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Username Post: Bucknell Covid-19 Test Sensitivity
BisonRoadWarrior
Professor
Posts 5203
BisonRoadWarrior
02-05-21 03:10 PM - Post#320275    

A technical question related to the latest disruptions of Bucknell's campus life: Do we know what "cycle threshold" Bucknell is using for its PCR tests?
HuskyColonial
PhD Student
Posts 1976
02-06-21 11:27 AM - Post#320322    

I see the game is cancelled. I don’t get what is going on? I live in Jacksonville Beach, Florida. The schools in the A-Sun have all played 18-20 games with few cancellations. Players and staff have been kept safe and they’re playing.


BisonRoadWarrior
Professor
Posts 5203
BisonRoadWarrior
02-06-21 12:29 PM - Post#320325    

  • BisonRoadWarrior Said:
A technical question related to the latest disruptions of Bucknell's campus life: Do we know what "cycle threshold" Bucknell is using for its PCR tests?


If Bucknell's answer to that question is higher than 35, it may be a cause for concern and additional questions from students and parents.

For context, there's a growing appreciation among health experts that, across the country and around the world, testing is being performed with an excessively high sensitivity.

That means many people are being called "positive cases" and condemned to quarantines and social isolation--to say nothing of sports suspensions--when they aren't and won't be sick and aren't and won't be contagious.

The dynamic was documented as early as August, in a New York Times story: "Your Coronavirus Test is Positive; Maybe It Shouldn't Be."

A key quote: "In three sets of testing data that include cycle thresholds, compiled by officials in Massachusetts, New York and Nevada, up to 90 percent of people testing positive carried barely any virus, a review by The Times found."

In a recent essay at The Hill,* Duke and Stanford experts explained the consequence of excessively sensitive PCR tests: "Dead COVID-19 RNA in the nose or mouth of someone who was never sick could create a positive PCR result. Recovered patients who test negative and are non-infectious can still come up positive repeatedly in the following months. These are neither new cases nor infectious ones needing quarantine but could be incorrectly counted as such."

* "Appropriate Use of PCR Needed for Focused Response to the Pandemic"
Paulie777
PhD Student
Posts 1767
02-06-21 01:06 PM - Post#320326    

Bucknell is erring on the side of caution, the university really has no choice. This is disrupting the conscientious people who listen, isolate, and suffer for the greater good while others go about living life as they always have, don't wear masks, etc. I know some people who made no changes go maskless and I know some that are not leaving the house. And the virus, vaccine, and everything related to it are political, not having the concern for humanity in general. In NY. the governer has decreed that authorities can arrest you if more than 10 people are gathered in a private residence, and fortunately the local law authorities are ignoring that. And airlines are running globally. So what is it? Is this virus legit or no? We just have to adapt, for better or worse.
Paulie777
PhD Student
Posts 1767
02-06-21 02:11 PM - Post#320328    

Its Anomie in the Durkheim sense.
bison75
Masters Student
Posts 487
02-06-21 04:32 PM - Post#320336    

Bucknell switches to remote instruction; president takes students to task for COVID-19 spike.

Trying to paste the actual link from PennLive.com, apparently without success. Worth reading.
Bison137
Professor
Posts 16147
Bison137
02-06-21 06:34 PM - Post#320337    

Here is that link:

Bucknell switches to remote instruction






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