’re shooting from the hip. I think you’re essentially a paid Harvard shill.

Are you really carting out a record of 5-7 to show Penn can’t beat Harvard? Doesn’t that prove my point? Meanwhile, you say that Penn is basically even withBrown, a team that we are 5-1 against over the last 3 years and 7-3 against during Donahue’s tenure. A team that has never finished ahead of us in the standings. A team that hasn’t been in the same zip code in Pomeroy.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 07:05 PM - Post#320899    

Not saying he can’t defend, or isn’t a well rounded player. I just think that the comment about running may be missing what his strengths are.
mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-17-21 07:05 PM - Post#320900    

  • Quote:
I think you’re essentially a paid Harvard shill.



Yeah, I'm gonna take a break from this place for a bit.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-17-21 07:54 PM - Post#320901    

Apologies to Mike if that crossed a line, and apologies to the board — it is not my intent to run anyone off. I thought I was replying in kind to the “take it from those who know” comment. But that was probably replying in kind to something I said, and so on. Anyway, it is never my intent to ratchet things up to a level where our debate is anything other than good natured discussion of a topic we are passionate about. Every once in a while the guy at the bar gets carried away when the guy at the next stool says he knows better, and then he goes and throws a punch. Seems dumb in the morning. Or sometimes ten minutes later. So apologies all around.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
02-17-21 08:26 PM - Post#320902    

A couple of reactions to this. That 5-7 head to head record included a number of games where injuries and thus matchups played a big role. What’s unclear is whether that favored one team significantly over those 12 contests. It does speak volumes about HCA though.
Here is where I completely agree with you:
“What's more is that Penn had BY FAR the most productive player in terms of total output over those four years, masking how much further the Quakers are behind in average talent.“

That may be your strongest argument.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-17-21 08:50 PM - Post#320903    

  • mrjames Said:
  • Quote:
I think you’re essentially a paid Harvard shill.



Yeah, I'm gonna take a break from this place for a bit.



I highly recommend it. Tough crowd in here. I have been in your shoes a few times. Please come back but take some time to get some air.

Mike Porter
Postdoc
Posts 3618
Mike Porter
02-17-21 10:37 PM - Post#320904    

Yikes... I'm guessing COVID lockdown times and no season (aka one less escape for us big fans) is taking it's toll.

We've run in circles on this before and no one seems willing to reconsider their positions, BUT...

While I don't always agree with everything Mike says or believes, he certainly isn't a Harvard shill (he praises Yale, Princeton, and even Brown recruiting!), and frankly he is right that Penn's current recruiting is weakness of the current staff.

That said, being honest with ourselves that Coach Donahue is not a great recruiter, doesn't mean that he isn't a great overall coach, strategist, and representative of Penn. I think he is all those things, but I also think our recruiting just is not where it needs to be for Penn to be battling every year to win the Ivy League. That doesn't mean we don't get good players or even good classes (we have, and I think very highly of 2019 class and other individual players), but we honestly miss on too many of the star quality kids and we've really missed on depth.

You can make excuses all day (I see LOTS of them in this thread), but I suggest many of you are looking at it the wrong way. It's not that Harvard, Yale, or even Princeton are always edging us out (though they surely have won more than we have).

That's far from the biggest problem. If you follow Penn's recruiting closely, you'll quickly see a very common pattern. Penn gets in early on an intriguing prospect (say their junior year), intriguing prospect gets more noticed, Penn does NOT land intriguing prospect. Penn moves on to second tier of prospects (say when they are a senior), Penn tries to land second tier prospect who is more a diamond in the rough and hopes for the best (I mean we literally had to take a Juco transfer at the last minute to have a warm body because we failed so hard on landing a big).

I think the staff does a brilliant job identifying and even getting in early with really good kids, but we have a really bad (like really bad) close rate on those first priority recruits and most of the time it is to non-Ivy schools. That is the problem in a nutshell.

If you follow who we are on in the junior year, we almost never land those kids (only a select few), whereas I often see Harvard, Yale, and Princeton closing a much larger share of their own priority targets.

Bottom line, it is a CLOSING problem, and I'm not sure this staff is setup to succeed. I'm not advocating that Penn should part ways with Donahue, but if we continue to miss on the recruiting trail I would advocate for shaking up the assistants (and I wouldn't wait long) and targeting a hungrier, more dynamic lead recruiter (would have loved to see Michael Jordan join the staff).

Take off the red and blue colored glasses, take a deep breath, and watch for the Penn recruiting patterns and you'll see it too.

I mean nychoops is super well connected, ridiculously knowledgeable, and objective (what skin does he have in the game?), yet so many of you basically dismissed his insight because it didn't match up with what you wanted to be true. It doesn't mean our current staff are lazy or bad, but are any of them true grinders who are relentlessly trying to close? I don't get that from outside looking in on our mentions, social media, etc. and again, closely is our problem.


TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-17-21 11:36 PM - Post#320907    

What Mike said above.

Don't objective results mean something at some point?

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 12:00 AM - Post#320910    

The objective results of what, though? Ranking of recruiting classes? We’ve upped our level of play significantly in the Donahue years. Who wins in the world of ranking recruiting classes is interesting, and at this stage we do it well enough for it to correlate some to performance. But compared to Princeton, for example, I find it hard to be certain we are being outrecruited when the teams are so close overall.

I get the Brodeur point, and in many ways I agree — I actually think we underestimate just how good he was. We got markedly better immediately upon his arrival. But we can’t ignore the best players when evaluating the recruiting. They are part of the overall picture, too.

Finally, and apologies if we are going around the same circle, I’m just not sure why we need to beat ourselves up over this. We can compete with Harvard while getting outrecruited. And the more we compete with them, the more we can turn the tide on the recruiting.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 12:08 AM - Post#320911    

sg, you might wanna take the timeout mike's taking. you're on tilt.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 12:18 AM - Post#320913    

Agreed that what nychoops said is the most concerning thing anyone has said here. Not ignoring what he said at all. If true, that would be negligence that would indicate a problem. There could be reasons that Penn couldn’t keep in touch (sanctions), and there could be reasons why Penn didn’t keep in touch with a certain player (academic or basketball reasons). But if they could keep in touch and were interested in the player and didn’t do it, then yes, that is a big problem.

Also, please don’t assume that, simply because I haven’t changed my mind, I am not open to or interested in other viewpoints. Obviously I am not convinced that there is a recruiting problem. I think that is a reasonable viewpoint to maintain, though obviously not a common or popular one.

I am actually probably quite close to Mike Porter’s take in a lot of ways — I think this is a great staff overall. Recruiting is just one piece of it, and may not be their strongest suit.
Condor
PhD Student
Posts 1888
02-18-21 07:13 AM - Post#320914    

I would love to see how the Penn fans would treat Amaker were he their coach. Even without Towns and Aiken, Amaker had the superior recruits, but could not win a single NCAA bid over the last four years. Many wanted Dunphy out because he couldn’t win in the tournament. Amaker can’t get into the tournament with the “best” recruits and now he has become our standard.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 09:41 AM - Post#320915    

Objective results = results on the court.

AJ Brodeur was a generational talent, and Penn had only one superlative season* during his four years.

Ivy league records those four seasons:
2017 : 6-8
2018 : 12-2
2019 : 7-7
2020 : 8-6

Results matter. Those are meh results.

What happens when AJ is gone?

* Bear with me Jeff. I'm trying to make a point. I get that 2018 wasn't really superlative. But compared to the other three years, it was. And that team put a scare into a Kansas team stocked with NBA level talent.

PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-18-21 10:20 AM - Post#320916    

I don't doubt nychoops information or perspective, but it is a limited perspective. I know the staff is not negligent or ignoring recruits. Recruiting is specific for each recruit and the contact can vary widely based on a number of factors.


TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 10:46 AM - Post#320917    

I get that. And I'm sure nychoops gets that as well. nychoops also has no axe to grind.

Putting subjectiveness aside, the objective results on the court have been OK at best, and that's with a generational talent in AJ playing at Penn for the past four seasons.

Something isn't adding up.

I and others are observing that the coaching staff is missing out on what appear to be their primary targets and then have to move on to secondary and tertiary ones. Seems to be an issue.

TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 10:51 AM - Post#320918    

And on to my defense of Mike James.

These forums have a tendency of being echo chambers, with outside contrarian opinions discounted or discarded despite reality. No surprise given how news has been weaponized in our country and objective facts are conveniently ignored when they don't fit the preferred propaganda.

Sometimes you need to listen instead of reflexively discounting an opinion that doesn't fit your mindset. You might learn something.

palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-18-21 10:59 AM - Post#320919    

I think you are dramatically overstating things. Only one post said anything even remotely personal, followed by a quick apology. Let's not turn differences of opinion on sports into perceived victimization. Sharp exchanges on opinion are not bad things.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 11:09 AM - Post#320920    

I'm not talking about the sharp exchange. Just that the message from nychoops and mrjames were not what the majority of the board wanted to hear so were summarily dismissed. Contrarian opinions are a good thing, especially when popular opinion (Penn is doing great!) doesn't appear to match objective reality (Ivy league record has been spotty at best).

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 11:59 AM - Post#320921    

Those meh results are actually the biggest improvement of any team in the league comparing the last four years to the prior four.

Comparing the last five years to the prior five, on average we gained 11 games per season on Harvard overall and 4 games in conference. The problem is that in the prior five we were 12 and 6 games behind them. So even with that big gain, we have remained behind. But the fact we are behind has to do with where we came from, not with how this staff/team is doing. You can’t just flip a switch and go from 7th to 1st. The process starts with pulling up to somewhere in the middle, say, theoretically, 4th.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 12:10 PM - Post#320922    

Yeah, but 2018.

And Penn had a generational talent and still couldn't build on the 2018 success.

So I'm not buying the results of the past four years as an incremental improvement story and that we should expect future incremental progress. Sure, the past four years were better than the suck of the period between Zack and AJ, but that's a really low bar.


Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 12:36 PM - Post#320923    

people have brought up the difference between dunphy and donahue. there are two:

1. Sometimes one learns a little bit. So yeah, I was ready to shake things up with Dunph at the end of his tenure. I didn't want him fired but I wasn't sad to see him go. While we ended up in the crapper, I don't think we were necessarily destined to continue the success we had previously but certainly we'd have been better off had Dunph stayed.

2. More important though, when Dunphy won with the best player during their sophomore year, they BUILT ON THAT SUCCESS. That was the start of greatness. Not the peak, not the plateau. I don't want to get hung up on the performance in the Ivies per se. If they were a KenPom top 100 team and just got edged out by a better ivy team, so be it. But that's not what happened and you all know it.
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-18-21 12:36 PM - Post#320924    

It's not a low bar. That's the point. Improving and creating long term success doesn't happen in just 4-5 years when it took 10 to destroy it. To think we can just change our coach and improve our trajectory is lunacy. Many more examples of this being a failed strategy than a successful one. You have to stay the course and look at the longer term.

And nychoops is a great voice but his perspective is VERY limited (by his own admission). Its not an excuse its a fact. His point may still be right but not just based on his limited evidence (I have contrary evidence).
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 12:37 PM - Post#320925    

also, i don't REALLY want steve fired. Instead, I want him on notice. I want the next bad year to result in him being fired. Instead, with all you pollyanna's what will happen is the next bad year will get you guys to where I am this year and then we'll have to wait at least a year or two more.

I can't believe how lucky steve was to have a global pandemic wipe this year out. It was going to be gruesome.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 12:39 PM - Post#320926    

  • SomeGuy Said:
Those meh results are actually the biggest improvement of any team in the league comparing the last four years to the prior four.

Comparing the last five years to the prior five, on average we gained 11 games per season on Harvard overall and 4 games in conference. The problem is that in the prior five we were 12 and 6 games behind them. So even with that big gain, we have remained behind. But the fact we are behind has to do with where we came from, not with how this staff/team is doing. You can’t just flip a switch and go from 7th to 1st. The process starts with pulling up to somewhere in the middle, say, theoretically, 4th.



you're being a politician with the way you're cutting data to technically be true but in the spirit not. We've plateaued. That's not a team on the come.

Also i can't believe how gross you were to Mike and nyc. it's one thing when you disagree with me. It's quite another when people with outside objective perspectives tell you stuff you don't want to hear and you get weird.

TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 12:44 PM - Post#320927    

  • PennFan10 Said:
It's not a low bar.


To be clear - SomeGuy compared the relative success of the past four years with the post-Zack years in the wilderness.

That's a really low bar to jump over.

Further I'm questioning whether we're still on an upward trajectory. It's looking more like a plateau to me.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 01:16 PM - Post#320929    

What did I say to NYC?
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 01:22 PM - Post#320930    

I don’t disagree with either of you about the plateau. We’ve been on one. Agreed that, at some point, we need to get off it. I think where my argument gets a lot harder (and it already seems to be pretty hard) is if we take a step back now without AJ and Dev. If the plateau is a leveling off for a few years on the way up, then it isn’t a big deal (Jones, Donahue at Cornell) to me. If this is just our level, it eventually becomes a concern, even for me. But I’m still fully on board for now. But if we start downward from the plateau, well, that is a little different.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-18-21 01:31 PM - Post#320931    

Only Mike put us on the downward plateau train--NYChoops only spoke of recruiting. And Mike never responded either to the fact that our top recruits keep getting hurt---saying that Harvard had some injuries too (not to the recruits, but whatever---we lost Betley too--and I still think if he doesn't get injured, we don't take the step back in '19--remember, we beat Nova and won the Big 5 but just wore down after losing Betley, Wang and Washington to injury). And no one can judge how we are recruiting on an objective basis after losing this year---we had a very good recruiting class notwithstanding losing our top recruit and would have had a young, very athletic team this year.

What it comes down to is that this entire argument is that we aren't winning recruiting battles--something that appears to be true. That does not correlate to having bad recruiting classes or being on a plateau.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 01:31 PM - Post#320932    

  • PennFan10 Said:
It's not a low bar. That's the point. Improving and creating long term success doesn't happen in just 4-5 years when it took 10 to destroy it. To think we can just change our coach and improve our trajectory is lunacy. Many more examples of this being a failed strategy than a successful one. You have to stay the course and look at the longer term.

And nychoops is a great voice but his perspective is VERY limited (by his own admission). Its not an excuse its a fact. His point may still be right but not just based on his limited evidence (I have contrary evidence).


does evidence from the coaches count? "I have NOT been lazy" isn't really evidence.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 01:36 PM - Post#320934    

Who is the outside contrarian opinion here? It seems to me I’ve been out here on my own plateau here, with occasional help from P38 and PF10 (thanks guys). And the weight of the entire Penn board, plus our most knowledgeable poster from an Ivy (mrjames, who I apologize to again for my unnecessarily personal barb), and a great outside contributor (nychoops, who as best I can tell I have never even argued with at all, but Jeff seems to think I have mistreated), seem to all be aligned on the other side. So I guess I thought I was the one trying to fight back against the echo chamber/conventional wisdom.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 01:44 PM - Post#320935    

It could be my perception but seemed to me that nychoops and mrjames posts were going against the grain of the view of Penn poster predominant opinion that things are fine with the program.

SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 01:59 PM - Post#320936    

That’s just the tremendous volume of posts by some guy on tilt giving you the impression of a chorus.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-18-21 02:22 PM - Post#320940    

I just wanted to weigh in here that I've found some members of the board hard-headed - it's one thing to argue and debate, and another to never let things go. As I learned from my kids in pre-school, we may need language to agree to disagree instead of some of our endless tirades. They are exhausting.

I have also found the group unnecessarily hostile or critical of mrjames. I have commented many times on this and I am solidly a penn fan. I'm even a Donahue fan, though I have unanswered questions there. Our words have the ability to impact each other, even if this is a discussion group of the willing and we are not using rude language. Too many great posters have left the board over the years over frustration and even hurt feelings. This includes Michael Jordan, who I would happily trade on this board for any other single poster.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 02:48 PM - Post#320945    

That is fair, particularly about at some point agreeing to disagree. And I definitely made a personal comment that could be viewed as hostile, which I regret and apologized for.

But note that your first point may contradict the second a bit. Yes, we have debated this before. But how did this one start? With a pointed comment from mrjames, not just about whether Penn has a recruiting problem, but referencing posters (presumably me) saying Penn doesn’t have a recruiting problem. What should I be doing there? Rather than just accept the jab, I made some perhaps overly lawyered arguments about why I (still) didn’t think that was the case. He made some good arguments the other way. That’s all fine and good. But then he started down the “I know and you don’t” line of defending an opinion, while likening me to a guy sitting at a barstool making stuff up, which basically becomes something beyond the factual arguments we were making — to me that is more personal, and, from past go rounds on this, mrjames knows I take that personally. I then hit too hard with the “paid shill” comment, but I think I did that after taking a number of unnecessary (though smaller) punches. My point is simply that the hostility/agree to disagree thing should apply both ways — in this case, both sides were being hard headed and showing some hostility.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-18-21 03:29 PM - Post#320949    

I just think we're all being overly sensitive. I don't think anything said here, even the "paid shill" line (which was promptly the subject of an apology) is anything like the kind of truly hateful BS that was thrown about in earlier years that was really unnecessary and personal.

Mike is a big boy---he comes in ready to argue hard. Believe me, in some of the other fora here, if you are not a alum of that school, you will be driven out in minutes. Here, his comments started a vigorous debate, which in these days of great boredom, is a good thing.

At least I think so.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-18-21 03:43 PM - Post#320953    

I get it, and I've been a part of that sometimes. This board has gotten tougher for me with Covid-19 (and secondarily politics). There are a spectrum of views on what the threat is, how important basketball is, and what the duties of the schools are. I get it. I would just advocate for some sensitivity to the fact that some are impacted by this in ways that make it REALLY DEEPLY hard to read the debates. I personally just can't.

Our posts have the ability to impact each other. Too many great posters have left the board over the years over frustration and even hurt feelings. This includes Michael Jordan, who most of us respect in both mind and character. I would happily trade him on this board for any other single poster. While I am always rooting for Penn, I learn more new information from mrjames and nychoops than anyone else here period. We haven't had much program inside information or even teasers for years. Everything else is conjecture and opinions, and maybe we should all acknowledge that. Having a stronger opinion and posting louder arguments doesn't make us more right.

I'd love it if we could just support Penn basketball, support each other as Penn fans, share news, and avoid bleeding each other to death in arguments. It may be impossible for the board not to mirror the real world, but I'd rather this be an escape for like minded fans because this is just a hobby and it doesn't add any value to our lives if it's not fun for everyone.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-18-21 03:47 PM - Post#320954    

Some day it might be just Big Red Fan and big boys left here. It will be a better board with more people and more support for different opinions. It's not just name-calling that can make this not worth our time anymore.

  • palestra38 Said:
I just think we're all being overly sensitive. I don't think anything said here, even the "paid shill" line (which was promptly the subject of an apology) is anything like the kind of truly hateful BS that was thrown about in earlier years that was really unnecessary and personal.

Mike is a big boy---he comes in ready to argue hard. Believe me, in some of the other fora here, if you are not a alum of that school, you will be driven out in minutes. Here, his comments started a vigorous debate, which in these days of great boredom, is a good thing.

At least I think so.



palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-18-21 03:52 PM - Post#320955    

I don't get your point on BRF---he probably incited more personal invective than anyone in Board history. But I don't know what you are talking about with respect to this thread. I like Mike and his opinions, but he does have a tendency to talk down to people, so an occasional flareup is possible. But other than a single comment, I can't think of anything in this thread that was over the line or offensive. So I'm asking you to point it out rather than talk about people who no longer comment here, which happens for many reasons unrelated to this kind of back and forth.
Jeff2sf
Postdoc
Posts 4466
02-18-21 04:02 PM - Post#320957    

i looked back and i don't see any negative talking to nyc by you, someguy. I regret the error.


Mike knows more about basketball than us, so when he talks down to us, we should take that as an expert talking to us. Put some respect on the name.

Now you all think you know a lot of basketball so you don't want to. Whatever. But there is literally no one in the world that knows as much about penn basketball that is not affiliated with the program that would come here to this venue to talk with us. I view that as a treasure.

Like if Tony Romo (or insert a renowned football analyst) wanted to hang out on an Eagles board to discuss his opinions on wentz and hurts.
palestra38
Professor
Posts 32834
02-18-21 04:05 PM - Post#320958    

I agree.
T.P.F.K.A.D.W.
PhD Student
Posts 1171
02-18-21 04:13 PM - Post#320962    

  • Quote:
This includes Michael Jordan, who most of us respect in both mind and character.


Wait, Jordan used to post here? I honestly don't remember that. I do remember Steve Danley popping in from time to time. Those were some great posts.

And if you're out there, Howard Gensler, please come home. We miss you.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 04:15 PM - Post#320963    

Totally agree that Mike knows more than me. Doesn’t mean he’s always right and I’m always wrong, particularly when we are arguing matters of opinion.

More importantly, though, I very much value his input (and if you look back, you can find numerous instances over the years where I have specifically requested his opinion on recruiting matters in particular). I did not intend to drive him off.
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-18-21 04:17 PM - Post#320964    

Again... This isn't all about personal insults and over-the-line comments. We may have thick skins in our broader lives, but just might not have the time or interest to defend our points of view and motives tirelessly. This board will become a darwinian group of survivors willing to be the most persistent advocates. Rather than asking whether we are over-the-line, perhaps we could be neutral to kind and ask ourselves whether we are being tiresome to the other.

In that spirit, I'm just going to let this lie here. This is my personal experience, and you can accept it or not.

  • palestra38 Said:
I don't get your point on BRF---he probably incited more personal invective than anyone in Board history. But I don't know what you are talking about with respect to this thread. I like Mike and his opinions, but he does have a tendency to talk down to people, so an occasional flareup is possible. But other than a single comment, I can't think of anything in this thread that was over the line or offensive. So I'm asking you to point it out rather than talk about people who no longer comment here, which happens for many reasons unrelated to this kind of back and forth.



SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 04:18 PM - Post#320965    

Was having the same thought. I never knew Jordan was on here. What was his moniker?
Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-18-21 04:34 PM - Post#320966    

MJ used to give us direct insight into the spirit and preparation of the team and we used to all give him encouragement before games. He didn't give inside information on recruiting or strategy, but it was fun to lob in our support and occasionally even sneak in a suggestion. It was great to think that players felt our direct support for the team.

I think this was back in the predecessor board, which was usenet based. We eventually bumped the entire group to here.

I can't remember exactly what set him off. I think someone questioned the team's effort in a game, and he argued back about it. The poster (who was also a great board member) refused to back down on their opinions. MJ decided he had better things to do with his time and left the board angry... forever. The other person also eventually left the board with hurt feelings on some matter. All of them were just defending their opinions and none were wrong. I don't recall any "over-the-line" comments back then. Still, is winning the battle worth it? This board has been devalued by losing the vibrant participation of Asia (sometimes still posts), Howard, MJ, and others. If mrjames and nychoops stop posting, that will take away 40-60% of why I sign in at all. Some people left angry and others were just withered tired of it.

I understand why MJ was sensitive even if the comments weren't "over the line." I'd hate to read a spectator's view of what I do at work every day. I think someone argued that he shouldn't be on the board if he was going to be so defensive or sensitive. C'mon. We all lost that day.

Forgot to add - MJ posted under his own full name in those days.

  • T.P.F.K.A.D.W. Said:
  • Quote:
This includes Michael Jordan, who most of us respect in both mind and character.


Wait, Jordan used to post here? I honestly don't remember that. I do remember Steve Danley popping in from time to time. Those were some great posts.

And if you're out there, Howard Gensler, please come home. We miss you.



mrjames
Professor
Posts 6062
02-18-21 04:56 PM - Post#320967    

Wanted to pop back in to say it was unfair of me to single SG out and to explain that I do the break stuff to battle my obsessive traits. Me needing to get away from the boards for a bit is a personal governor on posting obsessively, and at some point around then, some post was just the kick I needed to trigger the governor. It's why I take a few month break from Ivybball twitter after every (real) season, etc. Others who may have obsessive diagnoses may know what I'm talking about, but you just need those established kick out points to keep life balanced.

In the interim, wanted to apologize to SG for making it seem like this on him... was just the right moment to step away for some time!
PennFan10
Postdoc
Posts 3585
02-18-21 04:56 PM - Post#320968    

Mike's opinion is that we are a coach away from being a top 10 league. I think that's fools gold. We can't compete with Harvard, even with an Amaker clone. Our best bet is a different approach, which SD is doing but it takes time. The other fools gold is the idea that you can turn a program from a bottom feeder to a champion in 4-5 years and instantly compete for top 100 athletes. A few schools can do that by paying big bucks for a coach and re organizing the message as well as aligning the administration. Most schools have to build it the long way, brick by brick. We are hunting in the right recruiting pools and if you do that long enough its a matter of time before you hook a whale and then another. But it doesn't just happen and a big name, big buck coach isn't going to make that happen.
SomeGuy
Professor
Posts 6413
02-18-21 05:04 PM - Post#320969    

Thanks for the note, and thanks for the context. As I’ve said repeatedly since last night, I always welcome your insights, even when we disagree.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 05:54 PM - Post#320973    

PF10 - I'm reading it somewhat different from the way you are. I take Mike James' input as an honest assessment. True, it's just his assessment (and others have different takes) but he's saying things that I was already thinking about.

Even with AJ, Penn was a middling Ivy team the past two years. I don't think anyone on next year's team is the quality of AJ, nor is there any in the immediate recruiting pipeline. Yet my sense is that many on this board are quite content with how things are going.

I'm not hating on Donahue. I am questioning how much we should be locked into Donahue being the answer. I'm not seeing the progression I was hoping for.

AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
02-18-21 05:58 PM - Post#320974    

Recruiting at Penn ( and Princeton and Yale ) is usually a mix. What do Jarrod Simmons, Jelani Williams, Eddie Scott, Michael Wang and Bryce Washington have in common? They were all 3 star recruits with Ivy + offers.

AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
02-18-21 06:17 PM - Post#320975    

I’d add, what do Oni, Mason & Swain have in common. They are all players that have killed Penn on the floor and all 3 were ho hum NEPSAC recruits before entering Yale.

Recruiting is an inexact science at our level. The exception, as pointed out by others, has been Harvard.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 06:21 PM - Post#320976    

Woods did such a number on Oni that he never really hurt us, amirite?

AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
02-18-21 06:44 PM - Post#320978    

Yes - in that last game at The Palestra. But, Oni hurt us in the 1st game at Yale and Woods was a really terrific defender who happened to win the battle that day (a 3 star recruit by the way). Yale's not so highly rated Oni was of course the Ivy POY.

Woods effort was offset by another Yale 2 star rated guard, Alex Copeland.
SteveChop
PhD Student
Posts 1155
02-18-21 06:54 PM - Post#320981    

Was Woods a 3 star recruit in Basketball? As I recall, he was also a very good football player too and was recruited by Penn for football too.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
02-18-21 07:03 PM - Post#320982    

Maybe not. I don’t remember. He was indeed a very highly ranked FB player who initially planned to play both sports at Penn.
Old Bear
Postdoc
Posts 3998
02-18-21 08:02 PM - Post#320986    

Another expert on Penn recruiting often posts here as Old Bear.
TheLine
Professor
Posts 5597
02-18-21 08:55 PM - Post#320990    

Woods was far more recruited as a football player. Penn was the college willing to let him play both football and basketball if I recall.

My personal observation is that Woods stood out as an athlete compared to the rest of the team. The basketball skill were also there, but the way he could handle anyone on the court on the defensive end set him apart. We don't really get recruits with that level of athleticism plus basketball chops since maybe Onyekwe.

Penndemonium
PhD Student
Posts 1900
02-19-21 12:06 AM - Post#320995    

Woods stood alone as a penn hoops player in his immovability. That guy could just stand his ground. If he hand-checked you or put his arms out, they were real barriers. That made it very tough to drive past him or back him down. The only other slight analog I can think of was Vince Curran, but he was a stout center, not a guard.
Streamers
Professor
Posts 8257
Streamers
03-22-21 02:13 PM - Post#322402    

Watching Kepnang go to work on Iowa right now. My first good look at him. Now I understand why he got all that attention.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
04-07-21 06:13 PM - Post#323009    

I saw a post on the Twitter recently that Gus Larson set a school record of 44 pts in the last NHP scrimmage. He was 7-8 on 3's, 9-16 on 2's, had 9 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals.

I don't think Larson will be a prodigious scorer at Penn, but they probably have 10-20 D1 players enrolled at NHP this year, so this seems pretty impressive.

I do think, in Larson, that we have a 6'11 player coming in with a skill set that is perfect for Steve's offense. Now if he shows a motor that is anywhere close to AJ's, then we might have a really good player coming in.
AsiaSunset
Postdoc
Posts 4361
04-14-21 01:13 PM - Post#323167    

Kacper Klaczek to St Joe’s



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