mrjames
Professor
Posts: 6062
Loc: Montclair, NJ
Reg: 11-21-04
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10-24-20 03:51 PM - Post#315357
In response to Jeff2sf
Papers, no. But I have scripts that pull in all of the data from the COVID Tracking Project and other sources, and many of those states include their antibody testing results in there. FL started to come back down to earth when their marginal antibody positive rate touched 20%. NYC reported a 25% antibody positive rate just after the wave had passed the city. TX hasn't quite hit that antibody level yet (~15%) and perhaps unsurprisingly, they haven't been able to keep the positive rate down during this current wave (now back up near 10%).
Nowhere near all states report antibodies, but 20-25% seems to be the number for those that did (at least at the behavior level over the summer).
Then, you get into all of the scientist stuff of how long antibodies last and whether they confer full protection and other stuff that I don't know...
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