iogyhufi
Masters Student
Posts: 681
Age: 27
Reg: 10-10-17
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03-26-24 08:57 AM - Post#366474
In response to james
The darndest thing about being a 12/13 seed is that it's much harder to make a S16 run or deeper than it would be if the same team were a 14 or 15. Mathematically speaking, you've got to beat two teams ranked in the top 25 in the country to make it out of the first weekend as a 12 or 13. We can grant that it's a bit harder to beat a 2 or 3 than a 4 or 5. But your second round game is against a 6 (or 11; that upset is a lot more likely to happen and help you) or a 7/10, teams who are usually pretty seriously flawed power conference teams (for example, Missouri last year). We can look at Oakland this year or Saint Peter's from 2022 as examples of why this might be.
This is kind of the wages of being a mid-major - you're really just not going to be higher than a 12 or maybe an 11 no matter what you do. McNeese State was 30-3 with a Quad 1 win and only one bad loss. 12 seed. James Madison was 31(!)-3 with an absolute gem of a win at Michigan State and only one bad loss. 12 seed. Heck, had Princeton won the ILT, they'd have been an 11 seed with 3 Q2 wins and zero bad losses! (No Q1 wins, granted, but also no Q1 opportunities). Whereas you can be 14-loss NC State or 11-loss Duquesne and get an 11 seed because the committee respects your conference. Hopefully this recent run earns the Ivy some respect.
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