JDP
Masters Student
Posts: 581
Reg: 11-23-04
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01-28-24 12:21 PM - Post#362310
In response to JDP
January games finish with the favoreds still winning, and after five game the standings are as one would have expected.
Princeton has been the clear best team in January and most likely 1st seed.
Second and third currently continue to appear to be a battle between Columbia and Harvard … Likely edge to the Lions, but the order does not matter, as Columbia will have home court.
The race for the last Ivy Madness spot continues to be between Brown and Penn. Next Friday’s game at the Palestra, given the NET tiebreaker, is far more important for the Quakers than Brown.
Cornell, Dartmouth and Yale round out the League at 1-14. In the post Covid era – the bottom three teams are 15-84 with only two wins against the top five teams (both vs. the 4th seed).
NCAA (68 teams) at large: Princeton at a 36 NET is likely an at large if they are 15-1 … 14-2, perhaps – based on ESPN’s Last Four In and Out – current projected cut line 42-44 NET
WBIT (32): Columbia, Harvard, Princeton all safely in – current projected bubble 91 NET
WNIT (48): Brown (154 NET) – current projected bubble 156 NET – expect to increase to low 170s as the number of high NET teams with losing records increases. Penn (192) has improve it NET 25-30
The win expectations generally remain the same with Columbia now being favored at Harvard … At this projection point, and applying Ivy Tiebreakers, Princeton is 1st over Columbia due to a better NET, and Brown is the 4th seed having a better NET than Penn – even though both are projected at 7-7.
Team Expected Favored
Princeton 12.9 13
Columbia 11.5 13
Harvard 10.4 10
Brown 6.9 7
Penn 6.3 7
Yale 3.8 3
Cornell 2.9 3
Dartmouth 1.3 0
Ivies are still 11th best conference by NET
School NET GoG (- good)
Brown 154 11
Columbia 64 -7
Cornell 257 9
Dartmouth 315 -10
Harvard 78 0
Penn 192 16
Princeton 34 -2
Yale 250 -9
Overall 168 1
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