JDP
Masters Student
Posts: 581
Reg: 11-23-04
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01-16-24 09:05 PM - Post#361788
In response to JDP
Week 2 – Game 3 – 21% complete
Games again went according to expectation for Ws & Ls. And the expected tiering is emerging.
Princeton & Columbia are the two best teams with Harvard in third with Brown and Penn in a close battle for fourth and who may have the best tiebreaker. If the Bears or Quakers can sweep their regular season meetings, it would be unlikely the other could win three more to avoid the tiebreaker process.
Next week the two most important matchups are when the Lions visit the Tigers and the Quakers travel to the Crimson.
NCAA (68 teams) at large: Princeton at a 40 NET is still likely on bubble given ESPN’s Last Four In and Out – current projected cut line 46 NET
WBIT (32): Columbia, Harvard, Princeton – current projected bubble 90 NET
WNIT (48): Brown – current projected bubble 145 NET – expect to increase to high 160s as high NET teams with losing records increases
The win expectations generally remain the same with Brown & Penn flipping spots … At this projection point, and applying Ivy Tiebreakers, Brown is the 4th seed having a better NET than Penn – even thought both are projected at 7-7.
Team Expected Favored
Princeton 12.4 13
Columbia 11.7 13
Harvard 10.3 10
Penn 6.7 7
Brown 6.3 7
Yale 3.7 3
Cornell 3.6 3
Dartmouth 1.4 0
The NET movement was more interesting in the relative movements – especially from the implications of what teams can do to improve their NET during conference play:
Penn improved by 8 with a 13 point win over Cornell (expectation was 9 by HHS and 10.5 by ESPN)
Brown dropped by 13 with a 14 point loss at Harvard (expectation was 9 point loss by HHS and 10.5 by ESPN)
Ivies are still 11th best conference by NET
School NET GoG (- good)
Brown 146 13
Columbia 67 -4
Cornell 249 2
Dartmouth 328 -1
Harvard 75 -4
Penn 179 -8
Princeton 40 0
Yale 252 1
Overall 167 0
A quick update as to who is starting the Ivy Season hot – PER > 15 & Min > 20. Not surpassing to see so many Tigers and Lions.
PLAYER TEAM PER PTS
Harmoni Turner Harvard 34.8 17.7
Madison St. Rose Princeton 32.2 16.7
Cecelia Collins Columbia 29.4 14.0
Elena Rodriguez Harvard 27.4 10.3
Abbey Hsu Columbia 25.7 19.3
Stina Almqvist Penn 25.2 19.3
Skye Belker Princeton 24.9 8.7
Kitty Henderson Columbia 23.2 12.3
Kaitlyn Chen Princeton 21.9 11.0
Ellie Mitchell Princeton 21.8 5.3
Who are the top freshman PER > 10 & Min > 15
PLAYER TEAM PER PTS
Riley Weiss Columbia 25.2 10.3
Skye Belker Princeton 24.9 8.7
Abigail Wright Harvard 22.3 6.7
Mataya Gayle Penn 14.4 10.0
Ese Ogbevire Penn 14.1 6.3
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