JDP
Masters Student
Posts: 581
Reg: 11-23-04
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02-04-24 02:05 PM - Post#362761
In response to CM
At the halfway point – and pretty much to script, except the Penn loss to Yale, which was the only upset in the first 28 games.
From the first seven, the first three seeds look to be Princeton, Columbia, Harvard.
Fourth is still a toss-up with Yale now having more paths to fourth. But the Penn at Brown game on Saturday 17 Feb now appears to must win game to become an Ivy Madness participant.
Interestingly enough, since the start of Ivy Madness, the fifth-place team (29-31) has a better record against the 1-2-3-6-7 place teams then the fourth place (24-36) with 8 wins over 1-3 vs. only 6 wins for 4th place. Where is the differential: the 4th place team is 10-2 vs. the fifth-place team. Cleary showing how powerful sweeps are in the tiebreaking process.
NCAA (68 teams) at large: Princeton at a 31 NET is likely an at large if they are 15-1 … 14-2, perhaps – based on ESPN’s Last Four In and Out – current projected cut line 42-44 NET
WBIT (32): Columbia, Harvard, Princeton all safely in – current projected bubble 90 NET – but the Crimson (84) have been drifting towards the bubble
WNIT (48): Brown (163 NET) – current projected bubble 163 NET – expect to increase to low 170s as the number of high NET teams with losing records increases.
The favored is for the renaming games
Team Expected Favored
Princeton 13.0 6
Columbia 11.8 7
Harvard 10.1 5
Brown 6.3 3
Penn 6.1 3
Yale 4.6 2
Cornell 3.1 2
Dartmouth 1.0 0
School NET GoG (- good)
Brown 163 -4
Columbia 64 3
Cornell 253 -2
Dartmouth 310 -8
Harvard 84 1
Penn 183 11
Princeton 31 -1
Yale 245 -5
Overall 167 -1
Just an update on out of conference NETs
Princeton 116
Columbia 135
Harvard 147
Penn 163
Brown 175
Yale 186
Cornell 194
Dartmouth 252
Average OCC 168
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