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Username Post: Fan Duel ILT odds        (Topic#27964)
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 33016

Reg: 11-21-04
03-12-24 12:56 PM - Post#365049    

https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaab/ivy-league-tou...

Princeton +100
Yale +200
Cornell +350
Brown +2000

Man, laying a 20-spot on Brown is tempting, although I do think Princeton will win.

 
iogyhufi 
Masters Student
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Age: 27
Reg: 10-10-17
Re: Fan Duel ILT odds
03-12-24 01:08 PM - Post#365050    
    In response to palestra38

I think Yale and Cornell have some value. Princeton with implicit 50% odds to win the whole thing seems slightly high to me - a championship game neutral site rematch with either Yale or Cornell strikes me as itself a roughly 50/50 game, and I think Brown has a puncher's chance to win the opener.

 
LocalTiger 
Masters Student
Posts: 496

Age: 58
Reg: 11-15-17
03-12-24 01:16 PM - Post#365052    
    In response to iogyhufi

Cornell strikes me as the best value.
Call the Yale game a coin flip, and
figure Cornell' depth makes them the
best back-to-back team if they can win Saturday.
Hoping the Tigers can continue to gut it out.

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-12-24 01:44 PM - Post#365054    
    In response to LocalTiger

i am LONG brown for 2 weeks in a row. hope i dont overstay my welcome but I cldnt resist the skew. like last week.
my thesis is playing a sleepy nooner will prepare them for 11am. big adv. ha

 
james 
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Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-12-24 01:47 PM - Post#365055    
    In response to james

these teams are all so even on a neutral floor imo.
but i do think princeton in a shooters gym is a natural favorite. but thats fully captured.



 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8398
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-13-24 01:27 PM - Post#365093    
    In response to LocalTiger

  • LocalTiger Said:
Cornell strikes me as the best value.
Call the Yale game a coin flip, and
figure Cornell' depth makes them the
best back-to-back team if they can win Saturday.
Hoping the Tigers can continue to gut it out.


At these odds, the smart play knowing what we know is to take the "field" and bet everyone but PU.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 33016

Reg: 11-21-04
03-16-24 02:22 PM - Post#365416    
    In response to Streamers

If you had Brown at 20-1, you're licking your chops right now.

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-16-24 02:28 PM - Post#365417    
    In response to palestra38

Thanks!

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-16-24 02:36 PM - Post#365419    
    In response to james

I leaned hard on the Princeton line at 10+
Smaller on brown weekend double which I regret

The hedge fund biz is tough in a rising tide.
Take it where Vegas hands you the odds

if brown wins the $s go to the bulldog collective which will launch soon

 
SRP 
Postdoc
Posts: 4924

Reg: 02-04-06
03-16-24 05:00 PM - Post#365445    
    In response to james

So far, I think 18 #1 seeds have fallen around the country. Which is inconsequential for the SEC and Big Ten, but a real bummer for the one-bid champions. At least the Ivy still has two teams alive that might win a game in the NCAA tournament.

 
Streamers 
Professor
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Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-17-24 08:22 AM - Post#365506    
    In response to palestra38

  • palestra38 Said:
If you had Brown at 20-1, you're licking your chops right now.


Draft kings did not book the team odds, so I had to settle for betting Brown and the over and then taking PU in game when I got them plus 13. Lost some of that on Cornell though.

Brown is plus 8 plus 275 today. I’ll taste that but I like the over better at 135.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 33016

Reg: 11-21-04
03-17-24 08:32 AM - Post#365507    
    In response to SRP

Brown is playing very well but they would be fortunate to escape a 16 seed.

 
Streamers 
Professor
Posts: 8398
Streamers
Loc: NW Philadelphia
Reg: 11-21-04
03-17-24 09:25 AM - Post#365509    
    In response to palestra38

Or an all expense paid trip to Dayton. I doubt they win outright today. Yale will not let them tear it up inside like PU did. The way they are shooting and moving the ball offensively, I can see them covering the 8 though.

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-17-24 02:10 PM - Post#365543    
    In response to Streamers

I lost $100k today of upside.

But it feels good. Now I am going to get drunk at the Cherokee casino and catch a trout later

 
1LotteryPick1969 
Postdoc
Posts: 2283
1LotteryPick1969
Age: 73
Loc: Sandy, Utah
Reg: 11-21-04
03-17-24 03:20 PM - Post#365566    
    In response to james

And for the collective.........?

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-17-24 04:11 PM - Post#365573    
    In response to 1LotteryPick1969

who builds this these things in the middle of nowhere NC anyway? Bad bad influence in march

There is some momentum on that front but the big dogs will be getting far less from little me w my short book and this call option fail. Dern

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-18-24 02:52 PM - Post#365718    
    In response to james

The shoes are starting to drop....sad to see Perkins go. Despite the fact that he went to Landon...Good player and seemingly good kid.

I hope wolf takes it to Broome but not much upside left as Yale deals w auburn and the portal season heats up.
What a shame

 
iogyhufi 
Masters Student
Posts: 681

Age: 27
Reg: 10-10-17
Fan Duel ILT odds
03-18-24 03:22 PM - Post#365723    
    In response to james

That's one view. Other possible interpretations:
1) This is a Penn-specific problem, either for internal reasons or because Penn has been poor lately.
2) This is a bad-team specific problem, and players on top Ivy teams are more likely to stay.

(Sorry Penn folks, I don't mean for you to catch strays here, but, well...)

I know for a fact that Kino Lilly had tons of NIL suitors this past offseason. He chose to stay at Brown. I don't think we need to be quite so quick to put on the sackcloth and ashes here.

Edited by iogyhufi on 03-18-24 03:23 PM. Reason for edit: No reason given.

 
palestra38 
Professor
Posts: 33016

Reg: 11-21-04
Re: Fan Duel ILT odds
03-18-24 03:32 PM - Post#365730    
    In response to iogyhufi

No need to apologize---you're right.

 
james 
Masters Student
Posts: 802

Age: 49
Reg: 03-18-19
03-18-24 05:07 PM - Post#365750    
    In response to palestra38

I do think it is nuanced.

But think it's more about the straight quid offers.


The tampering I can confirm is nauseating and widespread but inquiries and "strong butt" offers are admittedly not the same thing.

 
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